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641 N Augusta Ave N 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$177,000

641 N Augusta Ave N · Baltimore, MD 21229
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,544 sqft · Townhouse public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1930 $115/sqft · 13% below area Est $259k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This affordable 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Baltimore City is conveniently located just minutes from downtown, the Beltway (I-695), and Interstate 70. The community shopping center is undergoing a complete remodeling. Strong Profit Opportunity, Largest model, 1544 square feet interior above ground with a 4th bedroom in the finished attic. Modern kitchen with side porch area. The lower level is partly finished with a half bath. This area is a walkout to the attached garage. Did I mention the value for this size property is above three hundred thousand? Don't miss this opportunity to make this home yours. The property is tenant-occupied and an advance notice is required. Parking in the rear with an attached garage.

Key facts

  • Side porch area
  • Modern kitchen
  • Parking

Tags

MODERN KITCHENSIDE PORCH AREAPARTLY FINISHED LOWER LEVELWALKOUT TO ATTACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $177,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$259,376) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $177k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $177k).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($156k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $177k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.99%
Cash-on-cash
9.65%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,376
List price
$177,000
Delta
-31.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
733 Lyndhurst St 0.21mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,550 (+0%) 2mo $85,000 $55 81
1226 N Augusta Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-0%) 0mo $212,000 $138 77
3716 Edmondson Ave 0.31mi 4/1.0 1,512 (-2%) 2mo $130,000 $86 76
509 Normandy Ave 0.25mi 4/2.5 1,458 (-6%) 1mo $212,000 $145 76
1215 N Augusta Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,536 (-0%) 2mo $138,000 $90 74
3707 Colborne Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-9%) 1mo $220,000 $157 63
517 N Edgewood St 0.53mi 4/2.5 1,430 (-7%) 2mo $90,000 $63 60
743 Linnard St 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,693 (+10%) 1mo $199,000 $118 58
1231 Kevin Rd 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+12%) 2mo $225,000 $130 52
120 Allendale St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+12%) 2mo $225,000 $130 50
101 Upmanor Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,408 (-9%) 1mo $205,000 $146 48
4516 Pen Lucy Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,416 (-8%) 2mo $205,000 $145 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,773
Equity at exit
$26,391
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$56,081
Equity at exit
$15,304

Cash invested: $49,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21229

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,056 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$928
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,690/yr
Insurance
$74
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,552
Max offer price $177,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,250
Closing costs
$5,310
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4020 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,875 $1.48 43d 1 0.11mi
917 Kevin Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,795 $1.56 2d 1 0.25mi
409 Normandy Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1640 $1,500 $0.91 23d 1 0.29mi
3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 23d 1 0.31mi
3700 Woodridge Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1955 $1,950 $1.00 43d 1 0.36mi
4113 Mountwood Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1520 $1,795 $1.18 43d 1 0.39mi
3619 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1962 $2,800 $1.43 43d 1 0.40mi
623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 23d 1 0.42mi
730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1360 $1,750 $1.29 23d 1 0.49mi
3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1428 $2,300 $1.61 43d 1 0.49mi
3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,895 $1.80 4d 1 0.54mi
787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,575 $1.41 23d 1 0.55mi
798 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,295 $1.69 23d 1 0.55mi
111 Upmanor Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,163 $1.77 43d 1 0.55mi
405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1408 $2,950 $2.10 4d 1 0.56mi
780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,590 $1.30 43d 1 0.56mi
202 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,250 $1.32 23d 1 0.57mi
117 Collins Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1617 $2,350 $1.45 43d 1 0.72mi
41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,800 $1.48 23d 1 0.77mi
4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 23d 1 0.79mi
212 S Loudon Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1310 $1,550 $1.18 43d 1 0.83mi
3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 43d 1 0.86mi
3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,625 $1.31 23d 1 0.88mi
715 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1542 $2,550 $1.65 43d 1 0.91mi
3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 43d 1 0.95mi
3309 Brighton St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,700 $1.50 43d 1 0.96mi
2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 10d 1 0.97mi
2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 23d 1 0.97mi
19 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,850 $1.37 43d 1 0.98mi
1513 N Ellamont St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,700 $1.00 23d 1 1.03mi
2922 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,900 $1.17 43d 1 1.04mi
1633 N Hilton St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1920 $2,600 $1.35 17d 1 1.07mi
1530 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,895 $1.15 14d 1 1.10mi
114 S Rock Glen Rd Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1160 $2,350 $2.03 12d 1 1.12mi
2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 14d 1 1.15mi
1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1540 $800 $0.52 43d 1 1.19mi
2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,900 $1.35 3d 1 1.20mi
2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1412 $2,100 $1.49 23d 1 1.22mi
2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,800 $1.43 3d 1 1.28mi
5147 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,950 $1.60 3d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $177,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $177,000 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $177,000 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $177,000 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $177,000 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $177,000 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $177,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $177,000 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $177,000 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $177,000 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-04-25
    status Active 723-char remark
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    This affordable 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Baltimore City is conveniently located just minutes from downtown, the Beltway (I-695), and Interstate 70. The community shopping center is undergoing a complete remodeling. Strong Profit Opportunity, Largest model, 1544 square feet interior above ground with a 4th bedroom in the finished attic. Modern kitchen with side porch area. The lower level is partly finished with a half bath. This area is a walkout to the attached garage. Did I mention the value for this size property is above three hundred thousand? Don't miss this opportunity to make this home yours. The property is tenant-occupied and an advance notice is required. Parking in the rear with an attached garage.

