424 Rey Salomon St · Brownsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This move-in ready starter home has been recently freshened up with touched-up paint and minor updates, making it a great option for buyers looking for a clean and comfortable space. The open-concept layout connects the kitchen and living area, creating a functional flow for both daily living and casual gatherings, and the kitchen includes a pass-through bar that adds extra seating and convenience. Light, neutral tones give the home a bright and welcoming feel throughout, and all bedrooms include ceiling fans for added comfort. With four bedrooms—a rare find in this price range—the layout offers flexibility for a home office, guests, or growing needs. The home sits on a large co
Key facts
- Pass-through bar
- Large corner lot
- Near quality schools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property in Brownsville, TX
- Financial info: No financial details provided
- HOA & community: Subdivision: VILLA DEL REY
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; House; Entry level on main floor
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in recent years (year not specified)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Ceiling fans throughout
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (10.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (20.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, employment F.
- Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gonzalez El (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,515 of 4,322 statewide, top 82%, 653 students, 91% FRL); Perkins Middle (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,583 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 571 students, 96% FRL); Rivera Early College H S (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,250 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 2,254 students, 84% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 366 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.46%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,886
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- 3.64%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 463 Rey Salomon St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,181 (-2%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $161 | 90 |
| 4419 Pine Ln | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-10%) | 15mo | $169,000 | $155 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-31,322
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,468
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78521
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 366
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,584 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$235 /mo · $2,818/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $-115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2 | -5% $-58 | +0% $-115 | +5% $-171 | +10% $-228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-240 | -5% $-177 | +0% $-115 | +5% $-52 | +10% $10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-14 | -0.5pp $-64 | base $-115 | +0.5pp $-167 | +1.0pp $-219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 Creekbend Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,600 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 120 Galonsky St Unit G3 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 538 Land O Lakes Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15 Corine Cir Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 50 Galonsky St Unit 3 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3744 Boca Chica Blvd Unit 100F Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2021 Westminster Cir Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4650 Bowie Rd Brownsville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $1,055 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1134 Kelsey Dr Unit D Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $875 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2100 Old Port Isabel Rd Unit 22 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2100 Old Port Isabel Rd Unit 22 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2100 Old Port Isabel Rd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $700 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2025 Old Port Isabel Rd Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $975 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 170 Pearl Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3901 Las Palmas Cir Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2D Palmetto Ct Unit 2D Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 235 S Clubhouse Rd Unit NA Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 16 Palmetto Ct Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2815 E Price Rd Unit 104 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1123 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 1008-char remark
-
2026-05-02$199,900 Active 1008-char remark
-
2005-05-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,818 · $235/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,658 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- +$841/yr (+$70/mo · 29.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,818
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,521
- − Management
- −$1,521
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$4,861
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,167
- After-tax cash flow
- $-212/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811680
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,490
- Composite
- 21.8/100
- National rank
- #8249
- State rank
- #710 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 212,132
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 87,380
- Household income
- $44,509
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2682.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 45% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 12% English-only · Spanish 88%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.45%
- Current HPI
- 232.1072
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — RGVMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $199,900 RGVMLS
- 2005-05-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,818 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…