198 Mildred Rd · Meriden, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 198 Mildred Road: A traditional, expansive New England Ranch in an adorable, picturesque setting! Includes 3 bedrooms and finished lower-level family room that is perfect for entertaining! It could also serve as a great space for an in-law or multi-generational living situation. All bedrooms are spacious with ample closet space, including 2 huge walk-in closets with well-thought-out configurations! 2 full bathrooms. Spacious kitchen with new appliances. Washer and dryer. Invisible dog fencing is included if buyer should want it. Also, solar panels included, which will save a great deal of money. All of this, surrounded by a private back yard with beautiful deck and charming, lush, vibrant, idyllic landscaping that will make 198 Mildred Road a haven of comfort and contentment, the perfect place to make your home!
Key facts
- Landscaped backyard
- Solar panels
- Finished lower level
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($215/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.2% in Meriden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in CT, #505 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Meriden School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #116 of 153 in CT (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $115k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.27%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $301,760
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Morton Rd | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,178 (-10%) | 12mo | $330,000 | $280 | 66 |
| 125 High Hill Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (+2%) | 15mo | $400,000 | $299 | 65 |
| 47 Humbert St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-5%) | 21mo | $285,000 | $228 | 64 |
| 49 Morton Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-12%) | 16mo | $291,500 | $254 | 57 |
| 104 Maple Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+2%) | 23mo | $306,000 | $230 | 44 |
| 55 Lowe Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,502 (+14%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $213 | 38 |
| 130 Maple Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (+13%) | 17mo | $295,000 | $199 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-47,530
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-53,089
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06450
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,499 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$372 /mo · $4,459/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $18
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Pomeroy Ave Meriden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,698 | $2.84 | 3d | 13 | 0.52mi |
| 211 Pomeroy Ave Meriden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $2,723 | $2.75 | 10d | 10 | 0.52mi |
| 184 Gravel St #26 Meriden, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-02-18status Under Contract
-
2026-02-18price $280,000
-
2026-02-18price $385,000
-
2026-02-18price $280,000
-
2026-02-18price $385
-
2026-02-18price $395
-
2026-02-18status Active
-
2026-01-29status Under Contract
-
2026-01-19price $280,000
-
2026-01-14price $350,000
-
2025-12-22price $375,000
-
2025-12-22status Active
-
2025-12-20historical
-
2025-12-08$395,000 Active
-
2024-08-23soldstatus $379,000 Closed 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Welcome to 198 Mildred Road: A traditional, expansive New England Ranch in an adorable, picturesque setting! Includes 3 bedrooms and finished lower-level family room that is perfect for entertaining! It could also serve as a great space for an in-law or multi-generational living situation. All bedrooms are spacious with ample closet space, including 2 huge walk-in closets with well-thought-out configurations! 2 full bathrooms. Spacious kitchen with new appliances. Washer and dryer. Invisible dog fencing is included if buyer should want it. Also, solar panels included, which will save a great deal of money. All of this, surrounded by a private back yard with beautiful deck and charming, lush, vibrant, idyllic landscaping that will make 198 Mildred Road a haven of comfort and contentment, the perfect place to make your home!
-
2024-07-23status Under Contract 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Welcome to 198 Mildred Road: A traditional, expansive New England Ranch in an adorable, picturesque setting! Includes 3 bedrooms and finished lower-level family room that is perfect for entertaining! It could also serve as a great space for an in-law or multi-generational living situation. All bedrooms are spacious with ample closet space, including 2 huge walk-in closets with well-thought-out configurations! 2 full bathrooms. Spacious kitchen with new appliances. Washer and dryer. Invisible dog fencing is included if buyer should want it. Also, solar panels included, which will save a great deal of money. All of this, surrounded by a private back yard with beautiful deck and charming, lush, vibrant, idyllic landscaping that will make 198 Mildred Road a haven of comfort and contentment, the perfect place to make your home!
-
2024-07-18$319,000 Active 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Welcome to 198 Mildred Road: A traditional, expansive New England Ranch in an adorable, picturesque setting! Includes 3 bedrooms and finished lower-level family room that is perfect for entertaining! It could also serve as a great space for an in-law or multi-generational living situation. All bedrooms are spacious with ample closet space, including 2 huge walk-in closets with well-thought-out configurations! 2 full bathrooms. Spacious kitchen with new appliances. Washer and dryer. Invisible dog fencing is included if buyer should want it. Also, solar panels included, which will save a great deal of money. All of this, surrounded by a private back yard with beautiful deck and charming, lush, vibrant, idyllic landscaping that will make 198 Mildred Road a haven of comfort and contentment, the perfect place to make your home!
-
2000-04-28soldstatus $119,900
-
2000-04-27soldstatus $119,900 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Very nice ranch style home with a lovely finished family room with built ins. Bow window. Rear deck. New roof. 2 Ceilings fans. Window treatments
-
2000-03-05$119,900 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Very nice ranch style home with a lovely finished family room with built ins. Bow window. Rear deck. New roof. 2 Ceilings fans. Window treatments
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,459 · $372/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,226 · $435/mo
- Expected delta
- +$766/yr (+$64/mo · 17.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,459
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,399
- − Management
- −$2,399
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$4,495
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,294/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meriden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902400
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,883
- Composite
- 29.84/100
- National rank
- #6413
- State rank
- #116 of 153 in CT
Livability — Meriden
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meriden, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 60,545
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,694
- Household income
- $71,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 16% Black 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 23% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.37%
- Current HPI
- 263.7288
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+133.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $280,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $385,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $280,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $385 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $395 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-01-29 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $280,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $350,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $375,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-12-22 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2025-12-20 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-12-08 Listed $395,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $379,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-07-23 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2024-07-18 Listed $319,000 Smart MLS
- 2000-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 2000-04-27 Sold (MLS) $119,900 Smart MLS
- 2000-03-05 Listed $119,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2023): $4,459 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…