1306 Trout · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Alligator Park, a sought-after 55+ resident-owned community in the heart of Punta Gorda, offering an affordable and carefree Florida lifestyle. This well-maintained 5th-wheel residence with sunroom provides comfortable, efficient living with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, perfect for seasonal enjoyment or year-round simplicity. The bright sunroom adds valuable living space, ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the warm Florida sunshine. A $60,000 land share is included in the sale, adding long-term value and eliminating the uncertainty of lot rent—an excellent opportunity for owners or investors alike. Alligator Park is known for its friendly atmosphere and robust ameni
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Swimming pool
- Shuffleboard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Directions: From Taylor Road enter Alligator Park on Alligator Blvd, Left on W Manatee Loop, Right on Trout. Home is on your right.
- Financial info: Total annual association fees: $3,576; No lease restrictions reported
- HOA & community: HOA: Manager Alligator Park; Monthly HOA fee of $298 (includes common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, internet, grounds maintenance, management, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water); Association amenities: clubhouse, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court; Buyer/association approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed with limits; Community features include clubhouse, community mailbox, golf carts allowed, pool, association-owned recreation, and special community restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Other utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; North-facing
- Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Slab foundation; Built on single level
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Other kitchen features
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.8% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 999 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $72k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.80%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-1,509
- Equity at exit
- $10,735
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $2,692
- Equity at exit
- $6,225
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33950
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 999
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,275 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,041/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$298
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $256 | -5% $235 | +0% $215 | +5% $195 | +10% $174 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $114 | -5% $165 | +0% $215 | +5% $265 | +10% $316 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $251 | -0.5pp $233 | base $215 | +0.5pp $196 | +1.0pp $177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $298 · $3,576/yr
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $72,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $72,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $72,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$72,000 Active
-
2025-04-30historical
-
2025-03-11price $71,500
-
2024-10-17$76,500 Active
-
2024-04-29historical
-
2024-02-09price $98,500
-
2023-11-06price $112,000
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2023-04-29$119,000 Active
-
2021-07-02soldstatus $40,000 Closed
-
2021-04-24status Pending
-
2021-03-29price $51,500
-
2020-10-13$69,900 Active
-
2004-03-01soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,041 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,041 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$1,041
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,224
- − Management
- −$1,224
- − HOA
- −$3,576
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $1,748
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$420
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,955
- Household income
- $76,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 608.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.73%
- Current HPI
- 261.6573
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.06%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+476.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $72,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-30 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $71,500 FORTMLS
- 2024-10-17 Listed $76,500 FORTMLS
- 2024-04-29 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2024-02-09 Price Changed $98,500 FORTMLS
- 2023-11-06 Price Changed $112,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-04-29 Listed $119,000 FORTMLS
- 2021-07-02 Sold (MLS) $40,000 FORTMLS
- 2021-04-24 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2021-03-29 Price Changed $51,500 FORTMLS
- 2020-10-13 Listed $69,900 FORTMLS
- 2004-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+24.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,041 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…