4011 Gunnison Ln NW · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
VERY NICE AND WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH TRI-LEVEL. HOME FEATURES LARGE FAMILY ROOM, LIVING ROOM, SCREENED IN PORCH WITH AN ISOLATED MASTER BEDROOM DOWN STAIRS. SELLER IS OFFERING $8000 TOWARDS THE PURCHASE OF A ROOF WITH ACCEPTABLE OFFER PLUS A HOME WARRANTY.
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Large family room
- Living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (13.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $114k; list at $205k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.43%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $224,061
- List price
- $205,000
- Delta
- -8.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2532 Brookline Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+0%) | 5mo | $232,500 | $129 | 76 |
| 3910 Shamrock Dr NW | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,672 (-7%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $138 | 71 |
| 3911 Sparkman Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,812 (+1%) | 8mo | $188,000 | $104 | 63 |
| 3508 Purdy Dr NW | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+0%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $128 | 62 |
| 2416 Redmont Rd NW | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,629 (-9%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $83 | 58 |
| 2415 Suzanne Ter NW | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,718 (-4%) | 9mo | $251,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 3701 Broadmor Rd NW | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,627 (-9%) | 1mo | $208,000 | $128 | 53 |
| 3202 Rita Ln NW | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 1,850 (+3%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $124 | 48 |
| 5016 Lori Cir NW | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 2,037 (+14%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $118 | 46 |
| 3308 Barton St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,589 (-11%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $85 | 38 |
| 3711 Mcewen Dr NW | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,894 (+6%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $111 | 38 |
| 3619 Hester Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,589 (-11%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $79 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-28,058
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-31,409
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35810
- Home prices YoY
- -23.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,773 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $914/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4700 Sparkman Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1554 | $1,350 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2215 Shady Lane Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4214 Fortson Ln NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2201 Shady Lane Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1472 | $3,000 | $2.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3721 Broadmor Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,450 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4216 Chalet Cir NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2113 Wimberly Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1790 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2113 Wimberly Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1790 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3309 Charleston Ave NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,375 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3303 Barton Ave NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3304 Caywood Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,475 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3203 Dyas Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,100 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3616 Hester Ln NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3415 Mimosa Ln NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,590 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3304 Buttrey Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,681 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4706 Whitehall Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2613 Skyline Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,695 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3406 Oakmont Ave NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1711 Lydia Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2268 | $2,000 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3306 Reynolds Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6008 Ellington Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1845 | $1,595 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6015 Kimbrell Ln NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1958 | $2,300 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1801 Carson Ln NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1405 | $2,000 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3505 Mastin Lake Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $2,000 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3606 Crestmore Ave NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3503 Crestmore Cir NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2115 | $1,475 | $0.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2712 Garvin Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2528 | $2,000 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2712 Garvin Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2528 | $1,975 | $0.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2707 Garvin Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2284 | $1,450 | $0.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2502 Hill St NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $205,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $205,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $205,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $205,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $205,000 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
VERY NICE AND WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH TRI-LEVEL. HOME FEATURES LARGE FAMILY ROOM, LIVING ROOM, SCREENED IN PORCH WITH AN ISOLATED MASTER BEDROOM DOWN STAIRS. SELLER IS OFFERING $8000 TOWARDS THE PURCHASE OF A ROOF WITH ACCEPTABLE OFFER PLUS A HOME WARRANTY.
-
2026-02-16$220,000 Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
VERY NICE AND WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH TRI-LEVEL. HOME FEATURES LARGE FAMILY ROOM, LIVING ROOM, SCREENED IN PORCH WITH AN ISOLATED MASTER BEDROOM DOWN STAIRS. SELLER IS OFFERING $8000 TOWARDS THE PURCHASE OF A ROOF WITH ACCEPTABLE OFFER PLUS A HOME WARRANTY.
-
2011-11-04soldstatus $114,236
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,274
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$914
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,702
- − Management
- −$1,702
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$1,516
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,331/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101800
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,264
- Composite
- 28.84/100
- National rank
- #6647
- State rank
- #48 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,843
- Household income
- $51,233
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1223.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.00%
- Current HPI
- 198.9629
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.05%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+79.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $205,000 VMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $220,000 VMLS
- 2011-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $114,236 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2024): $914 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…