13486 Kitt Park Dr · Grayhawk, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Community pool
- Built 1984
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Grayhawk association; Annual association fee; Community amenities include lake and pool; Association fee covers common area maintenance and other items
Exterior
- Parking: Additional off-street parking
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Community water; Septic tank; Single-phase electric; Electricity and water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership; Fixer condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Private yard; Scattered woods
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Basement with a bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-909/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (13.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $77k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $77k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#677 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ste. Genevieve County R-II (town): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #59 of 324 in MO (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bloomsdale Elem. (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 327 students, 43% FRL); Ste. Genevieve Middle (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #84 of 391 statewide, top 22%, 421 students, 39% FRL); Ste. Genevieve Sr. High (math 22% / reading 67%, grade F, #179 of 521 statewide, top 39%, 517 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Ste. Genevieve County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ste. Genevieve County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.25%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-21,002
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-24,459
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63670
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $554/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$76
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$163
- Net cashflow
- $-76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-19 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-76 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-137 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-76 | +5% $-45 | +10% $-15 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-25 | -0.5pp $-50 | base $-76 | +0.5pp $-102 | +1.0pp $-128 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $76 · $912/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $99,900 414-char remark
-
2026-04-21$120,000 Active 414-char remark
-
2016-07-28soldstatus Closed 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
-
2016-06-23status Pending 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
-
2016-06-07price $27,000 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
-
2016-04-19price $30,000 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
-
2016-04-11status Active 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
-
2016-04-07historical 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
-
2016-01-08$64,000 Active 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Wanna get away? Then come take a look at this adorable little 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home surrounded by beautiful views of nature! This home is nestled on TWO nice sized lots backing to trees & woods! Entertain your guests out on the back deck, or just sit back and enjoy all that nature has to offer. This home has a nice bright & open floor plan, a walk-out lower lever, nice kitchen with plenty of cabinets! You also have the luxury of all that the wonderful lake community of Gray Hawk has to offer! "Two Crystal-Clear, spring-fed lakes" Enjoy swimming, boating, fishing, waterskiing & more! Call to schedule your personal tour and get your weekend get a way you've always been dreaming about!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $554 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$415/yr (+$35/mo · 74.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$554
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$744
- − Management
- −$744
- − HOA
- −$912
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$2,660
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$638
- After-tax cash flow
- $-271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ste. Genevieve County R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2929370
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,013
- Composite
- 40.83/100
- National rank
- #3632
- State rank
- #59 of 324 in MO
Livability — Grayhawk
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #677
- US rank
- #22441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grayhawk, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,294
Population outlook (Ste. Genevieve County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,453 people
- By 2030
- 17,119 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 16,361 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 15,719 · -9.9%
- By 2075
- 14,849 · -14.9%
- By 2100
- 13,504 · -22.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ste. Genevieve
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.0) · D 26.9% · R 71.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -59.2pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -45.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.0 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+3.0 2008: D+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.70%
- Current HPI
- 193.0646
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+56.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-28 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-23 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-07 Price Changed $27,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-19 Price Changed $30,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-11 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-07 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-08 Listed $64,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $554 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…