162 Sweetbriar Cir · Gluckstadt, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new dream home in the sought after Germantown School District! This is the best deal going right now in Germantown Schools! Sweetbriar Plantation includes a neighborhood pool, large playground, fishing pond, and gated community for extra security. You will not believe the amount of space in this better than new four bedrooms, three FULL baths, home with a formal dining room. When you first pull into your driveway you will notice plenty of room for parking including a double garage. As you enter through your double front door entrance, you are welcomed with a large foyer. The open floor plan leads into your own formal dining room to entertain family gatherings. The large family room includes a gas log fireplace for those cold winter nights. The open kitchen allows you to cook while still entertaining guests in the living room. The oversized island allows seating for six or more chairs while still having a breakfast room for another kitchen table. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and enough counter space to prep multiple meals at one time. The primary bedroom has that extra touch of elegance with wood ceilings and enough space for a full bedroom set. As you walk into the primary bathroom you will see dual sink areas with a separate vanity area in between. Contemporary tile flooring, marble counter tops, a soaking tub, and a sperate tiled shower. The primary closet includes custom build ins and enough storage for any fashionista. The beautiful tile flooring in the separate laundry room might even make doing laundry fun again! The home boasts 4 full bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. Why buy new when this home already includes a fully fenced yard and window blinds. Entertain your guests on the back porch while watching the big game and grilling. The school district includes the highly sought after Madison Crossing, Germantown Middle and Germantown High School. This area is booming with new restaurants, grocery stores, and boutiques continuously opening. Come check out this home and neighborhood and you will not want to leave! Make it yours for the summertime to enjoy all Sweetbriar has to offer.
Key facts
- Marble countertops
- Gas log fireplace
- Oversized island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-281 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (14.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (25.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Madison Crossing Elementary (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 775 students, 100% FRL); Germantown Middle School (math 55% / reading 58%, grade B, #14 of 179 statewide, top 7%, 1,008 students, 100% FRL); Germantown High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #59 of 197 statewide, top 30%, 1,396 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 363 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.54%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $393,976
- List price
- $339,900
- Delta
- -13.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Grandwood Dr | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 2,101 (+3%) | 3mo | $365,000 | $174 | 84 |
| 115 Sweetbriar Ct | 0.15mi | 4/3.0 | 2,226 (+9%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $168 | 77 |
| 644 Peregan St | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,066 (+1%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $182 | 64 |
| 514 Bridgeway St | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 2,304 (+13%) | 5mo | $399,900 | $174 | 48 |
| 718 Honeysuckle Loop | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,835 (-10%) | 2mo | $349,900 | $191 | 47 |
| 443 Baleigh Way | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,875 (-8%) | 1mo | $365,600 | $195 | 46 |
| 513 Portner Way | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,890 (-8%) | 3mo | $364,900 | $193 | 46 |
| 302 Mandy Way | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,891 (-8%) | 1mo | $369,900 | $196 | 45 |
| 509 Portner Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,855 (-9%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $194 | 42 |
| 530 Baleigh Way | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,816 (-11%) | 3mo | $349,900 | $193 | 40 |
| 442 Baleigh Way | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,805 (-12%) | 2mo | $324,999 | $180 | 38 |
| 444 Baleigh Way | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-14%) | 3mo | $314,999 | $180 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-72,979
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-86,626
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39046
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,519 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$308 /mo · $3,694/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$39
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$529
- Net cashflow
- $-281
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-88 | -5% $-185 | +0% $-281 | +5% $-377 | +10% $-473 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-480 | -5% $-380 | +0% $-281 | +5% $-181 | +10% $-82 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-110 | -0.5pp $-194 | base $-281 | +0.5pp $-369 | +1.0pp $-459 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 502 Black Cherry CV Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1887 | $2,600 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 317 Willow Way Canton, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $2,800 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 161 Harvey Crossing Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1687 | $2,350 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 231 Buttonwood Ln Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 104 Moss Crk Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,156 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 102 Moss Crk Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,253 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $39 · $468/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolsecurity
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $339,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $339,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $339,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $339,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $339,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $339,900 2190-char remark
Show marketing remark (2190 chars)
Welcome to your new dream home in the sought after Germantown School District! This is the best deal going right now in Germantown Schools! Sweetbriar Plantation includes a neighborhood pool, large playground, fishing pond, and gated community for extra security. You will not believe the amount of space in this better than new four bedrooms, three FULL baths, home with a formal dining room. When you first pull into your driveway you will notice plenty of room for parking including a double garage. As you enter through your double front door entrance, you are welcomed with a large foyer. The open floor plan leads into your own formal dining room to entertain family gatherings. The large family room includes a gas log fireplace for those cold winter nights. The open kitchen allows you to cook while still entertaining guests in the living room. The oversized island allows seating for six or more chairs while still having a breakfast room for another kitchen table. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and enough counter space to prep multiple meals at one time. The primary bedroom has that extra touch of elegance with wood ceilings and enough space for a full bedroom set. As you walk into the primary bathroom you will see dual sink areas with a separate vanity area in between. Contemporary tile flooring, marble counter tops, a soaking tub, and a sperate tiled shower. The primary closet includes custom build ins and enough storage for any fashionista. The beautiful tile flooring in the separate laundry room might even make doing laundry fun again! The home boasts 4 full bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. Why buy new when this home already includes a fully fenced yard and window blinds. Entertain your guests on the back porch while watching the big game and grilling. The school district includes the highly sought after Madison Crossing, Germantown Middle and Germantown High School. This area is booming with new restaurants, grocery stores, and boutiques continuously opening. Come check out this home and neighborhood and you will not want to leave! Make it yours for the summertime to enjoy all Sweetbriar has to offer.
