346 Oak Tree St · Yanceyville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4-bedroom, 2-bath fixer-upper is packed full of potential and ready for your vision! Being sold as-is, where-is, this solid home offers primary living on the main level and presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch. Situated on a level yard and conveniently located just 5 minutes from local shopping, this property combines location and opportunity. With the right updates, this home could truly shine. Buyer must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement before entering the property. Don't miss your chance to unlock the possibilities this property has to offer!
Key facts
- Level yard
- Conveniently located
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One-and-one-half story; Built in 1945; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Cleared, level lot; No fencing; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main and second levels
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level; Attic access only
- Laundry & utility: Dryer connection; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 3.6% in Yanceyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#179 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Caswell County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #146 of 178 in NC (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oakwood Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 333 students, 99% FRL); N L Dillard Middle (math 21% / reading 35%, grade F, #360 of 475 statewide, top 77%, 500 students, 71% FRL); Bartlett Yancey High (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #393 of 535 statewide, top 75%, 679 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 61% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Caswell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
- Caswell County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.68%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,736
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 Parkway Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 22mo | $74,000 | $74 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.74% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $56,457
- Equity at exit
- $48,369
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.29×
- Total profit
- $139,151
- Equity at exit
- $86,620
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27379
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,373 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $547
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $592 | -5% $570 | +0% $547 | +5% $525 | +10% $502 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $439 | -5% $493 | +0% $547 | +5% $601 | +10% $656 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $587 | -0.5pp $567 | base $547 | +0.5pp $527 | +1.0pp $506 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-30status $79,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-05-21$79,000 Active
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
This 4-bedroom, 2-bath fixer-upper is packed full of potential and ready for your vision! Being sold as-is, where-is, this solid home offers primary living on the main level and presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch. Situated on a level yard and conveniently located just 5 minutes from local shopping, this property combines location and opportunity. With the right updates, this home could truly shine. Buyer must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement before entering the property. Don't miss your chance to unlock the possibilities this property has to offer!
-
2026-05-21$79,000 Active 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
This 4-bedroom, 2-bath fixer-upper is packed full of potential and ready for your vision! Being sold as-is, where-is, this solid home offers primary living on the main level and presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch. Situated on a level yard and conveniently located just 5 minutes from local shopping, this property combines location and opportunity. With the right updates, this home could truly shine. Buyer must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement before entering the property. Don't miss your chance to unlock the possibilities this property has to offer!
-
2015-03-26historical
-
2014-04-12$90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,088 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,088 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,088
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,318
- − Management
- −$1,318
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,638
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caswell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700660
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,172
- Composite
- 25.44/100
- National rank
- #7452
- State rank
- #146 of 178 in NC
Livability — Yanceyville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #179
- US rank
- #9189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yanceyville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,143
Population outlook (Caswell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,389 people
- By 2030
- 20,297 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 17,848 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 15,578 · -27.2%
- By 2075
- 11,939 · -44.2%
- By 2100
- 8,930 · -58.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 41% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Caswell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.6) · D 37.4% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.7pp toward R · 2008: 3.1pp · 2024: -24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.6 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+11.5 2012: R+2.7 2008: D+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Current HPI
- 210.5496
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-12.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $79,000 DRRAR
- 2026-05-21 Listed $79,000 Triad MLS
- 2015-03-26 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2014-04-12 Listed $90,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,088 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…