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301 Mcswain Rd
B+ Composite 77.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

301 Mcswain Rd · Hattiesburg, MS 39401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1960 7,405 sqft lot $79/sqft · 41% below area Est $160k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to country living with room to grow at 301 McSwain Rd in Hattiesburg! This home offers the perfect opportunity for a first-time buyer looking to put in a little sweat equity or an investor searching for their next rental or flip project. Situated on a spacious lot, this property has solid potential and plenty of possibilities. Being sold AS-IS and priced with opportunity in mind. Cash or conventional buyers preferred. Whether you're looking for your next investment or a place to make your own, this one is worth a look! MORE PICTURES WILL BE ADDED AS THE HOME IS CLEARED!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 covered carport spaces; Driveway parking (total 4 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation; Built by owner (year built source: Owner)
  • Exterior features: Aluminum roof; Lot approximately 0.17 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included; Wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($542/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.0% in Hattiesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in MS, #2,046 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment F.
  • Hattiesburg Public School District (urban): math 25% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #81 of 130 in MS (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 121 units permitted in Forrest County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Forrest County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.58%
Cash-on-cash
22.46%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,900
List price
$90,000
Delta
-43.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-6,290
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$22,052
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39401

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,384 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,327
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $107 -5% $76 +0% $45 +5% $14 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-64 -5% $-10 +0% $45 +5% $100 +10% $155
Rate -1.0pp $90 -0.5pp $68 base $45 +0.5pp $22 +1.0pp $-2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
901 W Pine St Hattiesburg, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 930 $1,200 $1.29 21d 1 1.21mi
112 Dearborne St Unit B Hattiesburg, MS 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 21d 1 1.28mi
112 Dearborne St Unit A Hattiesburg, MS 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 21d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    listed $90,000 Active 585-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,612
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$5,568
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,329
− Management
−$1,329
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable loss
−$624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$150
After-tax cash flow
$691/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hattiesburg Public School District
NCES district ID
2801800
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$28,058
Composite
20.38/100
National rank
#8595
State rank
#81 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hattiesburg

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2046

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hattiesburg, MS
County
Forrest County · 65,413 people
City population
87,151
Metro
Hattiesburg, MS
Population (ZIP)
42,531
Household income
$41,127
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
2534.0

Population outlook (Forrest County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
79,264 people
By 2030
80,822 · +2.0%
By 2040
82,979 · +4.7%
By 2050
84,324 · +6.4%
By 2075
84,942 · +7.2%
By 2100
80,616 · +1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 40% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Forrest

2024 margin
R (+17.9) · D 40.3% · R 58.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -17.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+11.7 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.93%
Current HPI
137.87
Rent YoY
▲ 6.56%
Metro
Hattiesburg, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $90,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…