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939 Cheves Rd
D Composite 43.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

939 Cheves Rd · Zebulon, NC 27597
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1981 0.76 ac lot Est $250k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated and beautifully refreshed, nestled on 0.76 acres - 939 Cheves is move-In Ready! No HOA or covenants. Rent and lease/option rent to own terms are also available! Welcome to 939 Cheves Rd -- blending modern finishes with comfortable, everyday living. This delightful 3-bed, 1-bath residence offers 1,062 sq. ft. of thoughtfully renovated space and plenty of outdoor room to enjoy. Step inside to discover a freshly painted interior with stylish luxury vinyl flooring, smooth ceilings, and abundant natural light. The heart of the home is the modern kitchen, featuring quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and bright fixtures -- ideal for casual meals or entertaining. The 3 well-pr

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Move in ready
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

MOVE IN READYNO HOAMODERN KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking for 2 vehicles; Gravel, unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water and septic connected
  • Home design: Single-story house; Entry on front or side doors; No common walls
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space basement; Built/structured as a house
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Side porch; Exterior storage; Property partially wooded with cleared and grassed areas

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Storage space
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($637/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (20.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Zebulon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#264 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Franklin County Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 178 in NC (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 657 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $111k; list at $235k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,945 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,600
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
879 Cheves Rd 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,040 (0%) 13mo $250,000 $240 84

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-37,490
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-39,425
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27597

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
657
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,859 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,027/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,792
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $235,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $235,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,027 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,927 · $161/mo
Expected delta
+$900/yr (+$75/mo · 87.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,313
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$1,027
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,785
− Management
−$1,785
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$3,459
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$830
After-tax cash flow
$1,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County Schools
NCES district ID
3701530
Math proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,630
Composite
30.25/100
National rank
#6286
State rank
#128 of 178 in NC

Livability — Zebulon

Score
66/100
State rank
#264
US rank
#11505

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wake County · 1,216,256 people
City population
30,184
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
30,184
Household income
$84,625
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
592.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,848 people
By 2030
72,480 · +3.8%
By 2040
76,682 · +9.8%
By 2050
78,993 · +13.1%
By 2075
82,888 · +18.7%
By 2100
80,784 · +15.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
R (+13.6) · D 42.7% · R 56.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -13.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.6 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+4.2 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.86%
Current HPI
220.7242
Rent YoY
▲ 1.54%
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $235,000 TMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $225,000 TMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $230,000 TMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-01-18 Price Changed $235,000 TMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $240,000 TMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $249,000 TMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $260,000 TMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,027 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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