-
2026-04-23price $344,900 2190-char remark
Show marketing remark (2190 chars)
Welcome to your new dream home in the sought after Germantown School District! This is the best deal going right now in Germantown Schools! Sweetbriar Plantation includes a neighborhood pool, large playground, fishing pond, and gated community for extra security. You will not believe the amount of space in this better than new four bedrooms, three FULL baths, home with a formal dining room. When you first pull into your driveway you will notice plenty of room for parking including a double garage. As you enter through your double front door entrance, you are welcomed with a large foyer. The open floor plan leads into your own formal dining room to entertain family gatherings. The large family room includes a gas log fireplace for those cold winter nights. The open kitchen allows you to cook while still entertaining guests in the living room. The oversized island allows seating for six or more chairs while still having a breakfast room for another kitchen table. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and enough counter space to prep multiple meals at one time. The primary bedroom has that extra touch of elegance with wood ceilings and enough space for a full bedroom set. As you walk into the primary bathroom you will see dual sink areas with a separate vanity area in between. Contemporary tile flooring, marble counter tops, a soaking tub, and a sperate tiled shower. The primary closet includes custom build ins and enough storage for any fashionista. The beautiful tile flooring in the separate laundry room might even make doing laundry fun again! The home boasts 4 full bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. Why buy new when this home already includes a fully fenced yard and window blinds. Entertain your guests on the back porch while watching the big game and grilling. The school district includes the highly sought after Madison Crossing, Germantown Middle and Germantown High School. This area is booming with new restaurants, grocery stores, and boutiques continuously opening. Come check out this home and neighborhood and you will not want to leave! Make it yours for the summertime to enjoy all Sweetbriar has to offer.
-
2026-02-25$345,000 Active 2190-char remark
Show marketing remark (2190 chars)
Welcome to your new dream home in the sought after Germantown School District! This is the best deal going right now in Germantown Schools! Sweetbriar Plantation includes a neighborhood pool, large playground, fishing pond, and gated community for extra security. You will not believe the amount of space in this better than new four bedrooms, three FULL baths, home with a formal dining room. When you first pull into your driveway you will notice plenty of room for parking including a double garage. As you enter through your double front door entrance, you are welcomed with a large foyer. The open floor plan leads into your own formal dining room to entertain family gatherings. The large family room includes a gas log fireplace for those cold winter nights. The open kitchen allows you to cook while still entertaining guests in the living room. The oversized island allows seating for six or more chairs while still having a breakfast room for another kitchen table. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and enough counter space to prep multiple meals at one time. The primary bedroom has that extra touch of elegance with wood ceilings and enough space for a full bedroom set. As you walk into the primary bathroom you will see dual sink areas with a separate vanity area in between. Contemporary tile flooring, marble counter tops, a soaking tub, and a sperate tiled shower. The primary closet includes custom build ins and enough storage for any fashionista. The beautiful tile flooring in the separate laundry room might even make doing laundry fun again! The home boasts 4 full bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. Why buy new when this home already includes a fully fenced yard and window blinds. Entertain your guests on the back porch while watching the big game and grilling. The school district includes the highly sought after Madison Crossing, Germantown Middle and Germantown High School. This area is booming with new restaurants, grocery stores, and boutiques continuously opening. Come check out this home and neighborhood and you will not want to leave! Make it yours for the summertime to enjoy all Sweetbriar has to offer.
-
2026-02-21historical
-
2026-01-27price $345,000
-
2026-01-08price $355,000
-
2025-12-30price $364,999
-
2025-09-14$365,999 Active
-
2022-03-28soldstatus
-
2022-03-25soldstatus Closed
-
2022-02-13status Pending
-
2022-02-09$322,500 Active
-
2020-07-27soldstatus
-
2020-01-21$265,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,694 · $308/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,694 · $308/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$3,694
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,418
- − Management
- −$2,418
- − HOA
- −$468
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable loss
- −$9,397
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,255
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,115/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gluckstadt
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,160
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.50%
- Current HPI
- 154.0441
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+28.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $339,900 MLSU
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $344,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-25 Listed $345,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-21 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $345,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $355,000 MLSU
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $364,999 MLSU
- 2025-09-14 Listed $365,999 MLSU
- 2022-03-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-03-25 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2022-02-13 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-02-09 Listed $322,500 MLSU
- 2020-07-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2020-01-21 Listed $265,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+37.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,694 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…