2852 60th Ave N · Lealman, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Good Buy on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home! Lots of Updates! Privacy Fenced Backyard with large wood deck! Room sizes are approximate and should be verified by buyer.
Key facts
- Large deck
- Refreshed bathrooms
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total acreage less than 1/4 acre (approx. 0.12 acres); Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 103; Lot area approximately 479 sq meters; Living area reported ~1068 sq ft
- HOA & community: No HOA/association; Street lights in the community; Cats and dogs allowed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available and connected; Electricity available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing; Completed condition; R-4 zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Stilt / on piling foundation; Built on / recorded building area ~1080 sq ft
- Exterior features: Awnings; Dog run; Paved lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Inside laundry (laundry closet)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $268k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.7% in Lealman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in FL, #1,394 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, employment F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,822/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 915% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $285k implies a 375% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.16%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,924
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2646 61 Ave N | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 965 (-10%) | 4mo | $293,500 | $304 | 63 |
| 5929 32nd St N | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,002 (-6%) | 15mo | $350,000 | $349 | 61 |
| 2945 57th Ave N | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,199 (+12%) | 14mo | $379,000 | $316 | 55 |
| 3126 57th Ave N | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,009 (-6%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $168 | 51 |
| 3508 52nd Ave N | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,107 (+4%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $167 | 48 |
| 3205 68th Ave N | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,143 (+7%) | 11mo | $296,500 | $259 | 44 |
| 5705 37th St N | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (+10%) | 14mo | $345,050 | $293 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-32,603
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-32,239
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33714
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,822 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,271/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$593
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $424 | +0% $343 | +5% $263 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $232 | +0% $343 | +5% $455 | +10% $566 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $487 | -0.5pp $416 | base $343 | +0.5pp $269 | +1.0pp $194 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6379 29th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $2,869 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3132 56th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $2,850 | $2.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2612 68th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3584 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,950 | $1.93 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6630 17th Ln N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $2,489 | $1.88 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5924 15th Way N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $3,200 | $2.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6900 16th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $2,095 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4129 32nd St N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4057 71st Ter N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $2,650 | $1.87 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1770 73rd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $4,500 | $3.03 | 5d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7260 17th Way N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $3,650 | $4.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1416 55th Ave N St Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,600 | $3.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7111 16th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $2,695 | $2.38 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2519 39th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,750 | $2.74 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3110 Grand Ave Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1104 | $3,038 | $2.75 | 2d | 34 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $285,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $285,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $285,000
-
2026-04-03$295,000 Active
-
2025-06-20historical $2,800
-
2025-06-07price $2,800
-
2025-05-01$3,000
-
2025-04-28historical
-
2025-02-27price $399,000
-
2024-09-28price $449,000
-
2024-09-19$429,000 Active
-
2012-10-30soldstatus $60,000
-
2012-10-25soldstatus $60,000 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Good Buy on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home! Lots of Updates! Privacy Fenced Backyard with large wood deck! Room sizes are approximate and should be verified by buyer.
-
2012-10-01$62,500 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Good Buy on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home! Lots of Updates! Privacy Fenced Backyard with large wood deck! Room sizes are approximate and should be verified by buyer.
-
2011-10-17historical
-
2011-06-21$62,500
-
2006-03-30historical
-
2005-10-30$175,000
-
2005-10-19soldstatus $122,000
-
2004-01-13$79,990
-
2003-08-30$79,990
-
2003-06-13$89,900
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2003-06-13soldstatus $51,000
-
1995-12-21soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,271 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,271 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,859
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$3,271
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,709
- − Management
- −$2,709
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$510
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lealman
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #1394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lealman, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 20,103
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,227
- Household income
- $47,487
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 915.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.12%
- Current HPI
- 399.6253
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.08%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1483.3% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $295,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-20 Rental Removed $2,800 STELLARMLS
- 2025-06-07 Price Changed $2,800 STELLARMLS
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $3,000 STELLARMLS
- 2025-04-28 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $399,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-28 Price Changed $449,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-19 Listed $429,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2012-10-25 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-01 Listed $62,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-17 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-21 Listed $62,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-30 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-13 Listed $79,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-30 Listed $79,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2003-06-13 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,271 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…