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13486 Kitt Park Dr
F Composite 33.85
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

13486 Kitt Park Dr · Grayhawk, MO 63670
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 696 sqft · Other public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1984 7,405 sqft lot $76/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Community pool
  • Built 1984

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Grayhawk association; Annual association fee; Community amenities include lake and pool; Association fee covers common area maintenance and other items

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional off-street parking
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Community water; Septic tank; Single-phase electric; Electricity and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Scattered woods

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Basement with a bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-909/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (13.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $77k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#677 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ste. Genevieve County R-II (town): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #59 of 324 in MO (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bloomsdale Elem. (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 327 students, 43% FRL); Ste. Genevieve Middle (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #84 of 391 statewide, top 22%, 421 students, 39% FRL); Ste. Genevieve Sr. High (math 22% / reading 67%, grade F, #179 of 521 statewide, top 39%, 517 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Ste. Genevieve County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ste. Genevieve County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $77,464 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.25%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.7%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-21,002
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-24,459
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63670

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$775 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $554/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$76
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$163
Net cashflow
$-76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $871
Max offer price $86,520
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-19 -5% $-47 +0% $-76 +5% $-104 +10% $-132
Rent -10% $-137 -5% $-106 +0% $-76 +5% $-45 +10% $-15
Rate -1.0pp $-25 -0.5pp $-50 base $-76 +0.5pp $-102 +1.0pp $-128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$76 · $912/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $99,900 414-char remark
  19. 2026-04-21
    listed $120,000 Active 414-char remark
  20. 2016-07-28
    soldstatus Closed 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

  21. 2016-06-23
    status Pending 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

  22. 2016-06-07
    price $27,000 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

  23. 2016-04-19
    price $30,000 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

  24. 2016-04-11
    status Active 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

  25. 2016-04-07
    historical 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

  26. 2016-01-08
    listed $64,000 Active 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$554 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$969 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$415/yr (+$35/mo · 74.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,296
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$554
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$744
− Management
−$744
− HOA
−$912
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$2,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$638
After-tax cash flow
$-271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ste. Genevieve County R-II
NCES district ID
2929370
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,013
Composite
40.83/100
National rank
#3632
State rank
#59 of 324 in MO

Livability — Grayhawk

Score
56/100
State rank
#677
US rank
#22441

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grayhawk, MO
Population (ZIP)
12,294

Population outlook (Ste. Genevieve County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,453 people
By 2030
17,119 · -1.9%
By 2040
16,361 · -6.3%
By 2050
15,719 · -9.9%
By 2075
14,849 · -14.9%
By 2100
13,504 · -22.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ste. Genevieve

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.0) · D 26.9% · R 71.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-59.2pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -45.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.0 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+3.0 2008: D+14.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.70%
Current HPI
193.0646
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-28 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-23 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-07 Price Changed $27,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-19 Price Changed $30,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-11 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-07 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-08 Listed $64,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $554 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…