400 E Oak Grove Rd · Corsicana, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained and recently updated mobile home situated on approximately 0.377 acres, offering a unique opportunity with three total lots included on one survey. The property features an open floor plan, granite countertops, recessed lighting, and a freshly cleaned interior and exterior, making it move-in ready. The sale includes two additional platted lots (ID #29953 and #29954), each approximately 5,009 square feet, providing added value and flexibility for future use, expansion, or investment. All three lots are reflected on the existing survey, which is included with the property. Buyer’s agent to verify all measurements, acreage, and lot details.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Recessed lighting
- Three total lots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.4% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
- Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.02%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-2,838
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $4,739
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75110
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,017 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $849/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $254 | +0% $229 | +5% $204 | +10% $178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $148 | -5% $189 | +0% $229 | +5% $269 | +10% $309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $251 | base $229 | +0.5pp $206 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 E Beverly Dr Unit 204 Corsicana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $800 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 736 W 1st Ave Unit B Corsicana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1306 Liveoak Ave Corsicana, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2107 Bowie Dr Unit I Corsicana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $900 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2107 Bowie Dr Unit 23 Corsicana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1430 W 5th Ave Corsicana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1432 W 5th Ave Corsicana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-03-27$89,000 Active 669-char remark
Show marketing remark (669 chars)
Well-maintained and recently updated mobile home situated on approximately 0.377 acres, offering a unique opportunity with three total lots included on one survey. The property features an open floor plan, granite countertops, recessed lighting, and a freshly cleaned interior and exterior, making it move-in ready. The sale includes two additional platted lots (ID #29953 and #29954), each approximately 5,009 square feet, providing added value and flexibility for future use, expansion, or investment. All three lots are reflected on the existing survey, which is included with the property. Buyer’s agent to verify all measurements, acreage, and lot details.
-
2022-12-27soldstatus
-
2022-12-19soldstatus Closed 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Beautiful Mobile home with recent updates! New flooring, New paint granite counter tops, and recessed lighting. Owner is selling this property along with survey that currently shows 2 lots already platted. Property has several separate ID numbers. 29953 & 29954 approx 5,009 sqft each. Selling mobile home with 2 additional lots approx .377 acres. Buyers agent to verify accurate acres. Owner financing available with 20 % down, 5%interest, 15 year term or 6.5% interest with a 30 year term, 20 % down.
-
2022-11-13status Pending 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Beautiful Mobile home with recent updates! New flooring, New paint granite counter tops, and recessed lighting. Owner is selling this property along with survey that currently shows 2 lots already platted. Property has several separate ID numbers. 29953 & 29954 approx 5,009 sqft each. Selling mobile home with 2 additional lots approx .377 acres. Buyers agent to verify accurate acres. Owner financing available with 20 % down, 5%interest, 15 year term or 6.5% interest with a 30 year term, 20 % down.
-
2022-10-04price $129,999 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Beautiful Mobile home with recent updates! New flooring, New paint granite counter tops, and recessed lighting. Owner is selling this property along with survey that currently shows 2 lots already platted. Property has several separate ID numbers. 29953 & 29954 approx 5,009 sqft each. Selling mobile home with 2 additional lots approx .377 acres. Buyers agent to verify accurate acres. Owner financing available with 20 % down, 5%interest, 15 year term or 6.5% interest with a 30 year term, 20 % down.
-
2022-09-23$132,000 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Beautiful Mobile home with recent updates! New flooring, New paint granite counter tops, and recessed lighting. Owner is selling this property along with survey that currently shows 2 lots already platted. Property has several separate ID numbers. 29953 & 29954 approx 5,009 sqft each. Selling mobile home with 2 additional lots approx .377 acres. Buyers agent to verify accurate acres. Owner financing available with 20 % down, 5%interest, 15 year term or 6.5% interest with a 30 year term, 20 % down.
-
2022-07-18soldstatus
-
2019-09-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,629 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$779/yr (+$65/mo · 91.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$849
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$976
- − Management
- −$976
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,382
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$332
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corsicana ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815330
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,948
- Composite
- 31.89/100
- National rank
- #5862
- State rank
- #471 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corsicana
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #283
- US rank
- #6570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corsicana, TX
- County
- Navarro County · 31,552 people
- City population
- 31,552
- Metro
- Corsicana, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,552
- Household income
- $57,370
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,397 people
- By 2030
- 48,096 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 47,394 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 46,541 · -3.8%
- By 2075
- 44,940 · -7.1%
- By 2100
- 42,288 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Navarro
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.01%
- Current HPI
- 224.5566
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.47%
- Metro
- Corsicana, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-32.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $89,000 NTREIS
- 2022-12-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-12-19 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-11-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-10-04 Price Changed $129,999 NTREIS
- 2022-09-23 Listed $132,000 NTREIS
- 2022-07-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-09-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $849 · -23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…