405 Pittsfield Rd Lot F2 · Pittsfield, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Totally renovated and move-in ready mobile home in Lenox! This 2-bedroom home is located on a quiet dead-end street in the Berkshire Mobile Park and offers a nice deck along with an ample side yard to enjoy. Shed in the back needs some repairs to the roof.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Ample side yard
- Listed 35 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: 100 Amp electrical service; Public sewer
- Home design: Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Metal roof; Total building area approximately 825
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Accessible full bathroom; Accessible bedroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 3.6% in Pittsfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#70 in MA, #3,820 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, crime D.
- Lenox (town): math 47% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #93 of 302 in MA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Morris (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C+, #207 of 938 statewide, top 26%, 339 students, 0% FRL); Lenox Memorial High (math 47% / reading 68%, grade C, #145 of 343 statewide, top 42%, 431 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 16% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.19%
- DSCR
- 2.39
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,000
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -18.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Pittsfield Rd Unit A-6 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-3%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $138 | 89 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $46,345
- Equity at exit
- $33,918
- IRR
- 36.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.58×
- Total profit
- $114,692
- Equity at exit
- $47,802
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01240
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,607 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,342/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $651
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $713 | -5% $682 | +0% $651 | +5% $620 | +10% $589 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $524 | -5% $588 | +0% $651 | +5% $715 | +10% $778 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $696 | -0.5pp $674 | base $651 | +0.5pp $628 | +1.0pp $605 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-13$89,500 Active 256-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,289
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,342
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,543
- − Management
- −$1,543
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $6,796
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,631
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
Totally renovated and move-in ready mobile home in Lenox with good condition and minimal repairs needed.
Repairs flagged
- Minor deck — slight wear
- Major shed roof — visible damage
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Both repair shed roof — fixes structural issue and improves value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| deck · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| shed roof · visible damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both repair shed roof — fixes structural issue and improves value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lenox
- NCES district ID
- 2506750
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,023
- Composite
- 49.09/100
- National rank
- #2053
- State rank
- #93 of 302 in MA
Livability — Pittsfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #3820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 44,848
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,024
Population outlook (Berkshire County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 119,723 people
- By 2030
- 114,608 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 102,806 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 91,305 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 71,517 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 57,988 · -51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berkshire
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 68.9% · R 29.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 52.4pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+47.1 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+53.7 2008: D+52.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Current HPI
- 272.511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $76B |
|
||
| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
|
||
| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $89,500 BCMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…