CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1429 Fincke Ave
D+ Composite 48.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

1429 Fincke Ave · Utica, NY 13502
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1935 3,600 sqft lot Est $154k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Att: College Housing Investors! This one is all set and ready to go. 4 bd 1 ba plus a bonus great room on the second floor completely remodeled. Housed 4 college students for the past 4 years. Is a great income producer or make it your own family home. Fenced yard too! Extra 40 x 90 lot included.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Two parcels included
  • One level living

Tags

DOUBLE LOTONE LEVEL LIVINGLARGE UPSTAIRS ROOMTWO PARCELS INCLUDED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Multiple roof types including asphalt, metal, and shingle
  • Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (40 x 90)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 main level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Separate formal dining room; Separate formal living room; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $175k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $171,797 (1.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.56%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1413 Old Burrstone Rd 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,080 (+4%) 1mo $236,900 $219 82
1222 Oswego St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,032 (-1%) 3mo $125,500 $122 74
1325 Oswego St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-3%) 15mo $137,000 $136 66
1503 Fox Pl 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,119 (+8%) 12mo $165,100 $148 63
920 Arnold Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (0%) 10mo $180,000 $173 62
1317 Butternut St 0.25mi 3/1.0 912 (-12%) 7mo $183,000 $201 60
1302 Noyes St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,026 (-1%) 14mo $138,500 $135 59
1405 Kellogg Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+10%) 7mo $172,000 $151 56
817 Mildred Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,120 (+8%) 9mo $174,900 $156 56
1212 Oak St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 973 (-6%) 6mo $26,000 $27 54
1206 Oak St 0.50mi 3/1.0 966 (-7%) 16mo $143,100 $148 49
1216 Oak St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,196 (+15%) 3mo $69,000 $58 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-8,752
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$17,403
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13502

Home prices YoY
-12.1%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,718 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $701/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,327
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1119 $2,000 $1.79 43d 1 0.25mi
11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,125 $1.12 43d 1 0.94mi
1224 Whitesboro St Unit 1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 43d 1 1.03mi
4 1st St Yorkville, NY 3.0 1.0 888 $2,100 $2.36 43d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 580-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $174,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$701 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,828 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,127/yr (+$94/mo · 160.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,616
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$701
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,649
− Management
−$1,649
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$857
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$206
After-tax cash flow
$3,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica City School District
NCES district ID
3629370
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$31,834
Composite
29.01/100
National rank
#6613
State rank
#562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Utica, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
34,037
Household income
$57,835
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
1604.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.76%
Current HPI
368.3955
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $174,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2018-05-10 Sold (MLS) $86,000 CNYIS
  • 2018-03-12 Listed $87,000 CNYIS
  • 2014-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2014-08-19 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CNYIS
  • 2014-03-06 Listed $72,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

-6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $701 · -66.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…