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3840 Greystone Unit 1K
C- Composite 54.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

3840 Greystone Unit 1K · New York, NY 10463
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo · 175 Days on market
Built 1951

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

10% DOWN PAYMENT PERMITTED, THIS IS A COMMUTER'S DREAM - 3840 GREYSTONE AVENUE. THIS UNIT FEATURES A LARGE EAT IN KITCHEN, BEAUTIFUL HARDWOOD FLOORS, 2 BEDROOMS WITH WESTERN EXPOSURE, BRIGHT AND AIRY, UPDATED BATHROOM & MODERN RECESSED LIGHTING THROUGH OUT. THE BUILDING IS LOCATED ON A QUIET TREE LINE STREET WITH IN PROXIMITY TO SHOPPING, EATERIES, EXPRESS BUSES & 1 TRAIN. THIS COOP HAS AN ON SITE SUPER, LAUNDRY FACILITY, PACKAGE ROOM & WELCOMES DOGS!

Key facts

  • Large eat in kitchen
  • Hardwood floors
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

LARGE EAT IN KITCHENHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED BATHROOMMODERN RECESSED LIGHTINGQUIET TREE LINE STREETON SITE SUPER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (no carport)
  • Utilities: Water connected; Sewer: other
  • Home design: Stock cooperative
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 4 rooms total
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Dogs allowed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,039/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 5586% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $264,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.68%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-11,632
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$90,038
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10463

Rents YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
342
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,039 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$638
Net cashflow
$328

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,624
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2600 Netherland Ave Bronx, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1132 $3,938 $3.48 22d 3 0.82mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-08
    price $300,000
  3. 2025-10-24
    listed $315,000 Active
  4. 2015-01-16
    historical Expired
  5. 2015-01-15
    historical
  6. 2014-09-15
    status Active
  7. 2014-08-01
    historical Pending
  8. 2014-05-08
    listed Active
  9. 2014-05-08
    listed $280,000
  10. 2014-05-08
    listed $280,000
  11. 2014-05-08
    listed $280,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,470
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,500
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,918
− Management
−$2,918
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$897
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$215
After-tax cash flow
$4,148/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,470
Household income
$74,974
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
5586.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 1% Dominican 25%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -294.75%
Current HPI
168.0211
Rent YoY
▲ 11.60%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-19 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-08 Price Changed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $315,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-16 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2015-01-15 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-15 Relisted HGMLS
  • 2014-08-01 Contingent HGMLS
  • 2014-05-08 Listed HGMLS
  • 2014-05-08 Listed $280,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2014-05-08 Listed $280,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-08 Listed $280,000 RLS at REBNY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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