706 Coyne St · Miami, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hud prop subj to hud regs & bid proced, uninsured-offered as-is w/ all faults, buyer respons. for replacing any missing meters, possible struct. issues, roof inspect. may be required, evid of mold, bid deadline 10/07/07, 11:59pm, #422-265428
Key facts
- New flooring
- Hot water heater
- New dishwasher
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount available
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; High speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story home; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Concrete driveway; Chain link fencing; Located less than 5 miles to Neosho River
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with island; Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath and walk-in closet (First floor); Bedroom (First floor); Bedroom (First floor)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Hall bath with bathtub (First floor); Master bath with double sink and shower (First floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas and heat pump); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat; Insulated vinyl windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Inside utility room (First floor); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.2% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#327 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Miami (town): math 17% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #194 of 270 in OK (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ottawa County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.40%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,184
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 NW D St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,521 (+0%) | 9mo | $134,000 | $88 | 67 |
| 1011 B. St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,557 (+3%) | 19mo | $110,500 | $71 | 64 |
| 1011 N St NW | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,484 (-2%) | 16mo | $110,000 | $74 | 60 |
| 819 N St NW | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,580 (+4%) | 8mo | $87,000 | $55 | 54 |
| 441 NW D St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,433 (-6%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $87 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $831
- Equity at exit
- $16,700
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $25,164
- Equity at exit
- $9,684
Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74354
- Home prices YoY
- -7.3%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$587
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,307/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $361 | -5% $330 | +0% $298 | +5% $266 | +10% $235 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $194 | -5% $246 | +0% $298 | +5% $350 | +10% $402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $354 | -0.5pp $326 | base $298 | +0.5pp $269 | +1.0pp $239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,000
- Closing costs
- $3,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $112,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $112,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $112,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $112,000
-
2026-04-20price $115,000
-
2026-04-09price $118,000
-
2026-03-23price $120,000
-
2026-03-17$125,000 Active
-
2025-06-23historical
-
2025-06-04price $110,000
-
2025-05-20status Active
-
2025-05-12status Pending
-
2025-04-28price $118,000
-
2025-03-17price $124,900
-
2025-03-02status Active
-
2025-02-20status Pending
-
2025-02-13$139,000 Active
-
2024-05-06soldstatus $117,500
-
2008-01-18soldstatus $30,000 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Hud prop subj to hud regs & bid proced, uninsured-offered as-is w/ all faults, buyer respons. for replacing any missing meters, possible struct. issues, roof inspect. may be required, evid of mold, bid deadline 10/07/07, 11:59pm, #422-265428
-
2007-09-28$29,500 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Hud prop subj to hud regs & bid proced, uninsured-offered as-is w/ all faults, buyer respons. for replacing any missing meters, possible struct. issues, roof inspect. may be required, evid of mold, bid deadline 10/07/07, 11:59pm, #422-265428
-
2004-12-10soldstatus $59,500
-
2004-07-01soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,307 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,307 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,811
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,274
- − Property taxes
- −$1,307
- − Insurance
- −$560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$3,258
- Taxable income
- $1,882
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$452
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,124/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami
- NCES district ID
- 4019860
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,234
- Composite
- 15.35/100
- National rank
- #9324
- State rank
- #194 of 270 in OK
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #18488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, OK
- City population
- 16,972
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,972
Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,860 people
- By 2030
- 31,699 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 31,324 · -1.7%
- By 2050
- 30,745 · -3.5%
- By 2075
- 29,902 · -6.1%
- By 2100
- 27,545 · -13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Native American 20% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.5% · R 76.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -53.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.5 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+29.7 2008: R+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.93%
- Current HPI
- 266.6593
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+433.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $112,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $118,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-17 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-06-23 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $110,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-20 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-12 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $118,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $124,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-02 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-02-20 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-02-13 Listed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
- 2008-01-18 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-09-28 Listed $29,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2004-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
- 2004-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,307 · +108.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…