1885 NE 121st St #17 · North Miami, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ATTENTION INVESTORS! GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR SALE! OK TO LEASE! Property is vacant. 1 bedroom and 1.5 bathrooms. Located in North Miami. Great location, close to many schools, restaurants, plazas and more.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Close to restaurants
- Close to plazas
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered; Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes common areas, laundry, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, sewer, trash, and water; Association amenities: laundry, pool
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Security: Complex fenced
- Utilities: Has cooling (central air)
- Home design: Attached property; 2 stories; First-floor entry
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Complex is fenced; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Tile floors
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $168k).
- Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.1% in North Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in FL, #914 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,072/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1914% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 10369% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $168k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.71%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-21,030
- Equity at exit
- $24,975
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-31,734
- Equity at exit
- $14,482
Cash invested: $46,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33181
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$878
- Tax from tax record
- −$262 /mo · $3,149/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$563
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$645
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,875
- Closing costs
- $5,025
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 NE 135th St #904 North Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 963 | $23,509 | $24.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2020 NE 135th St North Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 963 | $23,509 | $24.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $563 · $6,756/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $167,500 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $167,500 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $167,500 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,500 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $167,500 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,500 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,500 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,500 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $167,500 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,500 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $167,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,500 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,500 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-04-17historical $1,600
-
2026-03-27$1,600
-
2026-02-20historical $1,650
-
2026-01-17price $167,500
-
2025-11-25$168,000 Active
-
2025-10-23price $1,650
-
2025-10-08price $1,690
-
2025-09-27$1,700
-
2025-08-15historical $1,600
-
2025-06-04$1,600
-
2025-04-28price $181,900
-
2025-04-07price $182,900
-
2025-01-29price $183,900
-
2024-12-06$184,000 Active
-
2024-03-06historical
-
2023-12-12$184,000 Active
-
2023-02-14historical
-
2022-10-21price $249,900
-
2022-10-04price $198,000
-
2022-07-29$200,000 Active
-
2021-07-01historical
-
2021-07-01status Active
-
2021-05-26status Active
-
2021-04-28price $142,560
-
2020-10-15$132,000 Active
-
2013-06-21soldstatus $72,500 Sold
-
2013-04-27status Pending
-
2009-11-05soldstatus $30,000
-
2009-08-27$30,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,149 · $262/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,149 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,383
- − Property taxes
- −$3,149
- − Insurance
- −$5,956
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,949
- − Management
- −$2,949
- − HOA
- −$6,756
- − Depreciation
- −$4,873
- Taxable income
- $847
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$203
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #914
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 99,437
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,848
- Household income
- $63,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1914.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% Black 29% Two or more races 23% White 22% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 8% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 18% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 51% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 28% English-only · Spanish 44% French/Haitian/Cajun 18% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -334.57%
- Current HPI
- 341.3285
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.11%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-94.8% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Rental Removed $1,600 MARMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed for Rent $1,600 MARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Rental Removed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $167,500 MARMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $168,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $1,690 MARMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed for Rent $1,700 MARMLS
- 2025-08-15 Rental Removed $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-06-04 Listed for Rent $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $181,900 MARMLS
- 2025-04-07 Price Changed $182,900 MARMLS
- 2025-01-29 Price Changed $183,900 MARMLS
- 2024-12-06 Listed $184,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-06 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-12-12 Listed $184,000 MARMLS
- 2023-02-14 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-10-21 Price Changed $249,900 MARMLS
- 2022-10-04 Price Changed $198,000 MARMLS
- 2022-07-29 Listed $200,000 MARMLS
- 2021-07-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-07-01 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2021-05-26 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2021-04-28 Price Changed $142,560 MARMLS
- 2020-10-15 Listed $132,000 MARMLS
- 2013-06-21 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MARMLS
- 2013-04-27 Pending — MARMLS
- 2009-11-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Beaches MLS
- 2009-08-27 Listed $30,900 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,149 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…