430 South Ave · Glencoe, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Schools +7.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Glencoe, this all-brick newer construction residence offers a refined blend of timeless craftsmanship and elevated modern living, just moments from boutique shopping, dining, parks, top-rated schools, and the Metra. A gracious foyer introduces rich Brazilian cherry flooring that flows seamlessly throughout the main living spaces, setting a warm, sophisticated tone. The formal living room is anchored by a striking limestone fireplace and framed by stately French doors that open to a distinguished executive office, complete with custom built-ins, intricate wood paneling, and coffered ceilings. Designed for both intimate gatherings and grand entert
Key facts
- Limestone fireplace
- Custom built-ins
- Executive office
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing; Earnest money held
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fees required; Community includes park, sidewalks and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Attached and detached garage options; 3 total garage/parking spaces; Brick and concrete driveway; Garage owned
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Shake roof; Approximately 21–25 years old; Finished below-grade area
- Exterior features: Patio; Balcony; Property close to commuter train; Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 182
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with island and eating area/table space; High-end stainless appliances including double oven, cooktop, oven, range hood, dishwasher, and high-end refrigerator; Wine refrigerator and bar fridge
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (2 additional possible; 2 bedrooms located in the finished basement); Primary suite on second level with hardwood floors and full bath
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring throughout main and upper living areas; Carpet in basement bedrooms and recreation room; Porcelain tile in laundry
- Bathrooms: 6 full bathrooms and 1 half bath; Bathrooms include separate showers, whirlpool, steam shower, double sinks and full body spray shower; Basement includes bathroom(s)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air and radiant floor heating; Zoned heating; Central air conditioning with zoned cooling
- Interior features: Built-in features; Walk-in closets; Skylights; Finished full basement; 13 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Utility room in lower level; Multiple water heaters; Sump pump; Central vacuum
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $2.30M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11k ($-136k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (87.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (87.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $291k (87.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 0.4% vs local median 1.7% in Glencoe — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#119 in IL, #2,064 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
- New Trier Twp Hsd 203 (suburban): math 76% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #2 of 620 in IL (top 0%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: South Elem School (395 students, 0% FRL); Central School (math 65% / reading 64%, grade A-, #14 of 665 statewide, top 2%, 568 students, 0% FRL); New Trier Township H S Northfield (923 students, 0% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 78% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the New Trier Twp Hsd 203 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($2.26M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $201k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $1.58M; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.13% ✗
- Cap rate
- 0.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -21.18%
- DSCR
- 0.06
- GRM
- 65.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,962,060
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735 Grove St | 0.31mi | 4/3.5 | 3,476 (-6%) | 3mo | $1,650,000 | $475 | 73 |
| 260 Lincoln Dr | 0.57mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,824 (+3%) | 2mo | $1,975,000 | $516 | 58 |
| 356 Sheridan Rd | 0.70mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,702 (0%) | 6mo | $1,962,000 | $530 | 57 |
| 343 Washington Ave | 0.25mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,296 (-11%) | 5mo | $2,021,000 | $613 | 57 |
| 565 Woodlawn Ave | 0.53mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 3,847 (+4%) | 6mo | $1,200,000 | $312 | 57 |
| 490 Jefferson Ave | 0.25mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,150 (-15%) | 4mo | $2,380,000 | $756 | 51 |
| 516 Drexel Ave | 0.74mi | 4/4.5 | 3,491 (-6%) | 3mo | $1,350,000 | $387 | 50 |
| 250 Dennis Ln | 0.53mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,340 (-10%) | 3mo | $1,975,000 | $591 | 47 |
| 954 Vernon Ave | 0.74mi | 4/3.5 | 3,401 (-8%) | 8mo | $1,500,000 | $441 | 45 |
| 165 Lapier St | 0.69mi | 5/5.0 (+1) | 3,916 (+6%) | 4mo | $3,140,000 | $802 | 44 |
| 195 Lake St | 0.74mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,546 (-4%) | 10mo | $2,279,000 | $643 | 41 |
| 511 Woodlawn Ave | 0.55mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,243 (-12%) | 10mo | $1,275,000 | $393 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -61.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.70×
- Total profit
- $-1,097,370
- Equity at exit
- $342,788
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,892,590
- Equity at exit
- $198,776
Cash invested: $643,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60022
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 65.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,908 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$12,056
- Tax from tax record
- −$643 /mo · $7,717/yr
- Insurance
- −$958
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$611
- Net cashflow
- $-11,360
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-10,058 | -5% $-10,709 | +0% $-11,360 | +5% $-12,010 | +10% $-12,661 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-11,589 | -5% $-11,475 | +0% $-11,360 | +5% $-11,245 | +10% $-11,130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-10,202 | -0.5pp $-10,775 | base $-11,360 | +0.5pp $-11,955 | +1.0pp $-12,561 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $574,750
- Closing costs
- $68,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $2,299,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,299,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,299,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,299,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $2,299,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,299,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,299,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $2,299,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,299,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,299,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,299,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,299,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,299,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $2,299,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,299,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,299,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-03-25$2,500,000 Active
-
2020-03-24historical
-
2020-02-20New
-
2003-07-08soldstatus $1,585,000
-
2001-06-26soldstatus $625,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,717 · $643/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $29,952 · $2,496/mo
- Expected delta
- +$22,235/yr (+$1,853/mo · 288.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$128,780
- − Property taxes
- −$7,717
- − Insurance
- −$11,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,792
- − Management
- −$2,792
- − Depreciation
- −$66,880
- Taxable loss
- −$185,557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$44,534
- After-tax cash flow
- $-91,783/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Trier Twp Hsd 203
- NCES district ID
- 1728200
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $164,521
- Composite
- 76.94/100
- National rank
- #103
- State rank
- #2 of 620 in IL
Livability — Glencoe
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #2064
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glencoe, IL
- City population
- 8,415
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,415
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 14% Romanian 7% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.44%
- Current HPI
- 188.4335
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+300.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $2,500,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-20 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $1,585,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $625,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2023): $7,717 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…