149 N Highland Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two unit apartment, each with its own bathroom. Great for first time buuyer who wants to convert or an investor.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 52 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.86%
- DSCR
- 3.75
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $223,470
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 N Highland Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,170 (0%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $64 | 95 |
| 111 N Highland Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,170 (0%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $90 | 89 |
| 134 N Curley St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,170 (0%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $231 | 83 |
| 122 Ellwood Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $196 | 78 |
| 3135 Mcelderry St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+5%) | 1mo | $234,000 | $191 | 74 |
| 14 S Curley St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (-7%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $246 | 66 |
| 3420 Leverton Ave | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,340 (+14%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $86 | 66 |
| 629 N Kenwood Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (-6%) | 1mo | $76,500 | $70 | 63 |
| 2712 Ashland Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,164 (-0%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $150 | 59 |
| 280 S Robinson St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,282 (+10%) | 1mo | $294,000 | $229 | 58 |
| 309 S Fagley St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,030 (-12%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $218 | 56 |
| 2435 Jefferson St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+8%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $111 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $49,989
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.47×
- Total profit
- $114,792
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,980 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $686/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $1,027
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 N Clinton St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3430 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1316 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3205 Esther Pl Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 17 N East Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,550 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3436 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3413 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 203 N Ellwood Ave Unit Main Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,200 | $2.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,395 | $2.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3304 McElderry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 106 S Bouldin St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1134 | $2,100 | $1.85 | 20d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 115 S Eaton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1393 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3710 E Pratt St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1230 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 127 S Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 150 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1266 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 201 S Conkling St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,500 | $2.03 | 2d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 235 S Highland Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1222 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 34 N Linwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $2,400 | $1.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2815 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 102 S Curley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2934 E Monument St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,499 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 223 Grundy St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10 N Streeper St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 718 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 724 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 400 S Highland Ave Unit 402 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 321 Fagley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 400 S Conkling St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3232 Eastern Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 874 | $2,260 | $2.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 218 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3905 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 909 | $2,350 | $2.58 | 2d | 20 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-14price $75,000
-
2026-03-25price $100,000
-
2026-02-25$110,000 Active
-
2024-01-04soldstatus $85,000
-
2007-07-23historical
-
2007-06-21
-
2006-11-17soldstatus $130,000
-
2006-10-25soldstatus $130,000 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Two unit apartment, each with its own bathroom. Great for first time buuyer who wants to convert or an investor.
-
2006-08-14historical 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Two unit apartment, each with its own bathroom. Great for first time buuyer who wants to convert or an investor.
-
2006-08-01historical
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Two unit apartment, each with its own bathroom. Great for first time buuyer who wants to convert or an investor.
-
2006-08-01$120,000 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Two unit apartment, each with its own bathroom. Great for first time buuyer who wants to convert or an investor.
-
2006-07-31
-
1996-04-29soldstatus $20,000
-
1996-04-18soldstatus $20,000
-
1996-03-23historical
-
1995-11-08$31,900
-
1988-10-28soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $686 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$66/yr (+$5/mo · 9.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,761
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$686
- − Insurance
- −$1,042
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,901
- − Management
- −$1,901
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $11,849
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,844
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+167.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-06-21 Listed — MRIS
- 2006-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-25 Sold (MLS) $130,000 MRIS
- 2006-08-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-08-01 Listed $120,000 MRIS
- 2006-08-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-07-31 Listed — MRIS
- 1996-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1996-04-18 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MRIS
- 1996-03-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 1995-11-08 Listed $31,900 MRIS
- 1988-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $686 · -72.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…