🏗️ New Construction
3033 Windswept Way · Wildwood, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,590
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take advantage of limited time below-market interest rates on this home. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms, 2 full baths, a convenient laundry room, covered lanai for outdoor living, and a 2-car garage, all right around the corner from the amenities.
Key facts
- Green space
- Dog park
- Designer kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $296k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-542 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (21.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (30.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL); Wildwood Middle/ High School (math 29% / reading 41%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 843 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 51% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 61% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumter average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 605 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.47%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $310,714
- List price
- $295,590
- Delta
- -5.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9024 Wildlight Trl | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,580 (0%) | 4mo | $300,370 | $190 | 91 |
| 3070 Evenmore Way | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-5%) | 1mo | $286,490 | $190 | 73 |
| 3074 Evenmore Way | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-5%) | 4mo | $276,990 | $184 | 71 |
| 8621 Pinecrest Trl | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-5%) | 2mo | $287,350 | $191 | 64 |
| 8609 Pinecrest Trl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-5%) | 3mo | $282,630 | $188 | 62 |
| 8599 Pinecrest Trl | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-5%) | 4mo | $279,725 | $186 | 60 |
| 8657 Barragan Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,672 (+6%) | 3mo | $290,990 | $174 | 58 |
| 8778 Pinecrest Trl | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+15%) | 3mo | $299,990 | $165 | 44 |
| 8617 Pinecrest Trl | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+15%) | 5mo | $299,990 | $165 | 44 |
| 8761 Pinecrest Trl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+15%) | 3mo | $315,990 | $174 | 43 |
| 8779 Pinecrest Trl | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+15%) | 3mo | $289,990 | $160 | 42 |
| 8188 Ives Pl | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+15%) | 3mo | $319,110 | $176 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-85,135
- Equity at exit
- $46,329
- IRR
- -30.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.38×
- Total profit
- $-119,682
- Equity at exit
- $26,865
Cash invested: $87,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 57 active · 34 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.4 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $299,990 ($179/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 243 d
- This list price
- 46% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +9.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34785
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 605
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,050 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$388 /mo · $4,661/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$14
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $-542
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-327 | -5% $-435 | +0% $-542 | +5% $-649 | +10% $-757 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-704 | -5% $-623 | +0% $-542 | +5% $-461 | +10% $-380 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-385 | -0.5pp $-463 | base $-542 | +0.5pp $-622 | +1.0pp $-704 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,679
- Closing costs
- $9,321
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8665 Barragan Dr Wildwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,250 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3234 Evenmore Way Wildwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 116d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8552 Pinecrest Trl Wildwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2031 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 6d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8412 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8396 Gower Trl Unit 1 Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1707 | $1,795 | $1.05 | 116d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 8362 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 116d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9692 Pepper Tree Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,700 | $1.02 | 116d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8375 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8371 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 9760 Pepper Tree Ter Wildwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,986 | $2.03 | 0d | 14 | 1.04mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lease restrictions apply
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment amount listed
- HOA & community
- HOA managed by Atmos Living Management GroupMonthly HOA approximately $14 (annual $168)Association approval requiredAssociation amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, playground, pool, recreation facilities, sauna, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, trailsPool and grounds maintenance included in association feeDeed restrictions, sidewalks, and street lights in communityPets allowed with number limits
Exterior
- Parking
- DrivewayAttached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableElectricity availableNatural gas availableUnderground utilitiesIrrigation equipment
- Home design
- Single family residenceOne storyNew construction (projected completion May 20, 2026)North-facing
- Construction
- Stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilder: Pulte Home Company, LLC (Model: DAYLEN)
- Exterior features
- Covered rear porchSliding doorsLandscaped yardSidewalksPaved road accessTrees/landscaped
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorSolid surface countersEat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenIn-wall pest control systemOpen floorplan with living/dining comboSolid surface countersThermostatWalk-in closetsBlinds
- Laundry & utility
- Inside laundry roomWasherDryerGas water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $295,590 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $295,590 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $295,590 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $295,590 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $295,590 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $295,590 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $295,590 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $295,590 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-15price $295,590 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $292,570 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $292,570 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $292,570 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $292,570 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $292,570 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $292,570 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $292,570 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $292,570 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $292,570 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $292,570 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $292,570 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $292,570 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $292,570 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $292,570 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $292,570 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $292,570 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $292,570 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $292,570 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $292,570 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $292,570 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $292,570 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $292,570 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $292,570 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-15price $292,570 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $287,570 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $287,570 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $287,570 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-12price $287,570 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $297,570 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $297,570 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $297,570 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $297,570 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-07pricedays on market $297,570 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $312,570 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $312,570 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $312,570 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $312,570 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $312,570 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $312,570 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $312,570 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $312,570 Active 101 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,598
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,405
- − Property taxes
- −$4,661
- − Insurance
- −$1,554
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,968
- − Management
- −$1,968
- − HOA
- −$168
- − Depreciation
- −$9,039
- Taxable loss
- −$12,164
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,919
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,584/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This new construction home is move-in ready with a modern design and high-quality finishes. It offers a great value for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Replace countertops — Quartz countertops are durable and can add value to the home. ↑
- Resale Install new flooring in bedrooms — Hardwood floors in the living areas contrast with carpeted bedrooms, which can be updated for a more modern look. ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #8500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wildwood, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 161,172 people
- City population
- 21,568
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,568
- Household income
- $66,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.14%
- Current HPI
- 267.9137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.85%
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $312,570 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $312,570 Zillow
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $310,570 Zillow
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $310,570 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listed $309,570 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-29 Listed $309,570 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…