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1208 Olive St
D Composite 41.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

1208 Olive St · Llano, TX 78643
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1986 6,566 sqft lot $195/sqft · 11% above area Est $197k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming brick home nestled in a desirable Llano neighborhood! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath residence offers 1,122 square feet of comfortable living space. The home features a functional layout with abundant natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. Enjoy a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a cozy feel that makes it perfect for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize. The kitchen and dining areas provide great potential for everyday living. Step outside to appreciate the peaceful surroundings and established neighborhood, ideal for quiet living while still being conveniently close to local amenities. A one-car garage adds practicality and additional storage. Whether you’re looking for a full-time residence or an investment opportunity, this charming home offers both comfort and potential in the heart of Llano.

Key facts

  • One-car garage
  • Spacious living area
  • Natural light

Tags

BRICK HOMENATURAL LIGHTSPACIOUS LIVING AREAKITCHEN AND DINING AREASONE-CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (8.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#407 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Llano ISD (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #359 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Llano County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Llano County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,000 (8.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
2.97%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,316
List price
$219,000
Delta
10.99%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1304 E Luce St 0.16mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,244 (+11%) 4mo $225,000 $181 64
601 E Green St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,121 (-0%) 6mo $149,000 $133 64
908 E Luce St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 954 (-15%) 13mo $109,900 $115 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-25,829
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-10,117
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78643

Home prices YoY
-3.0%
Active inventory
241
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,808
Max offer price $219,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1001 W Haynie St Llano, TX 3.0 2.0 1422 $2,000 $1.41 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 57 DOM
  17. 2026-04-03
    listed $219,000 Active 889-char remark
    Show marketing remark (889 chars)

    Charming brick home nestled in a desirable Llano neighborhood! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath residence offers 1,122 square feet of comfortable living space. The home features a functional layout with abundant natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. Enjoy a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a cozy feel that makes it perfect for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize. The kitchen and dining areas provide great potential for everyday living. Step outside to appreciate the peaceful surroundings and established neighborhood, ideal for quiet living while still being conveniently close to local amenities. A one-car garage adds practicality and additional storage. Whether you’re looking for a full-time residence or an investment opportunity, this charming home offers both comfort and potential in the heart of Llano.

  18. 1995-04-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,260 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,008 · $334/mo
Expected delta
+$1,748/yr (+$146/mo · 77.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$2,260
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$1,833
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$440
After-tax cash flow
$2,264/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Llano ISD
NCES district ID
4827810
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,746
Composite
35.42/100
National rank
#4940
State rank
#359 of 826 in TX

Livability — Llano

Score
69/100
State rank
#407
US rank
#8433

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Llano, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,837

Population outlook (Llano County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,847 people
By 2030
21,350 · +2.4%
By 2040
22,281 · +6.9%
By 2050
23,173 · +11.2%
By 2075
25,526 · +22.4%
By 2100
25,866 · +24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Llano

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.9) · D 19.2% · R 80.0%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -60.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.9 2020: R+60.1 2016: R+62.2 2012: R+60.4 2008: R+52.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.16%
Current HPI
760.73
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $219,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 1995-04-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,260 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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