1953 Longwood Dr · Jackson, MS 39212

$75,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,628 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market

Built 1968 0.26 ac lot $46/sqft · 15% below area Est $88k · 15% under ↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +14.1/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS ALERT -CASH FLOW BONANZA Unlock immediate income with this 4BR/2Bath Rental. No rehab,no delays , no hassles,this unit is ready to go. With this 4 BR/2 bath home checks for strong cash flow potential. featuring fresh interior/exterior painting ,updates throughout, prime architectural Roof for added value. Good location with solid rental demand. IDEAL BUY AND HOLD OR PORTFOLIO ADDITION. Look at this ! . 4/2 with new Sherwin Williams paint inside and out . New Roof is only 4 years and ridge vents added to to keep heat out . New luxury vinyl flooring added . over $1000 spent on alarm system that calls security or fire with cellular back-up, no wi-fi needed . Rent thru HUD for $1800 / month

Key facts

• Solid rental demand
• 0.26 acre lot
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• PRIME ARCHITECTURAL ROOF
• SOLID RENTAL DEMAND
• NEW LUXURY VINYL FLOORING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
• Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.84% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.98%
• DSCR: 2.24
• GRM: 4.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $87,840
• List price: $75,000
• Delta: -14.62%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1843 Longwood Dr	0.21mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,634 (+0%)	10mo	$125,000	$76	76
1943 Bienville Dr	0.12mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,484 (-9%)	8mo	$25,000	$17	68
1422 Wooddell Dr	0.47mi	4/2.0	1,540 (-5%)	6mo	$99,000	$64	64
1027 Autumn St	0.56mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,694 (+4%)	1mo	$84,900	$50	61
2971 Kentwood Dr	0.63mi	4/2.0	1,532 (-6%)	3mo	$59,900	$39	59
1944 Bienville Dr	0.09mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,403 (-14%)	14mo	$93,000	$66	56
2605 Cliffwood Dr	0.51mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,566 (-4%)	13mo	$97,500	$62	54
3114 Suncrest Dr	0.52mi	4/2.0	1,432 (-12%)	3mo	$64,900	$45	53
1710 Smallwood St	0.62mi	4/2.0	1,741 (+7%)	14mo	$59,000	$34	48
2530 Crestleigh Mnr	0.53mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,445 (-11%)	8mo	$62,000	$43	42
3121 Woodvile Cir	0.53mi	4/3.0	1,872 (+15%)	9mo	$80,000	$43	39
1423 Woody Dr	0.72mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,404 (-14%)	2mo	$24,900	$18	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.99×
• Total profit: $20,824
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 32.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.13×
• Total profit: $65,827
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39212

• Home prices YoY: -11.7%
• Rents YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 302
• Price-to-rent: 4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,377 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$173 /mo · $2,081/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$289
• Net cashflow: $490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $757

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 33 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1606	$1,600	$1.00	43d	1	0.25mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1800	$1,400	$0.78	23d	1	0.37mi
1641 Woodburn St Jackson, MS	5.0	2.0	1300	$1,812	$1.39	13d	1	0.67mi
2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1554	$1,250	$0.80	23d	1	0.68mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1308	$1,200	$0.92	13d	1	0.75mi
3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	1.0	1292	$1,225	$0.95	43d	1	0.83mi
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1200	$975	$0.81	43d	1	0.84mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,150	$0.72	23d	1	0.84mi
1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1132	$1,050	$0.93	13d	1	0.85mi
1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1056	$900	$0.85	23d	1	0.85mi
1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1143	$1,050	$0.92	13d	1	0.85mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1058	$1,150	$1.09	23d	1	0.86mi
3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1104	$1,150	$1.04	21d	1	0.88mi
5136 Lurline Dr Unit Ma Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1134	$1,100	$0.97	13d	1	0.92mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,100	$0.92	13d	1	0.99mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1200	$1,100	$0.92	43d	1	0.99mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1421	$1,100	$0.77	43d	1	1.05mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,200	$1.07	23d	1	1.08mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,200	$1.07	13d	1	1.08mi
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1280	$1,236	$0.97	43d	1	1.08mi
2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1566	$1,050	$0.67	23d	1	1.10mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1509	$1,075	$0.71	13d	1	1.12mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1509	$1,075	$0.71	23d	1	1.12mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	2137	$1,425	$0.67	13d	1	1.19mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	2137	$1,425	$0.67	43d	1	1.19mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1474	$1,306	$0.89	13d	1	1.20mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,100	$1.00	43d	1	1.23mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1300	$950	$0.73	43d	1	1.25mi
1805 Hospital Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1335	$1,050	$0.79	13d	1	1.27mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1343	$1,000	$0.74	43d	1	1.28mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1343	$1,000	$0.74	13d	1	1.28mi
2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1666	$1,575	$0.95	13d	1	1.34mi
296 Woodcliff Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	2242	$1,756	$0.78	13d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,000 Active 66 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,000 Active 65 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,000 Active 64 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   price $75,000 Active 63 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $95,000 Active 63 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $95,000 Active 58 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $95,000 Active 57 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
18. 2026-04-13
    listed $99,900 Active 746-char remark

