6806 N 30th St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This inviting 3-bedroom home features beautifully updated living spaces designed for comfort and functionality. Gather around the cozy gas fireplace, while newer windows bring in abundant natural light. Step outside to enjoy the stone paver patio — perfect for entertaining or relaxing — all within a fully fenced yard offering privacy and space to play. A spacious two-car garage provides ample storage and convenience.
Key facts
- 6,300 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $129k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.23%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,352
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- -18.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6329 N 33 Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $109 | 71 |
| 3374 Curtis Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-2%) | 6mo | $124,500 | $138 | 65 |
| 3337 Martin Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+14%) | 4mo | $147,000 | $140 | 57 |
| 2857 Titus Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+15%) | 9mo | $138,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 6714 N 35th St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 994 (+8%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $86 | 56 |
| 3185 Stone Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+4%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $193 | 53 |
| 6323 N 34 St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 857 (-7%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $140 | 51 |
| 3043 Arcadia Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 991 (+8%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $202 | 51 |
| 2520 Sharon Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-10%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $186 | 49 |
| 6336 N 37th St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 986 (+7%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $188 | 44 |
| 3616 Nebraska Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 987 (+7%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $162 | 40 |
| 3331 Forest Lawn Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 805 (-12%) | 13mo | $144,900 | $180 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $657
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $28,419
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68112
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,571 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,072/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $411 | -5% $375 | +0% $338 | +5% $302 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $276 | +0% $338 | +5% $400 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $403 | -0.5pp $371 | base $338 | +0.5pp $305 | +1.0pp $271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3164 Ida St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,600 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3164 Ida St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,600 | $1.69 | 11d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3164 Ida St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,600 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2723 Newport Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3138 Weber Cir Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2873 Kansas Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5922 N 28th Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $950 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4018 Bauman Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,380 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3941 Himebaugh Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,350 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4460 Redman Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4470 Redman Ave Unit 4470A Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 11d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
This inviting 3-bedroom home features beautifully updated living spaces designed for comfort and functionality. Gather around the cozy gas fireplace, while newer windows bring in abundant natural light. Step outside to enjoy the stone paver patio — perfect for entertaining or relaxing — all within a fully fenced yard offering privacy and space to play. A spacious two-car garage provides ample storage and convenience.
-
2026-04-16$129,000 New 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
This inviting 3-bedroom home features beautifully updated living spaces designed for comfort and functionality. Gather around the cozy gas fireplace, while newer windows bring in abundant natural light. Step outside to enjoy the stone paver patio — perfect for entertaining or relaxing — all within a fully fenced yard offering privacy and space to play. A spacious two-car garage provides ample storage and convenience.
-
2026-03-04status Pending
-
2026-03-03historical
-
2026-03-02$129,000 New
-
2020-05-28soldstatus $73,000
-
2020-05-26soldstatus $72,500 Sold
-
2020-03-22status Pending
-
2020-03-14price $75,000
-
2020-02-29price $80,000
-
2020-02-20price $85,000
-
2020-02-05historical
-
2020-01-17$90,000 Active - New
-
2020-01-17$90,000 Active - New
-
1991-03-16soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,072 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,232 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$160/yr (+$13/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,849
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$2,072
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,508
- − Management
- −$1,508
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $2,138
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,543/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,071
- Household income
- $56,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 385.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.85%
- Current HPI
- 254.385
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+344.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $129,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-04 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $129,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2020-05-26 Sold (MLS) $72,500 GPRMLS
- 2020-03-22 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2020-03-14 Price Changed $75,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-02-29 Price Changed $80,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-02-20 Price Changed $85,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-02-05 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2020-01-17 Listed $90,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-01-17 Listed $90,000 GPRMLS
- 1991-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,072 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…