133 Jeff St · Ankeny, IA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 133 Jeff St in Berwick, IA, located in the desirable SunnyBrook community! This well maintained 2 bed, 1 bath mobile home offers peaceful country living with easy access to Ankeny and Altoona. Situated on a large corner lot with only one neighboring home, you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll enjoy added privacy along with beautiful views and sunsets. Inside, the home features a bright and spacious living room filled with natural light from large windows, flowing into an open kitchen and dining area with a large pantry and a window overlooking the yard. Toward the back of the home are two bedrooms, including a generous primary suite with a large closet and a stunning bay w
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Three-seasons room
- Covered carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.1% vs local median 2.9% in Ankeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#3 in IA, #29 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute C-.
- Saydel Community School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #283 of 289 in IA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.46%
- DSCR
- 3.51
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $34,202
- Equity at exit
- $17,986
- IRR
- 54.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.21×
- Total profit
- $80,738
- Equity at exit
- $27,718
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50032
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,017 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $600/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $460
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$40,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$600
- − Insurance
- −$998
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$976
- − Management
- −$976
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $5,249
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,260
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,266/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This mobile home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, exterior painting, and landscaping. These improvements would significantly increase its value for resale or rental.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of potential leaks or damage are visible.
- Major exterior siding — The siding appears weathered and may need repainting or replacement.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible signs of recent servicing or maintenance are present.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is sparse and could benefit from some maintenance and improvement to enhance curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Resale exterior painting — A fresh coat of paint would enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
- Rental HVAC servicing — Servicing the HVAC system would ensure it is functioning properly and improve tenant satisfaction.
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained and landscaped yard would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Signs of potential leaks or damage are visible. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The siding appears weathered and may need repainting or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible signs of recent servicing or maintenance are present. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The landscaping is sparse and could benefit from some maintenance and improvement to enhance curb appeal. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Resale exterior painting — A fresh coat of paint would enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Rental HVAC servicing — Servicing the HVAC system would ensure it is functioning properly and improve tenant satisfaction. ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained and landscaped yard would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saydel Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1925320
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,193
- Composite
- 41.93/100
- National rank
- #3354
- State rank
- #283 of 289 in IA
Livability — Ankeny
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #29
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 76,589
- Population (ZIP)
- 622
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 9% Portuguese 7% Polish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $40,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…