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3510 W Elmore St 8-Plex
C+ Composite 64.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,400,000

3510 W Elmore St · Seattle, WA 98199
104 bd · 64.0 ba · 7,031 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1968 6,960 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

We are pleased to present Twin Cedars Apartments, an 8-unit apartment built in 1968 in Seattle’s coveted Magnolia neighborhood, within steps of Discovery Park. The building offers 31BD averaging 732SF and 5 2BD averaging 967SF, with efficient floor plans. With 2BD units comprising 63% of the building, the unit mix is squarely aligned with the unit type that drives the strongest tenant demand and longest retention across Seattle’s rental market. _of the 8 units have been updated with stone countertops and LVP flooring, delivering a modernized interior foundation. Roof replaced and cedar siding resided in 2020 keep the exterior in sound condition, and a newly improved bike storage

Key facts

  • Cedar siding resided
  • Parking income
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

UPDATED WITH STONE COUNTERTOPSLVP FLOORINGROOF REPLACEDCEDAR SIDING RESIDEDADDITION OF IN-UNIT LAUNDRYPARKING INCOME

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total units: 8; Vacancy rate reported at 5%; Gross scheduled income: $184,489; Gross adjusted income: $175,265; Total monthly income: $15,760; Net operating income: $126,733; Total expenses: $62,385; Insurance expense: $7,142; Other expense: $21,055; Gross rent multiplier: 13; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Storage available

Exterior

  • Parking: 8 uncovered parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential income property (multi-family); 5–9 unit style code; Two stories; Property in very good condition; Has a view
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition, flat and torch-down roofing; Poured concrete foundation; Effective year built 1992
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior; Deck; Alley access; Dead-end street location; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven in all units; Refrigerator in all units; Dishwasher in all units
  • Bedrooms: Mix of 1- and 2-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has one bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl plank flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in all units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8 × 13-bed/8.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.40M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($71k/yr) — positive. Per door: $739/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($27k rent vs $2.40M).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $26,787/mo this rent would consume 178% of the median local household income ($181k/yr) (locally 432% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $17k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $72k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $672k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1.02M; list at $2.40M implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $2,400,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.56%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$22,082
Equity at exit
$357,848
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$649,451
Equity at exit
$207,508

Cash invested: $672,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City Seattle
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
Just Cause + Relocation Assistance + Source of Income + First in Time.

ZIP-level market 98199

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
59.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$26,787 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$12,586
Tax from tax record
$1,665 /mo · $19,980/yr
Insurance
$1,000
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,625
Net cashflow
$5,911

Break-even live

Break-even rent $19,305
Max offer price $2,400,000
Occupancy floor 73%

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (8 units) $26,787

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$600,000
Closing costs
$72,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $2,400,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 687-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $2,400,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$19,980 · $1,665/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$23,520 · $1,960/mo
Expected delta
+$3,540/yr (+$295/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$321,444
− Mortgage interest
−$134,437
− Property taxes
−$19,980
− Insurance
−$12,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$25,716
− Management
−$25,716
− Depreciation
−$69,818
Taxable income
$33,777
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,107
After-tax cash flow
$62,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seattle Public Schools
NCES district ID
5307710
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,695
Composite
60.76/100
National rank
#1649
State rank
#19 of 291 in WA

Livability — Seattle

Score
75/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#4033

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seattle, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
706,262
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
22,468
Household income
$180,789
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
432.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
14% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1534.61%
Current HPI
306.6426
Rent YoY
▲ 4.28%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+686.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $2,400,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $2,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-30 Listed for Rent $2,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2011-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $1,023,750 Public Records
  • 1996-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $573,800 Public Records
  • 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $305,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $19,980 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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