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3921 Joyner St
D Composite 42.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,500

3921 Joyner St · Flint, MI 48532
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1953 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look before its gone!!!

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 185 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (HOA) present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; 760 above-grade finished square feet
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.09 acres; Lot dimensions: 3920

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 92.5% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $73 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $315 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (66%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $9,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.96%
Cap rate
92.46%
Cash-on-cash
307.75%
DSCR
14.69
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$50,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
959 Tacken St 0.18mi 2/1.0 748 (-2%) 4mo $24,900 $33 86
988 Barney Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 776 (+2%) 8mo $34,000 $44 73
1574 Houran St 0.35mi 2/1.0 798 (+5%) 7mo $30,000 $38 70
3705 Gratiot Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 820 (+8%) 5mo $74,200 $90 68
3722 Whitney Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 789 (+4%) 7mo $75,000 $95 64
2710 Reynolds St 0.72mi 2/1.0 751 (-1%) 5mo $56,500 $75 60
916 Mann St 0.34mi 2/1.0 647 (-15%) 3mo $35,000 $54 57
2805 Reynolds St 0.68mi 2/1.0 704 (-7%) 3mo $35,000 $50 53
1115 Barney Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 833 (+10%) 5mo $43,500 $52 52
2717 Gibson St 0.68mi 2/1.0 687 (-10%) 1mo $50,000 $73 51
1326 Hughes Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 814 (+7%) 6mo $70,900 $87 50
2913 Gibson St 0.58mi 2/1.0 680 (-10%) 6mo $45,000 $66 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.76×
Total profit
$46,337
Equity at exit
$1,566
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
35.78×
Total profit
$102,250
Equity at exit
$908

Cash invested: $2,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48532

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,046 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$55
Tax est. 1.5%
$13 /mo · $158/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$754

Break-even live

Break-even rent $92
Max offer price $10,500
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $761 -5% $758 +0% $754 +5% $750 +10% $747
Rent -10% $671 -5% $713 +0% $754 +5% $795 +10% $837
Rate -1.0pp $759 -0.5pp $757 base $754 +0.5pp $751 +1.0pp $749

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,625
Closing costs
$315
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
806 Barney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 22d 1 0.27mi
3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 14d 1 0.52mi
3901 Herrick St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 14d 1 0.62mi
343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 26d 1 0.67mi
314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,250 $1.40 22d 1 0.68mi
352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 22d 1 0.72mi
3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 14d 1 0.74mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,500 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,500 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,500 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $10,500 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $10,500 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,500 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $10,500 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,500 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,500 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,500 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $10,500 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,500 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,500 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,500 Active 168 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,500 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $10,500 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $10,500 35-char remark
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  18. 2026-05-13
    price $10,500
  19. 2026-05-07
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  20. 2026-05-07
    status Active 35-char remark
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  21. 2026-02-01
    historical
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  22. 2026-02-01
    historical 35-char remark
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  23. 2026-01-10
    price $18,900 35-char remark
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  24. 2026-01-09
    price $18,900
  25. 2025-11-22
    price $21,000 35-char remark
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  26. 2025-11-21
    price $21,000
  27. 2025-09-11
    listed $31,000 Active 35-char remark
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  28. 2025-09-11
    listed $31,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (35 chars)

    Come take a look before its gone!!!

  29. 2021-04-27
    soldstatus $29,000 Sold 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  30. 2021-04-27
    soldstatus $29,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  31. 2021-04-05
    status Pending 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  32. 2021-04-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  33. 2021-03-12
    price $27,000
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  34. 2021-03-12
    price $27,000 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  35. 2021-02-18
    listed $35,000 Active 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  36. 2021-02-18
    listed $35,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED INVESTMENT PROPERTY BATVI

  37. 2019-06-19
    price $9,400
  38. 2019-06-19
    price $9,400
  39. 2018-09-05
    soldstatus $9,400 Sold
  40. 2018-09-05
    soldstatus $9,400 Closed
  41. 2018-08-14
    status Pending
  42. 2018-08-14
    status Pending
  43. 2018-07-23
    listed $11,600 Active
  44. 2018-07-23
    listed $11,600 Active
  45. 2009-06-03
    historical
  46. 2009-06-03
    historical
  47. 2008-06-27
    listed $24,900
  48. 2008-06-27
    listed $24,900
  49. 2008-06-27
    historical
  50. 2008-06-27
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,555
− Mortgage interest
−$588
− Property taxes
−$158
− Insurance
−$52
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,004
− Management
−$1,004
− Depreciation
−$305
Taxable income
$9,443
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,266
After-tax cash flow
$6,782/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
19,750

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.08%
Current HPI
202.407
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-73.0% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $10,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $10,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $18,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $18,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $21,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $31,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $31,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-27 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-27 Sold (MLS) $29,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Price Changed $27,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Price Changed $27,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-02-18 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-02-18 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-19 Price Changed $9,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-19 Price Changed $9,400 REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-05 Sold (MLS) $9,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-05 Sold (MLS) $9,400 REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-23 Listed $11,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-23 Listed $11,600 REALCOMP
  • 2009-06-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-06-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-06-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-27 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-06-27 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-05-24 Listed $38,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-24 Listed $38,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,095 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…