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7509 W Merry Ln
B- Composite 65.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

7509 W Merry Ln · Homosassa Springs, FL 34446
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1981 10,020 sqft lot Est $118k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits with this fully fenced Homosassa property offering plenty of potential for the right buyer. Recent updates include NEW FLOORING throughout much of the home. The property features covered RV PARKING, an AMPLE storage building, and a spacious yard with room for hobbies, equipment, or recreational vehicles. Home is being sold as-is and would benefit from additional repairs and updates, making it an excellent option for INVESTORS, HANDYMEN, or buyers looking to ADD THEIR OWN finishing touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and the outdoor recreation that Homosassa is known for. Owner Financing is offered for the qualified buyer. Bring your vision and make this p

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Fully fenced
  • Covered rv parking

Tags

FULLY FENCEDCOVERED RV PARKINGAMPLE STORAGE BUILDINGSPACIOUS YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Driveway with paved parking; RV access/parking; 1 parking space (listed total)
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured residential home; Single wide
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Additional structures include barn(s) and shed(s)
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Concrete surfaces; Deck; Barbecue; Fenced

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop and electric oven/range; Microwave; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: Manufactured home (single wide) — bedroom count not specified
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air and wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Barbecue; Deck; Fenced yard; Barns and shed(s) on the property
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.9% in Homosassa Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Homosassa Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 411 students, 78% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 586 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $125k implies a 443% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.67%
Cash-on-cash
15.63%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,272
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7742 W Green Acres St 0.27mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 13mo $176,000 $190 76
7278 W Hadenotter Ln 0.24mi 2/2.0 960 (+4%) 8mo $46,400 $48 75
5222 S Manatee Ter 0.13mi 2/2.0 943 (+2%) 22mo $137,000 $145 72
7299 W Brady Ln 0.28mi 2/1.0 864 (-6%) 14mo $92,500 $107 60
5285 S Knobhill Ter 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+14%) 20mo $100,000 $95 43
5602 S Woodside Ter 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+14%) 8mo $135,000 $128 38
6853 W Sasser St 0.68mi 2/2.0 840 (-9%) 19mo $150,000 $179 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$4,615
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$36,226
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34446

Home prices YoY
-10.4%
Active inventory
586
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,671 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $476 -5% $433 +0% $389 +5% $346 +10% $303
Rent -10% $257 -5% $323 +0% $389 +5% $455 +10% $521
Rate -1.0pp $452 -0.5pp $421 base $389 +0.5pp $357 +1.0pp $324

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5323 S Knobhill Ter Homosassa, FL 3.0 2.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 22d 1 0.24mi
5900 S Oakridge Dr Homosassa, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,575 $1.50 22d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $125,000 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,047
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$1,422
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,604
− Management
−$1,604
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$2,904
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$697
After-tax cash flow
$3,976/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Homosassa Springs

Score
71/100
State rank
#391
US rank
#6877

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Homosassa Springs, FL
County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,102
Household income
$58,802
Rent vs Own
6.9% rent · 93.1% own
Severe rent burden
121.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.11%
Current HPI
277.2576
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1566.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $125,000 RACC
  • 1986-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $229 · +33.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…