16500 SE 1st St #118 · Vancouver, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Light ,bright top of the line Silvercrest 3 br 2 bath home with a great floor plan and vaulted ceilings.Spacious master suite boasts his and her sinks,a luxurious soaking tub,and shower.Newer stove.New water heater June 2020.Carport is 552 sq. ft with a storage shed and plenty of parking space,patio too.Ramp for easy access .Over 55 gated Park with a lush greenspace.
Key facts
- Built 1999
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number 610759000
- Financial info: Lot rent: $1,417 per month; Land lease expires January 1, 2027
- HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease (monthly lot rent)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electricity; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-story (main level living); No significant view listed; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1999; Composition roof; Built with wood composite materials; GIS-recorded building area: 1,400
- Exterior features: Wood composite exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level; Third bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling)
- Interior features: Family room; Great room; Dining room; Living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $967 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 2.7% in Vancouver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in WA, #1,133 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
- Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Illahee Elementary School (407 students, 27% FRL); Shahala Middle School (874 students, 44% FRL); Union High School (2,021 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $117k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.82%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,959
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -10.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16500 SE 1st St #98 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-1%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $83 | 97 |
| 16500 SE 1st St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-1%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $83 | 97 |
| 16500 SE 1st St #170 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,355 (-3%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $114 | 89 |
| 16500 SE 1st St #19 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (-6%) | 2mo | $117,000 | $89 | 88 |
| 16500 SE 1st St #71 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,418 (+1%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $113 | 83 |
| 16812 SE 1st St #71 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (-5%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $117 | 76 |
| 16812 SE 1st St #51 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+4%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $144 | 75 |
| 16812 SE 1st St #69 | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 9mo | $206,000 | $143 | 74 |
| 16500 SE 1st St #129 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,493 (+7%) | 13mo | $177,000 | $119 | 73 |
| 16500 SE 1st St #56 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,263 (-10%) | 8mo | $112,000 | $89 | 72 |
| 16812 SE 1st St #84 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-11%) | 8mo | $124,600 | $100 | 67 |
| 16500 SE 1st St #91 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (+9%) | 17mo | $135,000 | $89 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $34,835
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $92,883
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98684
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 304
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $937/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $967
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,046 | -5% $1,007 | +0% $967 | +5% $928 | +10% $888 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $784 | -5% $876 | +0% $967 | +5% $1,059 | +10% $1,150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,037 | -0.5pp $1,003 | base $967 | +0.5pp $931 | +1.0pp $895 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16202 NE 8th St Unit B Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,150 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 301 SE 166th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 883 | $2,080 | $2.36 | 8d | 15 | 0.35mi |
| 16801 SE 1st St Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,608 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 16312 NE 12th St Unit 2 Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $2,059 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1207 NE 166th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $6,000 | $3.91 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 621 SE 168th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,294 | $2.64 | 15d | 7 | 0.52mi |
| 621 SE 168th Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $2,274 | $2.02 | 3d | 9 | 0.52mi |
| 112 SE 158th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,995 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15501 NE 2nd St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $2,750 | $2.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 600 SE 177th Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $2,535 | $2.72 | 2d | 20 | 0.70mi |
| 510 SE 157th Ave #35 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,895 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1000 SE 160th Ave Apt M104 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,600 | $1.77 | 8d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1000 SE 160th Ave Apt DD238 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,600 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1000 SE 160th Ave Apt FF257 Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,950 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1000 SE 160th Ave Apt N116 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,600 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1000 SE 160th Ave Unit RR-342 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,600 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1000 SE 160th Ave Unit RR-336 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,600 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 16334 NE 20th St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $2,695 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 17775 SE Mill Plain Blvd Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 732 | $2,353 | $3.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 16332 NE 21st St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1541 | $2,595 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2119 NE 163rd Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1657 | $2,515 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 17003 NE 22nd St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,575 | $1.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14616 SE 1st St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,975 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 505 SE 184th Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $2,695 | $2.90 | 2d | 24 | 1.01mi |
| 14913 SE Mill Plain Blvd Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $2,000 | $2.13 | 3d | 4 | 1.03mi |
| 1302 SE 155th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,495 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1600 SE 168th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $2,350 | $1.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2419 NE 164th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $2,809 | $2.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1603 SE 171st Pl Vancouver, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $6,300 | $3.56 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 14600 SE 7th Way Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1476 | $2,345 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2712 NE 164th Pl Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,495 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1203 NE Keyes Rd Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,199 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| Chase LNDG Gresham, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 13d | 3 | 1.31mi |
| 14111 SE 6th St Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1201 | $2,104 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1418 NE 140th Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 904 | $1,895 | $2.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 701 SE 139th Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,600 | $1.99 | 4d | 6 | 1.46mi |
| 19600 NE 3rd St Camas, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,825 | $2.97 | 2d | 20 | 1.48mi |
| 3402 NE 165th Ave Vancouver, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1777 | $3,119 | $1.76 | 8d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-31pricedays on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-07$143,000 Active 457-char remark
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2020-07-30soldstatus $117,000 Sold 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Light ,bright top of the line Silvercrest 3 br 2 bath home with a great floor plan and vaulted ceilings.Spacious master suite boasts his and her sinks,a luxurious soaking tub,and shower.Newer stove.New water heater June 2020.Carport is 552 sq. ft with a storage shed and plenty of parking space,patio too.Ramp for easy access .Over 55 gated Park with a lush greenspace.
-
2020-06-12status Pending 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Light ,bright top of the line Silvercrest 3 br 2 bath home with a great floor plan and vaulted ceilings.Spacious master suite boasts his and her sinks,a luxurious soaking tub,and shower.Newer stove.New water heater June 2020.Carport is 552 sq. ft with a storage shed and plenty of parking space,patio too.Ramp for easy access .Over 55 gated Park with a lush greenspace.
-
2020-05-30$119,900 Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Light ,bright top of the line Silvercrest 3 br 2 bath home with a great floor plan and vaulted ceilings.Spacious master suite boasts his and her sinks,a luxurious soaking tub,and shower.Newer stove.New water heater June 2020.Carport is 552 sq. ft with a storage shed and plenty of parking space,patio too.Ramp for easy access .Over 55 gated Park with a lush greenspace.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,362 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$425/yr (+$35/mo · 45.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$937
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,226
- − Management
- −$2,226
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $9,915
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,380
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen School District (Clark)
- NCES district ID
- 5302700
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,418
- Composite
- 42.53/100
- National rank
- #6859
- State rank
- #164 of 291 in WA
Livability — Vancouver
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #1133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clark County · 513,189 people
- City population
- 360,195
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,298
- Household income
- $90,620
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1481.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 529,610 people
- By 2030
- 563,242 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 625,905 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 681,558 · +28.7%
- By 2075
- 805,967 · +52.2%
- By 2100
- 877,450 · +65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -237.93%
- Current HPI
- 290.416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+15.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $139,000 RMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $143,000 RMLS
- 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $117,000 RMLS
- 2020-06-12 Pending — RMLS
- 2020-05-30 Listed $119,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+15.4%/yrLatest (2026): $937 · +27.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…