3476 E Bonner Dr · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special, property has been condemned and you are not able to go inside. Great location, close to base and shopping centers. Court approval required.
Key facts
- Great location
- Close to base
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA fees
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and street parking; 528 sq. ft. garage
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached Cape Cod; Single-story; Crawl foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Chain link fence; City view
Interior
- Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sherwood Forest Elementary (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #900 of 1,108 statewide, top 83%, 480 students, 98% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.09%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,481
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -43.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3705 Nottaway St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 917 (+4%) | 2mo | $246,000 | $268 | 81 |
| 4611 Robin Hood Rd | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 852 (-4%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $305 | 77 |
| 4551 Dora Cir | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-2%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $219 | 71 |
| 3753 Davis St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+3%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $274 | 70 |
| 3764 Larkin St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (-4%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $288 | 70 |
| 3061 Tree Chop Rd | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-9%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $206 | 65 |
| 3749 Davis St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (-10%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $157 | 61 |
| 4717 Krick St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 835 (-5%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $305 | 59 |
| 4832 Hampshire Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (-6%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $270 | 51 |
| 3500 Hyde Cir | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-14%) | 3mo | $198,500 | $263 | 49 |
| 5108 Elmhurst Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-13%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $299 | 43 |
| 3513 Tait Ter | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+13%) | 6mo | $236,500 | $237 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,397
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $14,237
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23513
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,457 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,843/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4745 Lind St Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4745 Lind St Unit B Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4566 Hampshire Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,350 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3044 Sewells Point Rd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,134 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3400 Lafayette Blvd #2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4802 Norvella Ave Unit 1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2403 Sewells Point Rd Unit 3 Norfolk, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3801 Chatham Cir Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir Unit B 1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir #1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2640 Azalea Garden Rd Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 105 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Apt 210 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 212 Norfolk, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4505 Cape Henry Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2707 Azalea Garden Rd Apt B3 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,195 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2721 Grandy Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1232 Norview Ave Unit NOR1232R-EA Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4670 Kincaid Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3872 Wake Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3872 Wake Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2421 Arkansas Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,225 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3507 Cape Henry Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,200 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2939 Marne Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 659 | $1,700 | $2.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5404 Douglas St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6225 Alexander St Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,299 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6225 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,499 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2949 Verdun Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,000 | $3.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3219 Brest Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,100 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6241 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $895 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6228 Chesapeake Blvd Unit G Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $925 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4852 E Princess Anne Rd Norfolk, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6234 Chesapeake Blvd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $925 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6249 Alexander St Unit C Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6249 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6249 Alexander St Unit C Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2405 Lafayette Blvd Unit A Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2900 Verdun Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,800 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1445 Norcova Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$125,000 Active 157-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,843 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,843 · $237/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,487
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,843
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,399
- − Management
- −$1,399
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $583
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$140
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,628
- Household income
- $68,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1342.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.67%
- Current HPI
- 329.2241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $125,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,843 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…