1429 Fincke Ave · Utica, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Att: College Housing Investors! This one is all set and ready to go. 4 bd 1 ba plus a bonus great room on the second floor completely remodeled. Housed 4 college students for the past 4 years. Is a great income producer or make it your own family home. Fenced yard too! Extra 40 x 90 lot included.
Key facts
- Double lot
- Two parcels included
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Multiple roof types including asphalt, metal, and shingle
- Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (40 x 90)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Separate formal dining room; Separate formal living room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $175k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.56%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1413 Old Burrstone Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+4%) | 1mo | $236,900 | $219 | 82 |
| 1222 Oswego St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-1%) | 3mo | $125,500 | $122 | 74 |
| 1325 Oswego St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-3%) | 15mo | $137,000 | $136 | 66 |
| 1503 Fox Pl | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,119 (+8%) | 12mo | $165,100 | $148 | 63 |
| 920 Arnold Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (0%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $173 | 62 |
| 1317 Butternut St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-12%) | 7mo | $183,000 | $201 | 60 |
| 1302 Noyes St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-1%) | 14mo | $138,500 | $135 | 59 |
| 1405 Kellogg Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+10%) | 7mo | $172,000 | $151 | 56 |
| 817 Mildred Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+8%) | 9mo | $174,900 | $156 | 56 |
| 1212 Oak St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 973 (-6%) | 6mo | $26,000 | $27 | 54 |
| 1206 Oak St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 966 (-7%) | 16mo | $143,100 | $148 | 49 |
| 1216 Oak St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+15%) | 3mo | $69,000 | $58 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,752
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $17,403
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13502
- Home prices YoY
- -12.1%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,718 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $701/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1224 Whitesboro St Unit 1 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4 1st St Yorkville, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $2,100 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 580-char remark
-
2026-06-17$174,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $701 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,127/yr (+$94/mo · 160.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$701
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,649
- − Management
- −$1,649
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $857
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,037
- Household income
- $57,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1604.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.76%
- Current HPI
- 368.3955
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+142.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $174,900 CNYIS
- 2018-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-10 Sold (MLS) $86,000 CNYIS
- 2018-03-12 Listed $87,000 CNYIS
- 2014-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-19 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CNYIS
- 2014-03-06 Listed $72,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $701 · -66.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…