    Show marketing remark (746 chars)

    INVESTORS ALERT -CASH FLOW BONANZA Unlock immediate income with this 4BR/2Bath Rental. No rehab,no delays , no hassles,this unit is ready to go. With this 4 BR/2 bath home checks for strong cash flow potential. featuring fresh interior/exterior painting ,updates throughout, prime architectural Roof for added value. Good location with solid rental demand. IDEAL BUY AND HOLD OR PORTFOLIO ADDITION. Look at this ! . 4/2 with new Sherwin Williams paint inside and out . New Roof is only 4 years and ridge vents added to to keep heat out . New luxury vinyl flooring added . over $1000 spent on alarm system that calls security or fire with cellular back-up, no wi-fi needed . Rent thru HUD for $1800 / month

19. 2026-04-01
    historical
20. 2026-03-17
    price $105,900
21. 2026-02-26
    price $110,100
22. 2026-02-20
    price $113,900
23. 2026-01-21
    price $114,900
24. 2026-01-15
    price $116,900
25. 2026-01-12
    price $121,900
26. 2026-01-05
    listed $124,900 Active
27. 2020-01-03
    soldstatus
28. 2020-01-03
    soldstatus
29. 2019-11-22
    listed $26,500
30. 2008-06-18
    soldstatus
31. 2008-05-12
    soldstatus
32. 2008-03-29
    listed $58,000
33. 2006-04-13
    soldstatus
34. 2006-04-13
    soldstatus
35. 2006-02-14
    listed $108,000
36. 1996-05-30
    soldstatus
37. 1984-04-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,081 · $173/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,081 · $173/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,520
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$2,081
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,322
• − Management: −$1,322
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $5,038
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,209
• After-tax cash flow: $4,666/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jackson Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2802190
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $33,234
• Composite: 10.89/100
• National rank: #9755
• State rank: #112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #66
• US rank: #9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jackson, MS
• County: Hinds County · 167,040 people
• City population: 140,204
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• Population (ZIP): 25,659
• Household income: $50,722
• Rent vs Own: 37.8% rent · 62.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 242,528 people
• By 2030: 241,113 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 235,557 · -2.9%
• By 2050: 226,946 · -6.4%
• By 2075: 199,995 · -17.5%
• By 2100: 164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -23.01%
• Current HPI: 174.4025
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.23%
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-7.5% since first listed

20 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Listed $99,900 MLSU
• 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
• 2026-03-17 Price Changed $105,900 MLSU
• 2026-02-26 Price Changed $110,100 MLSU
• 2026-02-20 Price Changed $113,900 MLSU
• 2026-01-21 Price Changed $114,900 MLSU
• 2026-01-15 Price Changed $116,900 MLSU
• 2026-01-12 Price Changed $121,900 MLSU
• 2026-01-05 Listed $124,900 MLSU
• 2020-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2020-01-03 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
• 2019-11-22 Listed $26,500 MLSU
• 2008-06-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2008-05-12 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
• 2008-03-29 Listed $58,000 MLSU
• 2006-04-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2006-04-13 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
• 2006-02-14 Listed $108,000 MLSU
• 1996-05-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1984-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,081 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.