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1319 Ferris Ave
C+ Composite 64.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1319 Ferris Ave · Berwick, PA 18603
3 bd · None ba · 1,104 sqft · Other public records · 43 Days on market
Built 2000 7,405 sqft lot $109/sqft · 60% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 2000, this manufactured home offers approximately 1104 finished square feet, three bedrooms, one full bath and covered porch. This home sits on an approximate 7187 sqft lot. This home needs some TLC.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 2000
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-2; Lot approximately 0.17 acres (45 x 165)
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking: No dedicated parking
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; No foundation details provided; Built living area approximately 1,104
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Street lights in neighborhood

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms:
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating
  • Interior features: Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; 8 total rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/?-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.4% in Berwick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#412 in PA, #3,762 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $120k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.16%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$74,918
List price
$120,000
Delta
60.17%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,268
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$30,014
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18603

Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,493 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,914/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,062
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $120,000 Active 553-char remark
  16. 2025-08-04
    price $54,000
  17. 2024-12-31
    soldstatus $51,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Built in 2000, this manufactured home offers approximately 1104 finished square feet, three bedrooms, one full bath and covered porch. This home sits on an approximate 7187 sqft lot. This home needs some TLC.

  18. 2024-11-27
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Built in 2000, this manufactured home offers approximately 1104 finished square feet, three bedrooms, one full bath and covered porch. This home sits on an approximate 7187 sqft lot. This home needs some TLC.

  19. 2024-10-29
    listed $50,880 Active
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Built in 2000, this manufactured home offers approximately 1104 finished square feet, three bedrooms, one full bath and covered porch. This home sits on an approximate 7187 sqft lot. This home needs some TLC.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,914 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,914 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,913
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,914
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,433
− Management
−$1,433
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$2,320
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$557
After-tax cash flow
$3,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berwick Area SD
NCES district ID
4203480
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,964
Composite
37.36/100
National rank
#4433
State rank
#291 of 539 in PA

Livability — Berwick

Score
76/100
State rank
#412
US rank
#3762

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berwick, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,985

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,170 people
By 2030
64,054 · -1.7%
By 2040
61,131 · -6.2%
By 2050
57,526 · -11.7%
By 2075
50,259 · -22.9%
By 2100
44,756 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.40%
Current HPI
211.5643
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $120,000 CSVBR
  • 2025-08-04 Price Changed $54,000 LCAR
  • 2024-12-31 Sold (MLS) $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-29 Listed $50,880 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,914 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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