1408 S Friendswood Dr #202 · Friendswood, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SPACIOUS TOWNHOME IN A VERY DESIRABLE TOWNHOME COMPLEX - FRIENDSWOOD SCHOOLS - EASY ACCESS TO SHOPS AND BUSINESSES IN THE AREA - GATED COMMUNITY WITH A POOL - TWO STORY TOWNHOME WITH A LIVING AREA DOWN AND A LARGE LOFT/GAMEROOM UP - PRIMARY BEDROOM SUITE IS DOWNSTAIRS - THREE BEDROOMS UP WITH A HOLLYWOOD BATH BETWEEN TWO OF THE BEDROOMS - UNIT HAS BEEN REPAINTED RECENTLY - APPLIANCES WERE REPLACED APPROXIMATELY TWO YEARS AGO - GRANITE COUNTERTOPS IN THE KITCHEN - SMALL YARD AREA OFF THE BACK DOOR - INSIDE UTILITY - A RARE FIND IN FRIENDSWOOD THAT IS WAITING TO BE OCCUPIED BY A HOMEOWNER - VACANT AND EAST TO VIEW
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Impressive foyer
- Soaring ceiling
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Full ownership
- HOA & community: Association: Associa; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include controlled access, grounds maintenance, and pool; Association fee covers common area maintenance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Garage with automatic opener; Controlled entrance
- Security: Prewired for security; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; 2 stories; Built in 2002; Slab foundation; Brick and wood siding construction; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built in 2002
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Private fenced yard; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Granite counters; Pantry; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (15 x 15); Three additional bedrooms on second floor (14 x 11, 14 x 11, 15 x 12); Total possible bedrooms: 4
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Primary bathroom on first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning; Programmable thermostat
- Interior features: Gas fireplace; Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Granite counters; High ceilings; Pantry; Tub with shower; Vanity; Window treatments; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in utility room; Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $359k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-248 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $332k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $315k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.3% in Friendswood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#338 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Friendswood ISD (suburban): math 64% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #15 of 826 in TX (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Friendswood J H (math 62% / reading 59%, grade B+, #154 of 1,662 statewide, top 9%, 1,467 students, 0% FRL); Friendswood H S (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B, #144 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 1,980 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 502 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.96%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $416,382
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 S Friendswood Dr #105 | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,045 (-14%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $159 | 69 |
| 209 Victoria Way | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,472 (+3%) | 23mo | $429,000 | $174 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-74,531
- Equity at exit
- $53,528
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-87,578
- Equity at exit
- $31,040
Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77546
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 502
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,324 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,883
- Tax from tax record
- −$569 /mo · $6,825/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$273
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$698
- Net cashflow
- $-248
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-45 | -5% $-146 | +0% $-248 | +5% $-349 | +10% $-451 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-510 | -5% $-379 | +0% $-248 | +5% $-116 | +10% $15 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-67 | -0.5pp $-156 | base $-248 | +0.5pp $-341 | +1.0pp $-435 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,750
- Closing costs
- $10,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 S Friendswood Dr #804 Friendswood, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1966 | $2,700 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1408 S Friendswood Dr #804 Friendswood, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1966 | $2,700 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 16906 Barcelona Dr Friendswood, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1693 | $8,750 | $5.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 16906 Barcelona Dr Unit 1019600P Friendswood, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $7,985 | $4.73 | 6d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 17155 Barcelona Dr Unit 1019602P Friendswood, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $14,489 | $8.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 17155 Barcelona Dr Friendswood, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $8,750 | $5.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $273 · $3,276/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $359,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $359,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 675-char remark
-
2026-06-07$359,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,825 · $569/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,825 · $569/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,891
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,110
- − Property taxes
- −$6,825
- − Insurance
- −$1,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,191
- − Management
- −$3,191
- − HOA
- −$3,276
- − Depreciation
- −$10,444
- Taxable loss
- −$8,941
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,146
- After-tax cash flow
- $-828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Friendswood ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819950
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $109,699
- Composite
- 60.52/100
- National rank
- #841
- State rank
- #15 of 826 in TX
Livability — Friendswood
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #338
- US rank
- #7362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Friendswood, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 54,789
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,789
- Household income
- $123,756
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1350.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.03%
- Current HPI
- 243.7934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+93.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $359,000 HARMLS
- 2023-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-05-19 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-04-26 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-04-20 Price Changed $325,000 HARMLS
- 2023-02-09 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2023-01-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-11-08 Price Changed $350,000 HARMLS
- 2022-09-02 Listed $379,900 HARMLS
- 2020-06-22 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2020-03-19 Listed $269,500 HARMLS
- 2010-02-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-02-02 Listed $184,900 HARMLS
- 2010-01-08 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2009-07-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2009-07-25 Listed $184,900 HARMLS
- 2008-09-20 Listed $186,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,825 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…