CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3000 Ashley Pl Duplex
B Composite 72.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

3000 Ashley Pl · Pharr, TX 78577
None bd · None ba · 4,368 sqft · MultiFamily · 211 Days on market
Built 1996 Good condition 6,524 sqft lot $57/sqft · 34% below area Est $378k · 34% under $40/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Discover an exceptional investment opportunity with this 2-story duplex located in the Pharr Plantation community. Each unit offers comfortable living spaces and a desirable layout, making it ideal for both owner-occupants and investors. Tenants enjoy access to a variety of premium amenities, including community pool privileges, common areas, and 24/7 gated security, providing peace of mind and resort-style living year-round. Situated in a prime location, this duplex offers convenient proximity to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or move into one unit while renting out the other, this Pharr Plantation duplex is a standout opportunity you won’t want to miss!

Key facts

  • 2 story duplex
  • 24 7 gated security
  • 6,524 sq ft lot

Tags

2 STORY DUPLEXPHARR PLANTATION COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY POOL PRIVILEGES24 7 GATED SECURITYCONVENIENT PROXIMITY TO DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $317/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.4% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,233/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.07%
Cash-on-cash
13.48%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$377,680
List price
$250,000
Delta
-33.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-9,417
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$7,884
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78577

Home prices YoY
-8.1%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
451
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,233 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$679
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,430
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $807 -5% $721 +0% $634 +5% $548 +10% $462
Rent -10% $379 -5% $507 +0% $634 +5% $762 +10% $890
Rate -1.0pp $760 -0.5pp $698 base $634 +0.5pp $570 +1.0pp $504

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,233

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3000 Ashley Pl #1 Pharr, TX 2.0 2.0 4368 $950 $0.22 44d 1 0.01mi
1800 S Ironwood St Pharr, TX 2.0 2.0 4050 $900 $0.22 24d 1 1.02mi
1804 S Linden St Pharr, TX 2.0 2.0 3744 $900 $0.24 24d 1 1.10mi
1503 E Coyote St Unit 8 Pharr, TX 3.0 2.0 4350 $950 $0.22 24d 1 1.10mi
3514 S Dominique Dr Unit 3 Pharr, TX 3.0 2.0 4200 $1,250 $0.30 19d 1 1.16mi
1603 W Omni Ave Unit 2 Pharr, TX 2.0 2.5 4800 $875 $0.18 44d 1 1.27mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 211 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 210 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 209 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 208 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 206 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 205 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 203 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 202 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 201 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 200 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 196 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 195 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 194 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 193 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 192 DOM
  16. 2025-12-23
    price $250,000 737-char remark
    Show marketing remark (737 chars)

    Discover an exceptional investment opportunity with this 2-story duplex located in the Pharr Plantation community. Each unit offers comfortable living spaces and a desirable layout, making it ideal for both owner-occupants and investors. Tenants enjoy access to a variety of premium amenities, including community pool privileges, common areas, and 24/7 gated security, providing peace of mind and resort-style living year-round. Situated in a prime location, this duplex offers convenient proximity to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or move into one unit while renting out the other, this Pharr Plantation duplex is a standout opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  17. 2025-11-19
    listed $265,000 Active 737-char remark
    Show marketing remark (737 chars)

    Discover an exceptional investment opportunity with this 2-story duplex located in the Pharr Plantation community. Each unit offers comfortable living spaces and a desirable layout, making it ideal for both owner-occupants and investors. Tenants enjoy access to a variety of premium amenities, including community pool privileges, common areas, and 24/7 gated security, providing peace of mind and resort-style living year-round. Situated in a prime location, this duplex offers convenient proximity to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or move into one unit while renting out the other, this Pharr Plantation duplex is a standout opportunity you won’t want to miss!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,796
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$3,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,104
− Management
−$3,104
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$4,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$962
After-tax cash flow
$6,650/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-story duplex in Pharr Plantation is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Upgrades to the exterior, flooring, and kitchen would significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace tile flooring — Improves aesthetics and durability
  • Both Upgrade kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and increases value
  • Both Install new windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace tile flooring — Improves aesthetics and durability
  • Both Upgrade kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and increases value
  • Both Install new windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD
NCES district ID
4834860
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$33,757
Composite
19.63/100
National rank
#8744
State rank
#740 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pharr

Score
72/100
State rank
#245
US rank
#5852

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pharr, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
City population
80,540
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
80,540
Household income
$52,770
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 45% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 92%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada
Languages at home
18% English-only · Spanish 81%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.00%
Current HPI
261.1606
Rent YoY
▼ -0.24%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $250,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $265,000 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…