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419 N Pope St
B+ Composite 78.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

419 N Pope St · San Angelo, TX 76903
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 932 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1930 5,706 sqft lot $70/sqft · 44% below area Est $116k · 44% under ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring Offers! 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home close to schools, medical facilities, shopping, and Goodfellow AFB. Would make a good starter home or investment property. Homes just needs some TLC. Home to be sold 'AS IS'.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Close to shopping
  • 5,706 sq ft lot

Tags

CLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO MEDICAL FACILITIESCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
14.29%
Cash-on-cash
28.55%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,403
List price
$65,000
Delta
-44.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
419 N Pope St 0.00mi 2/1.0 932 (0%) 1mo $65,000 $70 99
424 N Pope St 0.03mi 2/1.0 938 (+1%) 4mo $25,000 $27 94
616 Koberlin St 0.25mi 2/1.0 900 (-3%) 2mo $119,900 $133 81
618 Pulliam St 0.12mi 2/1.0 1,064 (+14%) 2mo $99,000 $93 69
522 Ellis St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+3%) 11mo $115,000 $120 67
812 E Harris Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 852 (-9%) 6mo $127,500 $150 61
121 N Buchanan St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (+8%) 3mo $55,000 $55 57
1403 Coke St 0.74mi 2/1.0 928 (-0%) 13mo $90,000 $97 53
1402 Spaulding St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 871 (-6%) 8mo $39,900 $46 53
1214 Preusser St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,048 (+12%) 2mo $66,000 $63 50
1318 E Harris Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+7%) 15mo $110,000 $110 46
1037 N Main St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 984 (+6%) 8mo $149,900 $152 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$23,376
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$84,644
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76903

Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,187 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,645/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$433

Break-even live

Break-even rent $639
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
212 Koberlin St San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 925 $945 $1.02 43d 1 0.64mi
302 Allen St San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $950 $1.22 21d 1 0.89mi
302 Allen St #18 San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $2,000 $2.56 21d 1 0.90mi
134 E 11th St San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,025 $1.18 43d 1 0.92mi
2308 Carley St San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.5 985 $1,102 $1.12 21d 1 1.01mi
1173 Benedict Dr San Angelo, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 868 $1,213 $1.40 21d 10 1.04mi
318 Montague Ave San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,850 $1.77 21d 1 1.08mi
504 E 17th St San Angelo, TX 1.0 1.0 810 $875 $1.08 43d 1 1.15mi
209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    price $65,000 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Bring Offers! 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home close to schools, medical facilities, shopping, and Goodfellow AFB. Would make a good starter home or investment property. Homes just needs some TLC. Home to be sold 'AS IS'.

  2. 2026-03-06
    listed $69,000 Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Bring Offers! 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home close to schools, medical facilities, shopping, and Goodfellow AFB. Would make a good starter home or investment property. Homes just needs some TLC. Home to be sold 'AS IS'.

  3. 2025-11-04
    price $74,000
  4. 2025-09-24
    status Active
  5. 2025-07-28
    status Pending
  6. 2025-07-09
    price $75,000
  7. 2025-06-03
    price $83,900
  8. 2025-03-18
    price $84,900
  9. 2025-02-18
    listed $92,000 Active
  10. 2009-10-29
    soldstatus
  11. 2009-10-27
    soldstatus
  12. 2008-02-08
    soldstatus
  13. 2007-07-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,645 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,645 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,249
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,645
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,140
− Management
−$1,140
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,072
After-tax cash flow
$4,124/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,947
Household income
$49,498
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1255.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 33%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.90%
Current HPI
217.0406
Rent YoY
▲ 8.46%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $65,000 SAAR TX
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $69,000 SAAR TX
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $74,000 SAAR TX
  • 2025-09-24 Relisted SAAR TX
  • 2025-07-28 Pending SAAR TX
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $75,000 SAAR TX
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $83,900 SAAR TX
  • 2025-03-18 Price Changed $84,900 SAAR TX
  • 2025-02-18 Listed $92,000 SAAR TX
  • 2009-10-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-10-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-02-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-07-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,645 · +22.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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