9103 N Union St #173 · Tecumseh, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,799
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $118,799, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,903, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
Key facts
- Open floorplan
- Utility laundry area
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.6% in Tecumseh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,459 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Tecumseh Public Schools (town): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #181 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $821 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.60%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,871
- List price
- $118,799
- Delta
- -35.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3820 Kaiser Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (-0%) | 9mo | $206,000 | $154 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $24,209
- Equity at exit
- $17,713
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $77,121
- Equity at exit
- $10,272
Cash invested: $33,264 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49286
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,902 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$623
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$148 /mo · $1,782/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $682
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,700
- Closing costs
- $3,564
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9115 N Union St Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,876 | $1.33 | 13d | 4 | 0.02mi |
| 9103 N Union St #174 Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,903 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 9103 N Union St #165 Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,848 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 603 Nokomis St Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1325 Southwestern Dr Tecumseh, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,130 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1316 Southwestern Dr Tecumseh, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,130 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,799 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,799 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,799 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,799 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $118,799 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,799 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $118,799 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,799 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,799 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $118,799 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $118,799 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $118,799 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $118,799 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $118,799 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,799 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $118,799 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-01-06price $118,799 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
* Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $118,799, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,903, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2025-07-02$114,799 Active 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
* Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $118,799, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,903, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,829
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,655
- − Property taxes
- −$1,782
- − Insurance
- −$594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,826
- − Management
- −$1,826
- − Depreciation
- −$3,456
- Taxable income
- $6,690
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,606
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with modern appliances and fixtures. It is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tecumseh Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633720
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,026
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4775
- State rank
- #181 of 540 in MI
Livability — Tecumseh
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #2459
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tecumseh, MI
- City population
- 14,331
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,331
Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,497 people
- By 2030
- 92,722 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 85,641 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 77,971 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 60,043 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 41,468 · -56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.90%
- Current HPI
- 234.4935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+3.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $118,799 Zillow
- 2025-07-02 Listed $114,799 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…