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9103 N Union St #173
B+ Composite 79.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$118,799

9103 N Union St #173 · Tecumseh, MI 49286
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 352 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $88/sqft · 36% below area Est $185k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $118,799, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,903, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

Key facts

  • Open floorplan
  • Utility laundry area
  • Large walk-in closet

Tags

RECESSED CAN LIGHTINGLARGE WALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE RETREAT BATHEBUILT ZERO ENERGY READY HOMEOPEN FLOORPLANUTILITY LAUNDRY AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.6% in Tecumseh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,459 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Tecumseh Public Schools (town): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #181 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $821 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $104,543 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.18%
Cash-on-cash
24.60%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$184,871
List price
$118,799
Delta
-35.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3820 Kaiser Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,338 (-0%) 9mo $206,000 $154 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$24,209
Equity at exit
$17,713
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$77,121
Equity at exit
$10,272

Cash invested: $33,264 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49286

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,902 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$623
Tax est. 1.5%
$148 /mo · $1,782/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$682

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,039
Max offer price $118,799
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,700
Closing costs
$3,564
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9115 N Union St Tecumseh, MI 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,876 $1.33 13d 4 0.02mi
9103 N Union St #174 Tecumseh, MI 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,903 $1.42 13d 1 0.07mi
9103 N Union St #165 Tecumseh, MI 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,848 $1.48 13d 1 0.07mi
603 Nokomis St Tecumseh, MI 3.0 2.0 1620 $2,500 $1.54 43d 1 0.32mi
1325 Southwestern Dr Tecumseh, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,130 $1.19 13d 1 1.31mi
1316 Southwestern Dr Tecumseh, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,130 $1.19 13d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $118,799 Active 352 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $118,799 Active 351 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $118,799 Active 350 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $118,799 Active 349 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $118,799 Active 347 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $118,799 Active 346 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $118,799 Active 344 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $118,799 Active 343 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $118,799 Active 342 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $118,799 Active 341 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $118,799 Active 338 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $118,799 Active 337 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $118,799 Active 336 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $118,799 Active 335 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $118,799 Active 334 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $118,799 Active 333 DOM
  17. 2026-01-06
    price $118,799 672-char remark
    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    * Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $118,799, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,903, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

  18. 2025-07-02
    listed $114,799 Active 672-char remark
    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    * Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $118,799, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,903, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,829
− Mortgage interest
−$6,655
− Property taxes
−$1,782
− Insurance
−$594
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,826
− Management
−$1,826
− Depreciation
−$3,456
Taxable income
$6,690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,606
After-tax cash flow
$6,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with modern appliances and fixtures. It is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tecumseh Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633720
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,026
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4775
State rank
#181 of 540 in MI

Livability — Tecumseh

Score
78/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#2459

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tecumseh, MI
City population
14,331
Population (ZIP)
14,331

Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,497 people
By 2030
92,722 · -2.9%
By 2040
85,641 · -10.3%
By 2050
77,971 · -18.4%
By 2075
60,043 · -37.1%
By 2100
41,468 · -56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.90%
Current HPI
234.4935
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $118,799 Zillow
  • 2025-07-02 Listed $114,799 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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