Duplex
437 Torry Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$975,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
I am excited to introduce you to 437 Torry Avenue, a beautifully refreshed and fully renovated two-family brick home located in the desirable Castle Hill vicinity of the Bronx. This charming residence has been thoughtfully restored to its original beauty, featuring a classic brick Two family, a spacious backyard, and a convenient two-car driveway. The property also boasts a newly coated roof, installed this past summer, and new stainless steel front gates, all meticulously maintained. The first-floor duplex unit offers four generously sized bedrooms and two bathrooms, providing ample space for comfortable living. The top-floor unit features three bedrooms and one bathroom, complete with a b
Key facts
- Newly coated roof
- Spacious backyard
- Brand new kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building area approximately 2,314 sq ft (public records); Property condition: Actual
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Public sewer; Public water; Cable available and connected; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available and connected; Sewer connected; Trash collection (public); Water connected
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit; One 4-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Aluminum-framed windows; No patio or porch
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: other (on-site)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×4bd/1.5ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $975k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($705/yr) — positive. Per door: $29/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $770k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $770k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,705/mo this rent would consume 176% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 3913% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($960k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $490k; list at $975k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.26%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $967,252
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 436 Olmstead Ave | 0.02mi | 7/2.5 (-1) | 2,314 (0%) | 18mo | $805,000 | $348 | 77 |
| 435 Zerega Ave | 0.27mi | 9/5.0 (+1) | 2,512 (+9%) | 18mo | $1,050,000 | $418 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-154,569
- Equity at exit
- $145,376
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-131,076
- Equity at exit
- $84,300
Cash invested: $273,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10473
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 20.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,705 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,113
- Tax from tax record
- −$509 /mo · $6,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$406
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,618
- Net cashflow
- $59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $611 | -5% $335 | +0% $59 | +5% $-217 | +10% $-493 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-550 | -5% $-246 | +0% $59 | +5% $363 | +10% $667 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $550 | -0.5pp $307 | base $59 | +0.5pp $-194 | +1.0pp $-451 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 4 | 1.5 | $3,953 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1.5 | $3,752 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,705 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $243,750
- Closing costs
- $29,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $975,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $975,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $975,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $975,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $975,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $975,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $975,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $975,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $975,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $975,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $975,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $975,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $975,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $975,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,107 · $509/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,292 · $941/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,185/yr (+$432/mo · 84.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $92,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,615
- − Property taxes
- −$6,107
- − Insurance
- −$4,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,397
- − Management
- −$7,397
- − Depreciation
- −$28,364
- Taxable loss
- −$16,294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,616/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,855
- Household income
- $52,462
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3913.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Black 34% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 31% Dominican 20%
- Common ancestry
- British 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.70%
- Current HPI
- 276.2941
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+179.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $975,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Listed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-15 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-03 Listed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $490,000 Public Records
- 2007-04-30 Sold (MLS) $475,000 HGMLS
- 2007-02-14 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2007-02-14 Price Changed $489,000 HGMLS
- 2007-01-10 Listed $475,000 HGMLS
- 2003-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $349,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,107 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…