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841 S Newton Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

841 S Newton Ave · Springfield, MO 65806
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1917 7,405 sqft lot $101/sqft · 32% below area Est $125k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming property with a cute front porch and mature trees creating great curb appeal. Tenant in place, making this an easy as-is investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Curb appeal
  • Mature trees

Tags

FRONT PORCHMATURE TREESCURB APPEALINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: 840 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.17-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (type not specified); No central cooling
  • Interior features: One full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $85,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$124,586) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sunshine Elem. (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 351 students, 75% FRL); Parkview High (math 11% / reading 40%, grade F, #433 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 1,234 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 46% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.55%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$124,586
List price
$85,000
Delta
-31.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1530 W Lombard St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (0%) 1mo $145,000 $173 87
942 S Nettleton Ave 0.14mi 2/2.0 (+1) 816 (-3%) 0mo $122,900 $151 79
1012 S Fort Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (-9%) 1mo $105,000 $137 70
1259 S Ferguson Ave 0.55mi 1/1.0 864 (+3%) 4mo $140,000 $162 66
845 S Newton Ave 0.01mi 2/1.0 (+1) 962 (+14%) 7mo $134,900 $140 65
1068 S Broadway Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 821 (-2%) 7mo $139,900 $170 64
735 S Missouri Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (+1) 904 (+8%) 0mo $140,000 $155 61
1310 W State St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (-13%) 3mo $114,900 $158 60
1121 S Fort Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 (+1) 741 (-12%) 4mo $67,000 $90 54
1055 S New Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (+1) 724 (-14%) 5mo $149,900 $207 52
1107 S Broadway Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (+1) 926 (+10%) 8mo $124,500 $134 50
942 S Market Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 884 (+5%) 6mo $139,000 $157 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$620
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$22,199
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65806

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$923 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $461/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $658
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1036 W Monroe Ter Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 812 $795 $0.98 23d 1 0.31mi
627 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $895 $1.02 23d 1 0.32mi
810 W Catalpa St Apt 316 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 581 $551 $0.95 23d 1 0.56mi
810 W Catalpa St Apt 302 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 806 $664 $0.82 23d 1 0.56mi
513 S Broadway Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $855 $1.07 43d 1 0.56mi
1200 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 13d 3 0.56mi
847 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $815 $0.75 43d 1 0.59mi
1735 W Bennett St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $1,124 $1.41 13d 2 0.66mi
1911 W Elm St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 580 $875 $1.51 43d 1 0.67mi
1112 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 43d 1 0.69mi
505 W Grand St Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 996 $1,095 $1.10 13d 1 0.73mi
1044 S Main Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1089 $1,050 $0.96 43d 1 0.73mi
865 S Douglas Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 850 $895 $1.05 13d 4 0.73mi
433 W Grand St Unit C Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1023 $1,295 $1.27 43d 1 0.79mi
733 W College St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 13d 1 0.86mi
901 South Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 695 $825 $1.19 43d 1 0.94mi
535 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,495 $1.36 43d 1 0.94mi
301 W State St Unit D Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 570 $875 $1.54 23d 1 0.95mi
741 South Ave Unit 5 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 950 $750 $0.79 43d 1 0.96mi
755 South Ave Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 23d 1 0.96mi
806 South Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 670 $1,085 $1.62 13d 3 0.98mi
430 W Pershing St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 765 $1,195 $1.56 13d 1 1.01mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 21d 5 1.02mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 23d 5 1.02mi
1020 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1010 $950 $0.94 23d 1 1.03mi
1040 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1010 $945 $0.94 13d 1 1.04mi
305 S Campbell Ave Unit 208 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 649 $975 $1.50 13d 1 1.05mi
1634 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,145 $1.36 13d 23 1.07mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,150 $0.85 13d 4 1.08mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,150 $0.85 23d 5 1.08mi
2541 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1034 $975 $0.94 43d 1 1.08mi
1625 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,107 $1.23 13d 5 1.11mi
209 W McDaniel St Unit 209-207 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 1.15mi
138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $969 $0.89 13d 8 1.18mi
522 N Park Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 608 $950 $1.56 43d 1 1.19mi
520 S Scenic Ave Unit 101-A Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 550 $650 $1.18 43d 1 1.22mi
1017 W Washita St Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 585 $825 $1.41 13d 1 1.25mi
309 S Jefferson Ave Unit 211 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 762 $767 $1.01 43d 1 1.25mi
533 Bear Blvd Unit 111 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 1100 $649 $0.59 43d 1 1.25mi
511 E Cherry St Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    statusdays on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $85,000 Active 153-char remark
  16. 2017-07-13
    listed $49,900
  17. 2016-05-06
    soldstatus
  18. 2016-04-29
    soldstatus
  19. 2015-11-11
    listed $36,000
  20. 2008-12-10
    listed $54,900
  21. 2008-04-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$461 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$824 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 78.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,070
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$461
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$886
− Management
−$886
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$283
After-tax cash flow
$2,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
13,692
Household income
$28,165
Rent vs Own
87.3% rent · 12.7% own
Severe rent burden
1966.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.72%
Current HPI
208.8156
Rent YoY
▲ 4.17%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted SOMO
  • 2026-05-23 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $85,000 SOMO
  • 2017-07-13 Listed $49,900 SOMO
  • 2016-05-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-04-29 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2015-11-11 Listed $36,000 SOMO
  • 2008-12-10 Listed $54,900 SOMO
  • 2008-04-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $461 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…