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963 Semler St
B Composite 73.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$35,000

963 Semler St · Prichard, AL 36610
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market
Built 1982 4,399 sqft lot $40/sqft · at area comps Est $35k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to a rare and exciting investment opportunity-this diamond in the rough offers the perfect canvas for your next renovation project or flip. Whether you're a seasoned investor, contractor, or ambitious homeowner looking for sweat equity, this is your chance to create real value. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Schedule a private showing today!

Key facts

  • 4,399 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Listed 113 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($873 rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 11.4% in Prichard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $372 of equity ($242 loan paydown + $130 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $35k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $31,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.50%
Cap rate
22.39%
Cash-on-cash
57.49%
DSCR
3.56
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,412
List price
$35,000
Delta
-1.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
452 Glendale Pl 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 884 (+0%) 16mo $18,000 $20 53
61 Ralph Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,000 (+14%) 20mo $40,000 $40 42
1021 Cherry St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,006 (+14%) 8mo $35,000 $35 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.6%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$29,497
Equity at exit
$10,819
10-year hold
IRR
61.5%
Equity multiple
8.09×
Total profit
$69,492
Equity at exit
$13,541

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36610

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$873 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $268/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $279
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
519 Bay Bridge Rd Unit B Prichard, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $925 $0.93 43d 1 0.46mi
38 Flock Ave Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 849 $795 $0.94 43d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 112 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 111 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $35,000 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 94 DOM
  17. 2026-03-23
    status Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Welcome to a rare and exciting investment opportunity-this diamond in the rough offers the perfect canvas for your next renovation project or flip. Whether you're a seasoned investor, contractor, or ambitious homeowner looking for sweat equity, this is your chance to create real value. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Schedule a private showing today!

  18. 2026-03-16
    status Pending 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Welcome to a rare and exciting investment opportunity-this diamond in the rough offers the perfect canvas for your next renovation project or flip. Whether you're a seasoned investor, contractor, or ambitious homeowner looking for sweat equity, this is your chance to create real value. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Schedule a private showing today!

  19. 2026-02-18
    listed $35,000 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Welcome to a rare and exciting investment opportunity-this diamond in the rough offers the perfect canvas for your next renovation project or flip. Whether you're a seasoned investor, contractor, or ambitious homeowner looking for sweat equity, this is your chance to create real value. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Schedule a private showing today!

  20. 2023-07-27
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking for a lucrative investment opportunity? Look no further than this investor special located at 963 Semler St in Prichard, Alabama! This property is just waiting for the right investor to come in and unlock its full potential. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, contact your favorite Realtor today to schedule a showing.

  21. 2023-07-27
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking for a lucrative investment opportunity? Look no further than this investor special located at 963 Semler St in Prichard, Alabama! This property is just waiting for the right investor to come in and unlock its full potential. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, contact your favorite Realtor today to schedule a showing.

  22. 2023-07-12
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking for a lucrative investment opportunity? Look no further than this investor special located at 963 Semler St in Prichard, Alabama! This property is just waiting for the right investor to come in and unlock its full potential. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, contact your favorite Realtor today to schedule a showing.

  23. 2023-07-12
    status Pending 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking for a lucrative investment opportunity? Look no further than this investor special located at 963 Semler St in Prichard, Alabama! This property is just waiting for the right investor to come in and unlock its full potential. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, contact your favorite Realtor today to schedule a showing.

  24. 2023-04-26
    listed $20,000 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking for a lucrative investment opportunity? Look no further than this investor special located at 963 Semler St in Prichard, Alabama! This property is just waiting for the right investor to come in and unlock its full potential. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, contact your favorite Realtor today to schedule a showing.

  25. 2023-04-26
    listed $20,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking for a lucrative investment opportunity? Look no further than this investor special located at 963 Semler St in Prichard, Alabama! This property is just waiting for the right investor to come in and unlock its full potential. This investor special is priced to sell quickly, so don't miss out on this opportunity. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, contact your favorite Realtor today to schedule a showing.

  26. 2023-01-24
    price $30,000
  27. 2009-02-18
    soldstatus $21,661

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$268 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$268 · $22/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,481
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$268
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$838
− Management
−$838
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$5,382
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,292
After-tax cash flow
$4,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prichard

Score
54/100
State rank
#472
US rank
#24080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prichard, AL
City population
13,402
Population (ZIP)
9,692

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 1% White 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.37%
Current HPI
42.6203
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+61.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted GCMLS AL
  • 2026-03-16 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $35,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2023-07-27 Sold (MLS) $20,000 BCAR
  • 2023-07-27 Sold (MLS) $20,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2023-07-12 Pending BCAR
  • 2023-07-12 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2023-04-26 Listed $20,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2023-04-26 Listed $20,000 BCAR
  • 2023-01-24 Price Changed $30,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2009-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $21,661 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $268 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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