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801-803 Winston Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

801-803 Winston Dr · Fairborn, OH 45324
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,911 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1945 8,400 sqft lot Est $357k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this charming brick duplex located just minutes from downtown Fairborn, offering easy access to restaurants, shopping, and local amenities. Each unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing a practical and comfortable layout for residents. Whether you're looking to invest or live in one side while renting the other, this well-situated property offers excellent potential in a convenient location. Unit 801 - Tenant signed a 1 year lease that is good through 5/31/2026. Currently paying $725 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey. Unit 803 - Tenant is month to month, currently paying $800 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Brick duplex
  • New break panel

Tags

BRICK DUPLEXFENCED YARDNEW BREAK PANELNEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $179,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$357,357) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $886 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $443/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,631/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1472% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.23%
Cash-on-cash
21.21%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$357,357
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
721 Winston Dr #719 0.01mi 6/2.0 1,911 (0%) 10mo $145,000 $76 91
711 N Central Ave 0.19mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,764 (-8%) 1mo $329,000 $187 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$34,916
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$135,591
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45324

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,631 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,151/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$553
Net cashflow
$886

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,509
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 61%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,631

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-22
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-15
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-11
    listed $179,000 Active
  5. 2026-01-18
    price $179,000
  6. 2025-08-15
    soldstatus $145,000 Closed 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Discover this charming brick duplex located just minutes from downtown Fairborn, offering easy access to restaurants, shopping, and local amenities. Each unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing a practical and comfortable layout for residents. Whether you're looking to invest or live in one side while renting the other, this well-situated property offers excellent potential in a convenient location. Unit 801 - Tenant signed a 1 year lease that is good through 5/31/2026. Currently paying $725 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey. Unit 803 - Tenant is month to month, currently paying $800 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey.

  7. 2025-07-03
    status Pending 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Discover this charming brick duplex located just minutes from downtown Fairborn, offering easy access to restaurants, shopping, and local amenities. Each unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing a practical and comfortable layout for residents. Whether you're looking to invest or live in one side while renting the other, this well-situated property offers excellent potential in a convenient location. Unit 801 - Tenant signed a 1 year lease that is good through 5/31/2026. Currently paying $725 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey. Unit 803 - Tenant is month to month, currently paying $800 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey.

  8. 2025-06-06
    listed $179,900 Active 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Discover this charming brick duplex located just minutes from downtown Fairborn, offering easy access to restaurants, shopping, and local amenities. Each unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing a practical and comfortable layout for residents. Whether you're looking to invest or live in one side while renting the other, this well-situated property offers excellent potential in a convenient location. Unit 801 - Tenant signed a 1 year lease that is good through 5/31/2026. Currently paying $725 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey. Unit 803 - Tenant is month to month, currently paying $800 per month. Stove and refrigerator to convey.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,151 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,472 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$321/yr (+$27/mo · 14.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,572
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,151
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,526
− Management
−$2,526
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$8,241
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,978
After-tax cash flow
$8,654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairborn City
NCES district ID
3904396
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,091
Composite
36.05/100
National rank
#4772
State rank
#520 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fairborn

Score
72/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#6101

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairborn, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
41,194
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
41,194
Household income
$64,979
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1472.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,301 people
By 2030
171,840 · +0.9%
By 2040
171,408 · +0.7%
By 2050
167,806 · -1.5%
By 2075
154,430 · -9.3%
By 2100
138,669 · -18.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -157.48%
Current HPI
228.0801
Rent YoY
▲ 5.75%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-15 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $179,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-18 Price Changed $179,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-08-15 Sold (MLS) $145,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-03 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $179,900 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,151 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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