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447 Yellow Belle Dr
C Composite 57.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0

$204,990

447 Yellow Belle Dr · Pageland, SC 29728
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,442 sqft · Townhouse · 15 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 1,742 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * QUICK MOVE IN OPPORTUNITY * * Welcome to Laney Farms Townhomes, a new community in Pageland offering convenient access to nearby towns and everyday destinations. Located just 15 minutes from Monroe and within reach of the greater Charlotte area, this location provides a balance of small-town charm and regional connectivity. Residents can enjoy nearby shopping, dining, and local attractions while still benefiting from the relaxed pace of Pageland living. Laney Farms is designed to offer modern homes within a thoughtfully planned neighborhood. As one of the first opportunities to own in the new Laney Farms Townhome community, buyers will enjoy attractive new construction homes along wit

Key facts

  • Open main level
  • Amenity center
  • Convenient access

Tags

QUICK MOVE IN OPPORTUNITYCONVENIENT ACCESSPLANNED COMMUNITY AMENITIESAMENITY CENTERGATHERING SPACESOPEN MAIN LEVEL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present; HOA dues are mandatory

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Townhouse; Residential property; Under construction (proposed completion mid‑June 2026); Two levels; Entry level is level 1
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation; New construction by Ryan Homes (model: Poplar)
  • Exterior features: Concrete and paved roads; Private maintained road; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Insulated doors; Two levels with 10 total rooms; Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer included; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $205k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (2.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (2.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.0% in Pageland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#352 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pageland Elementary (math 21% / reading 19%, grade F, #492 of 597 statewide, top 83%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Central High (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #151 of 196 statewide, top 79%, 644 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $199,900 (2.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.40%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$122,027
Equity at exit
$184,671
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
7.12×
Total profit
$351,268
Equity at exit
$398,250

Cash invested: $57,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29728

Home prices YoY
19.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,999 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax est. 1.5%
$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,793
Max offer price $204,990
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,248
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 Maggys Way Pageland, SC 3.0 3.0 1517 $1,999 $1.32 22d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $204,990 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $204,990 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $204,990 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $204,990 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $204,990 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $204,990 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $204,990 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $204,990 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-05-25
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,988
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$3,075
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,919
− Management
−$1,919
− Depreciation
−$5,963
Taxable loss
−$1,396
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$335
After-tax cash flow
$2,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This townhouse is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a great location. It's move-in ready and would benefit from some landscaping and painting to further enhance its appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Rental Appliance Maintenance — keeps appliances in top condition

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Rental Appliance Maintenance — keeps appliances in top condition

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chesterfield 01
NCES district ID
4501560
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$33,946
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7547
State rank
#55 of 80 in SC

Livability — Pageland

Score
52/100
State rank
#352
US rank
#24948

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
9,470
Population (ZIP)
9,470

Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,632 people
By 2030
43,331 · -2.9%
By 2040
40,218 · -9.9%
By 2050
36,847 · -17.4%
By 2075
29,636 · -33.6%
By 2100
23,536 · -47.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 38% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.1) · D 35.5% · R 63.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -28.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.1 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+3.3 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.76%
Current HPI
299.8227
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $215,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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