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433 Calloway St
D Composite 43.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0

$194,900

433 Calloway St · Houston, TX 77029
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1942 5,000 sqft lot $164/sqft · at area comps Est $201k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this home tucked away on Houston’s east side. Set on a spacious lot, there’s plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors—whether it’s relaxing evenings, a small garden, or simply having space to spread out. Step inside to a comfortable open layout designed for easy living. The living area feels welcoming and flows naturally into the dining space, making it perfect for quiet nights at home or casual get-togethers. The kitchen adds a touch of charm with granite countertops, soft-close cabinetry, and ample storage for all your essentials. A dedicated laundry/utility room offers everyday convenience, while the overall feel of the home is warm, functional, and easy to

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1942

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (first-floor living areas noted); Built in 1942; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Construction: Cement siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built: 1942
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (16 x 6)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (15 x 12); Bedroom on the first floor (14 x 10); Bedroom on the first floor (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Cleared lot (see Exterior for lot details)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-251 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (22.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jacinto City El (math 31% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,396 of 4,322 statewide, top 56%, 714 students, 89% FRL); Woodland Acres Middle (math 35% / reading 34%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 603 students, 85% FRL); Galena Park H S (math 37% / reading 36%, grade F, #924 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,914 students, 87% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,523 (22.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.06%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,516
List price
$194,900
Delta
-2.80%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2513 13th St 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,258 (+6%) 1mo $139,999 $111 82
2515 7th St 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,171 (-1%) 2mo $169,900 $145 73
2224 11th St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-6%) 1mo $179,900 $161 70
2204 Benson Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,242 (+4%) 1mo $199,999 $161 68
2219 15th St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,213 (+2%) 7mo $94,000 $77 67
225 Armstrong St 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,207 (+2%) 8mo $115,000 $95 66
1204 Sage Dr 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,336 (+12%) 8mo $160,000 $120 60
9721 Stedman St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,265 (+6%) 2mo $211,000 $167 58
2222 8th St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,246 (+5%) 7mo $149,950 $120 58
213 Armstrong St 0.50mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,281 (+8%) 4mo $110,000 $86 53
2220 7th St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,114 (-6%) 7mo $179,990 $162 53
2113 10th St 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,103 (-7%) 7mo $135,000 $122 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$90,295
Equity at exit
$175,581
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.11×
Total profit
$278,775
Equity at exit
$378,648

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77029

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,637 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,022
Tax from tax record
$375 /mo · $4,499/yr
Insurance
$81
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$-251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,955
Max offer price $150,523
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
335 Delaware St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 784 $940 $1.20 12d 1 0.33mi
423 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,515 $1.39 1d 1 0.41mi
403 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,435 $1.58 5d 1 0.42mi
205 Bolden St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 43d 1 0.46mi
9743 Veyblum St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,145 $1.31 5d 1 0.50mi
9821 Turnbow St Unit C Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,720 $1.51 43d 1 0.54mi
311 Massachusetts St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,700 $1.44 12d 1 0.62mi
9713 Stedman St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,095 $1.26 43d 1 0.65mi
2216 3rd St Galena Park, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 43d 1 0.73mi
9710 Tuffly St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,795 $1.41 24d 1 0.85mi
9709 Cargill St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1184 $2,300 $1.94 43d 1 1.07mi
9806 Fillmore St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,850 $2.18 43d 1 1.08mi
9907 Lanewell St Unit a Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,154 $1.32 21d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 839-char remark
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $194,900 Active 839-char remark
  3. 2026-04-28
    historical
  4. 2025-10-15
    price $170,000
  5. 2025-10-10
    price $189,999
  6. 2025-09-23
    listed $199,999 Active
  7. 2025-08-28
    historical
  8. 2025-07-29
    listed $169,977 Active
  9. 2024-02-16
    soldstatus
  10. 2024-02-08
    soldstatus
  11. 2024-02-02
    soldstatus Sold
  12. 2023-12-23
    status Pending
  13. 2023-12-18
    status Option Pending
  14. 2023-10-18
    price $174,900
  15. 2023-10-18
    status Active
  16. 2023-10-15
    status Pending
  17. 2023-10-05
    status Option Pending
  18. 2023-08-15
    price $195,000
  19. 2023-07-31
    listed $200,900 Active
  20. 2023-07-25
    historical
  21. 2023-07-15
    price $204,999
  22. 2023-05-20
    price $217,500
  23. 2023-05-03
    listed $224,999 Active
  24. 2017-12-27
    soldstatus Sold
  25. 2017-11-29
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  26. 2017-10-30
    listed $149,900 Active
  27. 2017-06-09
    soldstatus
  28. 1994-12-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,499 · $375/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,499 · $375/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,647
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$4,499
− Insurance
−$1,772
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,572
− Management
−$1,572
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable loss
−$6,354
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,525
After-tax cash flow
$-1,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galena Park ISD
NCES district ID
4820250
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,158
Composite
27.62/100
National rank
#6927
State rank
#578 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,154
Household income
$48,279
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
457.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 61%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.53%
Current HPI
276.1811
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+30.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $194,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $170,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $189,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $199,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $169,977 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-02-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-02-02 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-12-23 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-12-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Price Changed $174,900 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-10-15 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-08-15 Price Changed $195,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Listed $200,900 HARMLS
  • 2023-07-25 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-07-15 Price Changed $204,999 HARMLS
  • 2023-05-20 Price Changed $217,500 HARMLS
  • 2023-05-03 Listed $224,999 HARMLS
  • 2017-12-27 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2017-11-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-10-30 Listed $149,900 HARMLS
  • 2017-06-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-12-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,499 · +101.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…