104 Sycamore Pl · Athens, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT PLACE IN CONVENIENT LOCATION. OWNER FINANCE
Key facts
- Patio
- Built 1990
- Listed 5 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 24 x 103; No fireplaces
- HOA & community: No association; Subdivision: Sycamore Place
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhouse; Residential property; One level; Built in 1990
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Athens City (town): math 27% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 129 in AL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Athens Middle School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #121 of 257 statewide, top 50%, 958 students, 59% FRL); Athens High School (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #56 of 305 statewide, top 18%, 1,173 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.62%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,050
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -31.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Sycamore Pl | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-12%) | 0mo | $142,000 | $137 | 75 |
| 162 Sycamore Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+9%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $166 | 71 |
| 105 Canterbury Cir | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,340 (+13%) | 4mo | $191,100 | $143 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-11,305
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,608
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35611
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 546
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $534/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Hine St N Athens, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1601 Florence St Athens, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 514 Brownsferry St Athens, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 953 | $1,045 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 17960 Arrowhead Dr Athens, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $924 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17962 Arrowhead Dr Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,024 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 314 Browns Ferry St Athens, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,045 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 402 Crutcher Cir Athens, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1108 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1601 W Elm St Unit 34 Athens, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16917 Orleans Dr Unit 32 Athens, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 16129 Cohen Dr Athens, AL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1650 | $1,420 | $0.86 | 13d | 9 | 1.10mi |
| 404 Chestnut St Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,150 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 100 Henry Dr Athens, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $869 | $0.81 | 13d | 4 | 1.33mi |
| 710 S Clinton St Athens, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 13d | 6 | 1.43mi |
| 17896 Sallows Dr Athens, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 19254 Autumn Falls Way Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,239 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 19254 Autumn Falls Way Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,469 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 205-char remark
-
2026-05-07$139,900 Active 205-char remark
-
2026-03-05$165,000 Active
-
2025-08-15price $179,900
-
2025-06-06$190,000 Active
-
2019-03-28soldstatus $79,546
-
2012-10-26soldstatus $88,000
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
GREAT PLACE IN CONVENIENT LOCATION. OWNER FINANCE
-
2012-09-27$88,000
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
GREAT PLACE IN CONVENIENT LOCATION. OWNER FINANCE
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $534 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$39/yr (+$3/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$534
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $289
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens City
- NCES district ID
- 0100120
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,479
- Composite
- 33.14/100
- National rank
- #5555
- State rank
- #29 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens, AL
- County
- Limestone County · 80,439 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,969
- Household income
- $57,377
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 811.0
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.98%
- Current HPI
- 185.0264
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+61.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) $142,000 VMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $139,900 VMLS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $179,900 VMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $190,000 VMLS
- 2019-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $79,546 Public Records
- 2012-10-26 Sold (MLS) $88,000 VMLS
- 2012-09-27 Listed $88,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $534 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…