487 Main St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Colonial/Victorian Home w/ 5 Bdrms, 2 full baths. Easily converted into double or in-law if needed. Natural woodwork. Leaded glass windows. Heated pool w/ hot tub. Double Parlor w/ Oak pillars. Walk out Bsmt. w/ glass block windows. Hardwood Floors, Front porch. 2 driveways, ample parking. 2nd story deck. New windows (2011) Roof(Tear off 2011), HWT 12YRS, Furnace on 2nd floor 8yrs, lower ? New carpeting(2011). Walking distance to Park, Library & Southgate Plaza. Large partially fenced yard. Updated baths. This home is move in ready.
Key facts
- Oak pillars
- Pocket doors
- Formal dining room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; One garage space
- Security: Full yard fencing
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story house; Existing/resale property; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 200
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Copper plumbing; Block and poured foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Covered patio/porch; Patio; Private yard; Fully fenced yard; Sprinkler/irrigation system; In-ground pool; Blacktop driveway; Shed(s) / storage; See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Pantry / walk-in pantry; Solid surface counters; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Five bedrooms total; Primary and additional bedrooms on first and second levels (bedrooms on both main and second levels)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air and hot water systems; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Walk-in pantry; Solid surface counters; Natural woodwork; Leaded glass windows; Thermal windows; See remarks; Bedroom on main level; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $390k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $107k; list at $390k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.48%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $354,211
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199 Prospect Ave | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 | 2,232 (-10%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $38 | 49 |
| 409 Hickory St | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,538 (+2%) | 18mo | $363,000 | $143 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-19,726
- Equity at exit
- $58,135
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $39,134
- Equity at exit
- $33,711
Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14224
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$589 /mo · $7,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$924
- Net cashflow
- $680
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,475
- Closing costs
- $11,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 14th St Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $4,400 | $2.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 13 events
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2026-06-10status $389,900 Pending 12 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $389,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $389,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $389,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $389,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $389,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $389,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $389,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-29$389,900 Active
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2023-05-22soldstatus $107,000
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2012-07-10soldstatus $158,000 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Large Colonial/Victorian Home w/ 5 Bdrms, 2 full baths. Easily converted into double or in-law if needed. Natural woodwork. Leaded glass windows. Heated pool w/ hot tub. Double Parlor w/ Oak pillars. Walk out Bsmt. w/ glass block windows. Hardwood Floors, Front porch. 2 driveways, ample parking. 2nd story deck. New windows (2011) Roof(Tear off 2011), HWT 12YRS, Furnace on 2nd floor 8yrs, lower ? New carpeting(2011). Walking distance to Park, Library & Southgate Plaza. Large partially fenced yard. Updated baths. This home is move in ready.
-
2012-06-29soldstatus $158,000
-
2012-03-01$159,900 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Large Colonial/Victorian Home w/ 5 Bdrms, 2 full baths. Easily converted into double or in-law if needed. Natural woodwork. Leaded glass windows. Heated pool w/ hot tub. Double Parlor w/ Oak pillars. Walk out Bsmt. w/ glass block windows. Hardwood Floors, Front porch. 2 driveways, ample parking. 2nd story deck. New windows (2011) Roof(Tear off 2011), HWT 12YRS, Furnace on 2nd floor 8yrs, lower ? New carpeting(2011). Walking distance to Park, Library & Southgate Plaza. Large partially fenced yard. Updated baths. This home is move in ready.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,063 · $589/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,063 · $589/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,840
- − Property taxes
- −$7,063
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,224
- − Management
- −$4,224
- − Depreciation
- −$11,343
- Taxable income
- $2,156
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$517
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- City population
- 440,021
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,101
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 22% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.03%
- Current HPI
- 303.7523
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+143.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $389,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 2012-07-10 Sold (MLS) $158,000 WNYREIS
- 2012-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
- 2012-03-01 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $7,063 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…