418 S Magnolia Ave · Lansing, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$8,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DUE TO UNSAFE INTERIOR CONDITIONS THERE IS NO ACCESS/ENTRY. A HOLD HARMLESS FORM MUST BE SIGNED ALONG WITH ANY OFFERS. This property is listed "as-is". There may be unpermitted modifications. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 09/16/2026. See HomeSteps.com for more information on FMFL. Please SUBMIT A COMPLETED OFFER SUBIMSSION CHECKLIST (ATTACHED) W/ OFFER. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; No attached garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Bungalow style; One level; Built in 1925
- Construction: Vinyl and wood siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.09 acres (about 33 x 127)
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (including primary bedroom)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Full basement; Dining room; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $9k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $860 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $9k).
- Cap rate 122.2% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pattengill School (600 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 68% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $62 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $267 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 13.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 122.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 413.96%
- DSCR
- 19.42
- GRM
- 0.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,908
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 S Hayford Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 689 (-6%) | 2mo | $51,000 | $74 | 84 |
| 517 S Clemens Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (-6%) | 2mo | $58,000 | $84 | 82 |
| 629 S Foster Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 688 (-7%) | 2mo | $56,000 | $81 | 76 |
| 312 S Francis Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (-8%) | 4mo | $82,900 | $122 | 74 |
| 421 S Clemens Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 839 (+14%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $131 | 71 |
| 515 S Clemens Ave | 0.13mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 659 (-11%) | 5mo | $42,000 | $64 | 67 |
| 640 S Magnolia Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 650 (-12%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $77 | 67 |
| 520 S Leslie St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+14%) | 1mo | $113,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 510 Regent St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 836 (+13%) | 5mo | $77,000 | $92 | 59 |
| 435 N Magnolia Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+8%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $119 | 52 |
| 1119 Leslie St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (+12%) | 5mo | $64,000 | $78 | 50 |
| 1111 Regent St | 0.52mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 836 (+13%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $30 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 24.37×
- Total profit
- $58,234
- Equity at exit
- $1,327
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 58.45×
- Total profit
- $143,160
- Equity at exit
- $770
Cash invested: $2,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48912
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 0.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,166 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$47
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$11 /mo · $134/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $860
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $866 | -5% $863 | +0% $860 | +5% $857 | +10% $854 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $768 | -5% $814 | +0% $860 | +5% $906 | +10% $952 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $864 | -0.5pp $862 | base $860 | +0.5pp $857 | +1.0pp $855 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,225
- Closing costs
- $267
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2208 Marcus St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,175 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2010 E Michigan Ave Unit 209 Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,350 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 936 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,245 | $1.51 | 45d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 129 S Hosmer St Unit 1 Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $795 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1199 Arbor Dr Unit 10 East Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $875 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1420 S Pennsylvania Ave Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 23d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 1424 S Pennsylvania Ave Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $915 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1245 Weber Dr Unit 2 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 335 E Saint Joseph St Unit 6 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $949 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 313 E Saint Joseph St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 475 | $1,150 | $2.42 | 15d | 7 | 1.46mi |
| 509 Cherry St Unit 2 Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $975 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $8,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
DUE TO UNSAFE INTERIOR CONDITIONS THERE IS NO ACCESS/ENTRY. A HOLD HARMLESS FORM MUST BE SIGNED ALONG WITH ANY OFFERS. This property is listed "as-is". There may be unpermitted modifications. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 09/16/2026. See HomeSteps.com for more information on FMFL. Please SUBMIT A COMPLETED OFFER SUBIMSSION CHECKLIST (ATTACHED) W/ OFFER. Sold as-is.
-
2026-06-17$8,900 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
DUE TO UNSAFE INTERIOR CONDITIONS THERE IS NO ACCESS/ENTRY. A HOLD HARMLESS FORM MUST BE SIGNED ALONG WITH ANY OFFERS. This property is listed "as-is". There may be unpermitted modifications. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 09/16/2026. See HomeSteps.com for more information on FMFL. Please SUBMIT A COMPLETED OFFER SUBIMSSION CHECKLIST (ATTACHED) W/ OFFER. Sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,992
- − Mortgage interest
- −$499
- − Property taxes
- −$134
- − Insurance
- −$44
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,119
- − Management
- −$1,119
- − Depreciation
- −$259
- Taxable income
- $10,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,596
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansing Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621150
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,453
- Composite
- 18.76/100
- National rank
- #14002
- State rank
- #650 of 760 in MI
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #2182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, MI
- County
- Ingham County · 237,052 people
- City population
- 161,269
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,674
- Household income
- $54,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1171.0
Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 300,362 people
- By 2030
- 307,808 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 320,492 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 333,223 · +10.9%
- By 2075
- 373,693 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 392,021 · +30.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 22% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ingham
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.67%
- Current HPI
- 171.1549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.02%
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-17 Listed $8,900 Greater Lansing AoR
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,486 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…