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624 Patterson St
C Composite 58.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$139,900

624 Patterson St · Duenweg, MO 64841
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 27 Days on market
Good condition 6,098 sqft lot Est $147k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly remodeled home in a nice area. Recently replaced roof, windows replaced, kitchen remodeled and new bath fixtures. The two car garage is a huge BONUS. The home is well located being close enough to town to shop, but still in walking distance to the local park. This home has that small town vibe you want!

Key facts

  • Kitchen remodeled
  • Replaced roof
  • Windows replaced

Tags

REMODELED HOMEREPLACED ROOFWINDOWS REPLACEDKITCHEN REMODELEDNEW BATH FIXTURESWALKING DISTANCE TO LOCAL PARK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Garage on property
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence (Residential); Bungalow floor plan; 1 story (above-grade living area recorded)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Metal fencing; Public road maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
  • Interior features: Thermal windows; Kit/dining combo; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#377 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Joplin Schools (urban): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #231 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Joplin High (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #287 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 2,233 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.22%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,400
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
505 Kimberly St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,151 (+5%) 4mo $154,500 $134 76
803 Dutch St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,128 (+2%) 11mo $92,500 $82 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$27,719
Equity at exit
$62,905
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$83,530
Equity at exit
$96,944

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64841

Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,439 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $267 -5% $219 +0% $170 +5% $122 +10% $74
Rent -10% $57 -5% $113 +0% $170 +5% $227 +10% $284
Rate -1.0pp $241 -0.5pp $206 base $170 +0.5pp $134 +1.0pp $97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
332 Alex Jordan Dr Duenweg, MO 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,350 $0.93 22d 1 0.92mi
119 Eagle Edge Dr Duenweg, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 22d 1 0.97mi
506 Alex Jordan Dr Duenweg, MO 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,399 $0.97 22d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $139,900 Pending 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $144,900 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,900 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $159,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Newly remodeled home in a nice area. Recently replaced roof, windows replaced, kitchen remodeled and new bath fixtures. The two car garage is a huge BONUS. The home is well located being close enough to town to shop, but still in walking distance to the local park. This home has that small town vibe you want!

  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $159,900 Active 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Newly remodeled home in a nice area. Recently replaced roof, windows replaced, kitchen remodeled and new bath fixtures. The two car garage is a huge BONUS. The home is well located being close enough to town to shop, but still in walking distance to the local park. This home has that small town vibe you want!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,272
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,098
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,382
− Management
−$1,382
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$47
After-tax cash flow
$2,090/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This newly remodeled home in a desirable location offers a good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment with potential for further value enhancement through minor improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Resale New countertops and backsplash in kitchen — Enhances kitchen functionality and aesthetics.
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Improves ambiance and safety.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Resale New countertops and backsplash in kitchen — Enhances kitchen functionality and aesthetics.
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Improves ambiance and safety.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Joplin Schools
NCES district ID
2916350
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,648
Composite
28.82/100
National rank
#6657
State rank
#231 of 324 in MO

Livability — Duenweg

Score
62/100
State rank
#377
US rank
#16618

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duenweg, MO
City population
1,326
Population (ZIP)
1,326

Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,033 people
By 2030
120,091 · +0.0%
By 2040
119,297 · -0.6%
By 2050
117,705 · -1.9%
By 2075
110,402 · -8.0%
By 2100
99,719 · -16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jasper

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $159,900 SOMO
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $159,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…