351 Bradley Ave #122 · Bostonia, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home in very bad condition this is a CASH OFFER ONLY !!!!!
Key facts
- Move-in-ready home
- Modern layout
- Open living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in a suburban community (Starlight Mobile Home Park); Lot zoning approx. 0-1 unit/acre
- Financial info: Land lease noted
- HOA & community: Land lease in effect (land lease amount listed)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Has parking; Located in Starlight Mobile Home Park
- Utilities: District/public water; Public sewer; Standard electric service; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Mobile home model Canyon Lake; Double-wide; Turnkey condition; One story; Entry on level 1; Paved road access
- Construction: Shingle roof; Brick, vertical siding, concrete, glass and drywall walls; Pier jacks foundation; Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 22 ft by 51 ft; Year built source: Builder
- Exterior features: Awning; In-ground community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas range; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Ice maker; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Water heater unit; Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: See remarks
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower in tub; Shower
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Ceiling fan; Recessed lighting; Double pane windows; Unfurnished; Laminate counters
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 6.0% in Bostonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#383 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Grossmont Union High (suburban): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #173 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $215k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.18%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,763
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351 E Bradley Ave Spc 164 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-1%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $150 | 82 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave Spc 116 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-6%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $173 | 77 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #121 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-2%) | 15mo | $124,900 | $115 | 72 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #127 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,246 (+12%) | 2mo | $106,000 | $85 | 70 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave Spc 109 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-5%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $133 | 70 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave Spc 125 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-14%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $156 | 69 |
| 400 Greenfield Dr #138 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 15mo | $145,000 | $126 | 64 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave #119 | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 950 (-14%) | 4mo | $121,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 400 Greenfield, Dr, space 114 | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (+10%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $126 | 58 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave #13 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-14%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave #45 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-14%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 400 Greenfield Dr Spc 123 | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-14%) | 11mo | $107,000 | $111 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,662
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $11,024
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92021
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,591 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$544
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $710 | -5% $635 | +0% $561 | +5% $487 | +10% $412 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $356 | -5% $459 | +0% $561 | +5% $663 | +10% $766 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $669 | -0.5pp $616 | base $561 | +0.5pp $505 | +1.0pp $449 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $2,050 | $3.09 | 2d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 425 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $2,350 | $3.05 | 2d | 13 | 0.12mi |
| 360 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $2,934 | $2.63 | 2d | 3 | 0.13mi |
| 1521 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 730 | $2,632 | $3.61 | 2d | 7 | 0.24mi |
| 745 E Bradley Ave Unit 46 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $2,298 | $2.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1261 Victor Ave Unit 9 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $2,195 | $2.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1696 Buckeye Dr El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $2,900 | $3.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1237 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,565 | $3.31 | 2d | 13 | 0.46mi |
| 1294 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,128 | $2.84 | 2d | 8 | 0.49mi |
| 1430 Diamond Ln El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $2,695 | $3.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1219 Denver Ln Unit 1465013P El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1194 | $8,558 | $7.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 359 Cascade Rd El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $2,875 | $3.76 | 8d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1314 5 D Dr Unit 1318 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,600 | $2.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1005 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,195 | $2.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 375 Broadway El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 989 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,622 | $3.10 | 2d | 11 | 0.97mi |
| 798 McClure St Unit 14 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $2,295 | $2.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1038 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,978 | $2.33 | 2d | 4 | 1.00mi |
| 1019 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $2,161 | $3.09 | 2d | 8 | 1.01mi |
| 716 Ballantyne St Unit 12 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1050 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,460 | $4.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 700 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,150 | $2.53 | 2d | 5 | 1.02mi |
| 1221 Oro St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $2,575 | $2.52 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 8729 Graves Ave Santee, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $2,385 | $3.17 | 2d | 8 | 1.08mi |
| 205 Beech St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $2,480 | $2.92 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 10d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 390 E Madison Ave Unit E El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1034 | $2,300 | $2.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 545 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 8d | 9 | 1.27mi |
| 545 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,028 | $2.90 | 2d | 11 | 1.27mi |
| 303 E Madison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,995 | $2.28 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 505 E Madison Ave #89 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 8712 N Magnolia Ave Santee, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $2,875 | $2.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 455 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $2,195 | $2.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 816 Oro St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1235 | $3,400 | $2.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1171 Marline Ave Unit 1171-A El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1141 | $3,100 | $2.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 453 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $2,150 | $2.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 458 Ballantyne St Unit 15 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,100 | $2.76 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 917 E Madison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,195 | $2.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 589 N Johnson Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $2,150 | $2.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$215,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,487
- − Management
- −$2,487
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $3,519
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,888/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in-ready manufactured home in the Starlight Mobile Home Park offers a modern and well-maintained living space with no visible repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Increases value and reduces maintenance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Increases value and reduces maintenance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grossmont Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,801
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3810
- State rank
- #173 of 517 in CA
Livability — Bostonia
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #383
- US rank
- #13065
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bostonia, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 70,501
- Household income
- $74,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4178.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -654.88%
- Current HPI
- 335.0617
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+330.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $215,000 CRMLS
- 2024-08-02 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CRMLS
- 2024-05-28 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-05-18 Listed $50,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…