514 W Clark · Jasper, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1215 SF, 2 BR, 1 BATH home is located in the quaint town of Jasper, Arkansas near the Little Buffalo River in the Ozark Mountains & Buffalo National River Region of Newton County Arkansas. This home is within walking distance to the historic Jasper Square (eating, shopping, services), Bradley Park (on the Little Buffalo River, pickle ball, swimming) & Jasper School (just across the street). There is a bonus room that could make it a 3BR. Partial basement (with walkout & access from inside) perfect for storm shelter and storage. It can only be residential or used as a medical (including chiropractor) facility. Newer HVAC, has a fireplace and maintains current termite policy. It is located in beautiful Newton County, Arkansas & near the Ozark National Forest. This central location is convenient to the best swimming holes, hiking, canoeing, wildlife photography and fishing. Other nearby outdoor activities include horseback riding, mountaineering, caving, & scenic driving. Also listed as residential MLS# 1319554.
Key facts
- Partial basement
- Bonus room
- Newer hvac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#217 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Jasper School District (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #115 of 238 in AR (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jasper Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #173 of 454 statewide, top 43%, 271 students, 65% FRL); Jasper High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #119 of 292 statewide, top 43%, 208 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency.
- At $2,203/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newton County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 345 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 345 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.03%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,368
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -9.08%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Buffalo St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,223 (+1%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $123 | 80 |
| 306 Elm St | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (-14%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $371 | 62 |
| 101 Locust St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 986 (-19%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $152 | 59 |
| Ar-327 | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+3%) | 28mo | $236,500 | $190 | 53 |
| Hc 32 Box 76 | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,102 (-9%) | 34mo | $35,000 | $32 | 52 |
| 48 Nc 6015 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 964 (-21%) | 10mo | $193,500 | $201 | 49 |
| 104 S Pine St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-13%) | 36mo | $96,500 | $91 | 47 |
| 101 Oak St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,025 (-16%) | 28mo | $95,000 | $93 | 44 |
| 1881 Ar-74 | 1.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,240 (+2%) | 29mo | $169,900 | $137 | 37 |
| 8656 Nc | 0.82mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-10%) | 28mo | $372,014 | $338 | 20 |
| Hc 70 Box 726441 | 0.88mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,408 (+16%) | 30mo | $270,500 | $192 | 11 |
| Hc 70 Box 83 | 0.88mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,408 (+16%) | 30mo | $270,000 | $192 | 11 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $6,189
- Equity at exit
- $26,759
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $49,665
- Equity at exit
- $16,294
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $211,500 ($144/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 279 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +10.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 72641
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,203 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $532
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $652 | -5% $592 | +0% $532 | +5% $471 | +10% $411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $358 | -5% $445 | +0% $532 | +5% $619 | +10% $706 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $620 | -0.5pp $576 | base $532 | +0.5pp $486 | +1.0pp $440 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $174,900 Active 345 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $174,900 Active 344 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $174,900 Active 343 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $174,900 Active 342 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $174,900 Active 341 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $174,900 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $174,900 Active 337 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $174,900 Active 336 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $174,900 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $174,900 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $174,900 Active 331 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $174,900 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $174,900 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $174,900 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $174,900 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $174,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $174,900 Active 322 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $174,900 Active 321 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $174,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $174,900 Active 319 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $174,900 Active 318 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $174,900 Active 317 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $174,900 Active 316 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $174,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $174,900 Active 314 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $174,900 Active 313 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $174,900 Active 312 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $174,900 Active 311 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $174,900 Active 310 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $174,900 Active 309 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $174,900 Active 308 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $174,900 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $174,900 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $174,900 Active 305 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $174,900 Active 304 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $174,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $174,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $174,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $174,900 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 281 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,435
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,624
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,115
- − Management
- −$2,115
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $3,822
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$917
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,462/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1215 SF, 2 BR, 1 BA home in Jasper, Arkansas is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for cosmetic updates to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves appearance and functionality ↑
- Resale New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508240
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,615
- Composite
- 29.59/100
- National rank
- #6480
- State rank
- #115 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #16736
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jasper, AR
- County
- Newton · 7,052 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,063
- Household income
- $39,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,052 people
- By 2030
- 6,509 · -7.7%
- By 2040
- 5,424 · -23.1%
- By 2050
- 4,502 · -36.2%
- By 2075
- 3,018 · -57.2%
- By 2100
- 1,985 · -71.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.1% · R 81.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.5pp · 2024: -64.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.2 2020: R+62.1 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+35.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.91%
- Current HPI
- 195.4325
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-12.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $174,900 NWARMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $179,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $199,000 NWARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…