  12. 2026-03-13
    historical 723-char remark
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    This affordable 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Baltimore City is conveniently located just minutes from downtown, the Beltway (I-695), and Interstate 70. The community shopping center is undergoing a complete remodeling. Strong Profit Opportunity, Largest model, 1544 square feet interior above ground with a 4th bedroom in the finished attic. Modern kitchen with side porch area. The lower level is partly finished with a half bath. This area is a walkout to the attached garage. Did I mention the value for this size property is above three hundred thousand? Don't miss this opportunity to make this home yours. The property is tenant-occupied and an advance notice is required. Parking in the rear with an attached garage.

  13. 2025-12-16
    listed $187,000 Active 723-char remark
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    This affordable 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Baltimore City is conveniently located just minutes from downtown, the Beltway (I-695), and Interstate 70. The community shopping center is undergoing a complete remodeling. Strong Profit Opportunity, Largest model, 1544 square feet interior above ground with a 4th bedroom in the finished attic. Modern kitchen with side porch area. The lower level is partly finished with a half bath. This area is a walkout to the attached garage. Did I mention the value for this size property is above three hundred thousand? Don't miss this opportunity to make this home yours. The property is tenant-occupied and an advance notice is required. Parking in the rear with an attached garage.

  14. 2016-07-30
    historical Withdrawn
  15. 2016-07-30
    historical
  16. 2016-06-29
    price
  17. 2016-06-15
    price
  18. 2016-05-31
    price
  19. 2016-05-16
    listed Active
  20. 2016-05-16
    listed $110,000
  21. 2016-04-26
    historical
  22. 2016-04-26
    historical Withdrawn
  23. 2016-04-18
    price
  24. 2016-03-22
    status Active
  25. 2016-03-22
    listed $110,000
  26. 2016-03-18
    historical
  27. 2016-03-18
    listed Active
  28. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus $62,000
  29. 2005-06-06
    soldstatus $62,000
  30. 2005-04-16
    historical
  31. 2004-05-03
    listed $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,690 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,690 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,678
− Mortgage interest
−$9,915
− Property taxes
−$2,690
− Insurance
−$885
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,974
− Management
−$1,974
− Depreciation
−$5,149
Taxable income
$2,091
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$502
After-tax cash flow
$4,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
46,679
Household income
$60,047
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
2776.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.07%
Current HPI
226.896
Rent YoY
▲ 5.38%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+201.6% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $187,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-30 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-06-29 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-06-15 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-05-31 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-05-16 Listed MRIS
  • 2016-05-16 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-04-26 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-04-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-04-18 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-03-22 Relisted MRIS
  • 2016-03-22 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-03-18 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-03-18 Listed MRIS
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-06 Sold (MLS) $62,000 MRIS
  • 2005-04-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 2004-05-03 Listed $62,000 MRIS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,690 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…