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67729 195th St
C+ Composite 63.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +1.9/5.0

$120,000

67729 195th St · Bartlett, IA 51561
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,438 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1910 $83/sqft · 36% below area Est $226k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Endless possibilities await on this 7-acre property--just 30 minutes from Omaha! This home has been completely gutted and is ready for your vision to take shape. Whether you're an investor looking for your next rehab project or a homeowner ready to create your dream retreat, the hard part is done--the blank canvas is waiting. The property offers a peaceful rural setting with room to expand, build additional structures, or design the modern farmhouse you've always imagined. Enjoy the best of both worlds-country living with easy access to city conveniences. Opportunities like this are rare--bring your contractor, your imagination, and your blueprints!

Key facts

  • 7 acre property
  • Blank canvas
  • Room to expand

Tags

7 ACRE PROPERTYPEACEFUL RURAL SETTINGROOM TO EXPANDBUILD ADDITIONAL STRUCTURESBLANK CANVAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2-story home; Frame and brick construction
  • Construction: Frame and brick construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Waterfront lot; Asphalt road access; Composition roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Gas and propane heating; Forced air heat
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on the main level; Crawl space basement (no finished basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($821/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 37/100 on livability (#999 in IA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fremont-Mills Community School District (rural): math 73% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #92 of 289 in IA (top 32%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Mills County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $957 of equity ($830 loan paydown + $127 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Mills County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $88k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.82%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,834
List price
$120,000
Delta
-46.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,502
Equity at exit
$35,479
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$23,579
Equity at exit
$43,158

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51561

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,134
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    listed $120,000 Active 657-char remark
  15. 2026-04-15
    historical
  16. 2025-11-18
    price $125,000
  17. 2025-11-18
    price $125,000
  18. 2025-10-16
    listed $140,000 New
  19. 2025-10-16
    listed $140,000 Active
  20. 2004-07-09
    soldstatus $87,500
  21. 2002-09-16
    listed $87,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,645
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$1,398
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$1,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$266
After-tax cash flow
$1,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fremont-Mills Community School District
NCES district ID
1912120
Math proficiency
73% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$61,386
Composite
62.13/100
National rank
#706
State rank
#92 of 289 in IA

Livability — Bartlett

Score
37/100
State rank
#999
US rank
#27573

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
716

Population outlook (Mills County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,342 people
By 2030
13,928 · -2.9%
By 2040
12,997 · -9.4%
By 2050
12,123 · -15.5%
By 2075
10,462 · -27.1%
By 2100
9,025 · -37.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 14% Scottish 6% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
0% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mills

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.1) · D 29.9% · R 69.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -39.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.1 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+39.0 2012: R+19.1 2008: R+16.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.11%
Current HPI
94.5113
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $120,000 SWIAR
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $125,000 SWIAR
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $125,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $140,000 SWIAR
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $140,000 GPRMLS
  • 2004-07-09 Sold (MLS) $87,500 SWIAR
  • 2002-09-16 Listed $87,500 SWIAR

Property tax history

-24.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $226 · -35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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