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5205 W 99th St
C Composite 57.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$394,900

5205 W 99th St · Overland Park, KS 66207
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,662 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1969 0.40 ac lot Est $527k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Amazing opportunity in one of the nicest areas of Kansas City. This large property is located halfway between Nall and Roe, making commuting a breeze. SUPER desirable square footage, layout, features and HUGE . 4 acre lot. Rehabbed homes identical to this one are selling for over $600k. I am happy to share the comps! This property is an amazing investment for a rehabber looking to make a large profit, or for a very handy homeowner who can overhaul the house themselves. Parts of the home are already gutted and ready for renovation! PLUS, many of the high end finishes are salvageable-- such as kitchen cabinets and hardwood floors. This is a special one you dont want to miss out on.

Key facts

  • 4 acre lot
  • High end finishes
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

4 ACRE LOTHIGH END FINISHESHARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached front-facing garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Side/side split floor plan
  • Construction: Brick/mortar construction; Composition roof; Basement: concrete, inside entrance, unfinished
  • Exterior features: Patio; City lot; Paved road with public maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (some located on second/upper levels)
  • Flooring: Concrete; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central air)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Pantry; Stained cabinets; Formal dining area; Den/Study; Formal living room; Family room on main level; Subbasement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on bedroom level; Laundry on lower level; Additional laundry area on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $395k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $362k (8.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $362k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.9% in Overland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#16 in KS, #1,851 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute D+.
  • Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $290k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $362,269 (8.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.28%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$527,076
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5205 W 99th St 0.00mi 4/2.5 2,662 (0%) 1mo $394,900 $148 99
5415 W 99th Ter 0.17mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,658 (-0%) 2mo $449,995 $169 85
5300 W 101 Ter 0.25mi 4/2.5 2,592 (-3%) 1mo $799,000 $308 84
10006 Cedar St 0.25mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,670 (+0%) 4mo $575,000 $215 76
10206 Linden St 0.47mi 4/2.5 2,660 (-0%) 3mo $575,000 $216 75
5616 W 98th St 0.35mi 4/3.0 2,570 (-4%) 7mo $499,000 $194 70
10013 Briar Dr 0.23mi 4/3.5 2,332 (-12%) 3mo $540,000 $232 62
9516 Linden St 0.50mi 4/3.0 2,849 (+7%) 2mo $850,000 $298 61
9724 Outlook Dr 0.44mi 4/2.5 2,308 (-13%) 1mo $450,000 $195 56
6101 W 99 th St 0.56mi 4/2.5 2,964 (+11%) 5mo $489,000 $165 51
10200 Granada Ln 0.56mi 4/2.5 3,037 (+14%) 6mo $600,000 $198 45
9501 El Monte St 0.73mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,462 (-8%) 6mo $475,000 $193 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-32,724
Equity at exit
$58,881
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$29,893
Equity at exit
$34,144

Cash invested: $110,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66207

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,623 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,071
Tax from tax record
$232 /mo · $2,780/yr
Insurance
$165
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$761
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,123
Max offer price $394,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $618 -5% $507 +0% $395 +5% $283 +10% $171
Rent -10% $109 -5% $252 +0% $395 +5% $538 +10% $681
Rate -1.0pp $594 -0.5pp $495 base $395 +0.5pp $292 +1.0pp $188

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,725
Closing costs
$11,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4120 W 98th Ter Overland Park, KS 4.0 3.5 2980 $5,000 $1.68 24d 1 0.67mi
9827 Mission Rd Leawood, KS 4.0 2.5 1978 $2,481 $1.25 22d 1 0.87mi
4120 W 94th Ter Prairie Village, KS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1345 $2,830 $2.10 2d 17 0.93mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $394,900 Active
  3. 2026-04-17
    soldstatus $290,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,780 · $232/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,568 · $464/mo
Expected delta
+$2,788/yr (+$232/mo · 100.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,472
− Mortgage interest
−$22,121
− Property taxes
−$2,780
− Insurance
−$1,974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,478
− Management
−$3,478
− Depreciation
−$11,488
Taxable loss
−$1,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$443
After-tax cash flow
$5,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shawnee Mission Pub Schools
NCES district ID
2011640
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$64,923
Composite
37.55/100
National rank
#4391
State rank
#22 of 169 in KS

Livability — Overland Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#1851

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D+ Cost of living C Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Overland Park, KS
County
Johnson County · 574,662 people
City population
180,138
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
15,739
Household income
$125,153
Rent vs Own
21.6% rent · 78.4% own
Severe rent burden
305.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
663,396 people
By 2030
702,585 · +5.9%
By 2040
775,386 · +16.9%
By 2050
841,772 · +26.9%
By 2075
994,137 · +49.9%
By 2100
1,073,036 · +61.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.5) · D 53.4% · R 44.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+17.5pp toward D · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: 8.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.5 2020: D+8.2 2016: R+2.7 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+9.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -286.42%
Current HPI
274.6822
Rent YoY
▲ 4.68%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+36.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $394,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,780 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…