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487 Main St
C- Composite 51.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$389,900

487 Main St · Buffalo, NY 14224
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,477 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1913 0.28 ac lot Est $354k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large Colonial/Victorian Home w/ 5 Bdrms, 2 full baths. Easily converted into double or in-law if needed. Natural woodwork. Leaded glass windows. Heated pool w/ hot tub. Double Parlor w/ Oak pillars. Walk out Bsmt. w/ glass block windows. Hardwood Floors, Front porch. 2 driveways, ample parking. 2nd story deck. New windows (2011) Roof(Tear off 2011), HWT 12YRS, Furnace on 2nd floor 8yrs, lower ? New carpeting(2011). Walking distance to Park, Library & Southgate Plaza. Large partially fenced yard. Updated baths. This home is move in ready.

Key facts

  • Oak pillars
  • Pocket doors
  • Formal dining room

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSTWO FIREPLACESOAK PILLARSPOCKET DOORSLEADED GLASS WINDOWSFORMAL DINING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; One garage space
  • Security: Full yard fencing
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story house; Existing/resale property; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 200
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Copper plumbing; Block and poured foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered patio/porch; Patio; Private yard; Fully fenced yard; Sprinkler/irrigation system; In-ground pool; Blacktop driveway; Shed(s) / storage; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Pantry / walk-in pantry; Solid surface counters; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms total; Primary and additional bedrooms on first and second levels (bedrooms on both main and second levels)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air and hot water systems; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Walk-in pantry; Solid surface counters; Natural woodwork; Leaded glass windows; Thermal windows; See remarks; Bedroom on main level; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $390k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $107k; list at $390k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $389,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$354,211
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
199 Prospect Ave 0.72mi 5/2.0 2,232 (-10%) 1mo $85,000 $38 49
409 Hickory St 0.72mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,538 (+2%) 18mo $363,000 $143 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-19,726
Equity at exit
$58,135
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$39,134
Equity at exit
$33,711

Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14224

Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,045
Tax from tax record
$589 /mo · $7,063/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$924
Net cashflow
$680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,539
Max offer price $389,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,475
Closing costs
$11,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
184 14th St Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1950 $4,400 $2.26 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $389,900 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $389,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $389,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $389,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $389,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $389,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $389,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $389,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-05-29
    listed $389,900 Active
  10. 2023-05-22
    soldstatus $107,000
  11. 2012-07-10
    soldstatus $158,000 550-char remark
    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    Large Colonial/Victorian Home w/ 5 Bdrms, 2 full baths. Easily converted into double or in-law if needed. Natural woodwork. Leaded glass windows. Heated pool w/ hot tub. Double Parlor w/ Oak pillars. Walk out Bsmt. w/ glass block windows. Hardwood Floors, Front porch. 2 driveways, ample parking. 2nd story deck. New windows (2011) Roof(Tear off 2011), HWT 12YRS, Furnace on 2nd floor 8yrs, lower ? New carpeting(2011). Walking distance to Park, Library & Southgate Plaza. Large partially fenced yard. Updated baths. This home is move in ready.

  12. 2012-06-29
    soldstatus $158,000
  13. 2012-03-01
    listed $159,900 550-char remark
    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    Large Colonial/Victorian Home w/ 5 Bdrms, 2 full baths. Easily converted into double or in-law if needed. Natural woodwork. Leaded glass windows. Heated pool w/ hot tub. Double Parlor w/ Oak pillars. Walk out Bsmt. w/ glass block windows. Hardwood Floors, Front porch. 2 driveways, ample parking. 2nd story deck. New windows (2011) Roof(Tear off 2011), HWT 12YRS, Furnace on 2nd floor 8yrs, lower ? New carpeting(2011). Walking distance to Park, Library & Southgate Plaza. Large partially fenced yard. Updated baths. This home is move in ready.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,063 · $589/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,063 · $589/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,800
− Mortgage interest
−$21,840
− Property taxes
−$7,063
− Insurance
−$1,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,224
− Management
−$4,224
− Depreciation
−$11,343
Taxable income
$2,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$517
After-tax cash flow
$7,646/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
City population
440,021
Population (ZIP)
41,101

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 22% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.03%
Current HPI
303.7523
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+143.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $389,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
  • 2012-07-10 Sold (MLS) $158,000 WNYREIS
  • 2012-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
  • 2012-03-01 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,063 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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