6 Ritton St · Sidney, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New Doors, New Windows, New furnace, New boiler. Insulation all over the house. Dry basement. 5 min walking distince to school. Upper Sidney very quaite Neigbors.
Key facts
- New furnace
- New boiler
- Insulation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.9% in Sidney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Sidney Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $100k implies a 506% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.75%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,024
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 W Main St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,332 (+1%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $90 | 86 |
| 22 Ritton St | 0.11mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,365 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $114 | 81 |
| 3 Glen Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (-10%) | 7mo | $94,900 | $80 | 73 |
| 24 Sunset Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+2%) | 8mo | $197,000 | $146 | 71 |
| 10 Cayuga | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+6%) | 1mo | $171,000 | $122 | 70 |
| 11 Secor St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (+11%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $164 | 65 |
| 65 E Main St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-5%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $120 | 63 |
| 12 Cayuga St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (+11%) | 2mo | $185,400 | $127 | 60 |
| 71 E Main St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-9%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $21 | 58 |
| 254 Bird Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-12%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $43 | 54 |
| 2 Patterson St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (-11%) | 9mo | $33,000 | $28 | 50 |
| 7 Loomis Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,503 (+14%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $106 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $23,055
- Equity at exit
- $42,755
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $66,584
- Equity at exit
- $64,223
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13838
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,606/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $261 | -5% $233 | +0% $204 | +5% $176 | +10% $148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $106 | -5% $155 | +0% $204 | +5% $254 | +10% $303 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $230 | base $204 | +0.5pp $178 | +1.0pp $152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5355 Main St Sidney, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$99,999 Active 162-char remark
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2026-03-02historical
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2026-03-01historical
-
2025-12-05$139,888 Active
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2025-12-05$139,888 Active
-
2019-11-14$59,000
-
2018-08-01historical
-
2018-03-12$54,900
-
2015-09-01$69,900
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2013-08-06historical
-
2013-03-04$34,990
-
2009-11-25soldstatus $16,500
-
2009-11-19soldstatus $16,500
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2009-09-23$22,900
-
2009-08-13historical
-
2008-10-08$19,900
-
2006-06-01soldstatus $95,400
-
2003-04-23soldstatus $35,000
-
1996-07-24soldstatus $39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,606 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,606 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$2,606
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $983
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$236
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sidney Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626850
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,110
- Composite
- 38.29/100
- National rank
- #4232
- State rank
- #462 of 590 in NY
Livability — Sidney
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sidney, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,185
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 9% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Current HPI
- 324.4858
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+156.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,999 FSBO.com
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Listed $139,888 UNYREIS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $139,888 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-14 Listed $59,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-08-01 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2018-03-12 Listed $54,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-09-01 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2013-08-06 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2013-03-04 Listed $34,990 UNYREIS
- 2009-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
- 2009-11-19 Sold (MLS) $16,500 UNYREIS
- 2009-09-23 Listed $22,900 UNYREIS
- 2009-08-13 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2008-10-08 Listed $19,900 UNYREIS
- 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,400 Public Records
- 2003-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,606 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…