1706 El Dorado Blvd · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Four bedroom, two and a half bath home located in the Clear Lake area.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $199k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Clear Creek ISD (suburban): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #114 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.34%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $328,902
- List price
- $204,900
- Delta
- -37.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1411 Richvale Ln | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,478 (+0%) | 2mo | $334,900 | $135 | 76 |
| 15531 Penn Hills Ln | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 2,196 (-11%) | 2mo | $359,000 | $163 | 75 |
| 2002 Firtree Way | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,415 (-2%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $176 | 70 |
| 1607 Richvale Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,304 (-7%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $141 | 64 |
| 15411 Park Estates Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,472 (+0%) | 0mo | $509,999 | $206 | 62 |
| 1403 Seagate Ln | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 2,155 (-13%) | 1mo | $329,500 | $153 | 59 |
| 15002 Trowbridge Ct | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,372 (-4%) | 0mo | $385,000 | $162 | 58 |
| 15114 Greenleaf Ln | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 2,691 (+9%) | 1mo | $469,000 | $174 | 58 |
| 15019 Pearhaven Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,286 (-7%) | 2mo | $314,900 | $138 | 55 |
| 15702 Woodbourne Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,291 (-7%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $168 | 54 |
| 15911 Manor Square Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,728 (+10%) | 3mo | $442,500 | $162 | 52 |
| 2022 Park Grand Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,166 (-12%) | 1mo | $378,000 | $175 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-23,194
- Equity at exit
- $30,551
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-7,791
- Equity at exit
- $17,716
Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77062
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,350 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$530 /mo · $6,365/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$6
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,225
- Closing costs
- $6,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 Diana Ct Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2505 | $2,506 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 946 Beachcomber Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 14518 Fair Knoll Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14634 Saint Cloud Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1954 | $2,900 | $1.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 15814 Havenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14310 Sun Harbor Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1678 | $2,500 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14222 Heather Falls Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1664 | $2,275 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 16407 Glenshannon Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2402 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $6 · $72/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $204,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $204,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $204,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $214,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $214,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $214,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $214,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $214,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $214,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $214,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-25status Active 70-char remark
Show marketing remark (70 chars)
Four bedroom, two and a half bath home located in the Clear Lake area.
-
2026-04-13historical 70-char remark
Show marketing remark (70 chars)
Four bedroom, two and a half bath home located in the Clear Lake area.
-
2026-04-10$214,900 Active 70-char remark
Show marketing remark (70 chars)
Four bedroom, two and a half bath home located in the Clear Lake area.
-
2019-08-26soldstatus
-
2019-08-23soldstatus Sold 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Located in the establish and quiet Clear Lake City subdivision. This home sits on a large lot with a spacious back yard perfect to fit all needs. Featuring 4 large bed rooms and 2.5 bath rooms. Kitchen boasts of lots of cabinet space and recent appliances. Spacious living areas with a nice floor plan. A MUST SEE!!!
-
2019-07-30status Pending 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Located in the establish and quiet Clear Lake City subdivision. This home sits on a large lot with a spacious back yard perfect to fit all needs. Featuring 4 large bed rooms and 2.5 bath rooms. Kitchen boasts of lots of cabinet space and recent appliances. Spacious living areas with a nice floor plan. A MUST SEE!!!
-
2019-07-24status Option Pending 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Located in the establish and quiet Clear Lake City subdivision. This home sits on a large lot with a spacious back yard perfect to fit all needs. Featuring 4 large bed rooms and 2.5 bath rooms. Kitchen boasts of lots of cabinet space and recent appliances. Spacious living areas with a nice floor plan. A MUST SEE!!!
-
2019-07-08$199,000 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Located in the establish and quiet Clear Lake City subdivision. This home sits on a large lot with a spacious back yard perfect to fit all needs. Featuring 4 large bed rooms and 2.5 bath rooms. Kitchen boasts of lots of cabinet space and recent appliances. Spacious living areas with a nice floor plan. A MUST SEE!!!
-
2000-05-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,365 · $530/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,365 · $530/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,478
- − Property taxes
- −$6,365
- − Insurance
- −$1,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,256
- − Management
- −$2,256
- − HOA
- −$72
- − Depreciation
- −$5,961
- Taxable loss
- −$1,217
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$292
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clear Creek ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814280
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,240
- Composite
- 46.49/100
- National rank
- #2431
- State rank
- #114 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,523
- Household income
- $103,889
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 534.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 18% Asian 14% Black 10% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.35%
- Current HPI
- 234.8962
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.84%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+8.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $214,900 HARMLS
- 2019-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-08-23 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2019-07-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2019-07-24 Pending — HARMLS
- 2019-07-08 Listed $199,000 HARMLS
- 2000-05-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,365 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…